返回排名列表

Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)

合理估值
Consumer CyclicalResidential ConstructionUnited States

基本面

80

价格

$134.75

市值

$12.58B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$10.97B

截至2025/10/31的财政年度

净利润

$1.35B

截至2025/10/31的财政年度

自由现金流

$1.03B

股东权益合计

$8.27B

负债合计

$6.23B

流动比率

3.90

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.58

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

周期性合理估值

公允价值

$160.85

当前价格

$134.75

安全边际

+16.2%

公允价值区间

$127.08 - $194.61

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$171.40
现金流折现法(DCF):不适用于此类公司
市盈率法(P/E):$123.28
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$106.60
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):不适用于此类公司
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:$189.15
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:强力买入 (17B / 5H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+0.32%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

10.81

ROE

16.3%

市净率(P/B)

1.46

P/FCF

11.39

毛利率

25.1%

ROIC

-

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-

WACC

10.8%

ROIC − WACC

-

基本面分析标准

通过(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 15.85%
  • P/FCF 11.39
  • P/B Ratio 1.46
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 15.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 14.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 74% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.33
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.99
  • Share Dilution -4.6%

未通过(4)

  • Gross Margin 25.1%
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

不可用(5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-评分

3/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

0.99

中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距

股权稀释

-4.6%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Douglas C. Yearley Jr.Executive Chairman65
Mr. Martin P. Connor CPASenior Advisor61
Mr. Karl K. MistryCEO & Director44
Mr. Seth J. RingCOO & President44
Mr. Gregg L. ZieglerExecutive VP & CFO52
Ms. Erica J. MainardiSVP & Chief Accounting Officer43
Mr. John CritikosChief Information Officer & Senior VP-
Mr. Timothy J. Hoban J.D.Chief Compliance Officer, General Counsel & Senior VP-
Ms. Wendy L. MarlettExecutive VP & Chief Marketing Officer61
Ms. Kellie HallChief Human Resources Officer-

审计风险

3

董事会风险

5

薪酬风险

3

股东权利风险

2

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2025-12-19

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-28

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-18

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TOL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/12/2026POSITIVE
    Buy Toll, Sell Lennar as Rich Homebuyers Outpace First-Timers

    Toll Brothers Inc. is favored over Lennar Corp. by one Wall Street analyst, who suggests that a strong economy benefiting wealthy buyers makes high-end homebuilders a more attractive investment. This perspective implies that Toll Brothers, which caters to a more affluent demographic, is better positioned to capitalize on current economic conditions than entry-level focused builders like Lennar. Investors looking to gain exposure to the housing market may consider this divergence, with the analyst's view pointing towards potential outperformance for luxury segment developers.

  • 5/20/2026NEUTRAL
    Toll Brothers Q2 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript

    Toll Brothers Inc. released its Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript on May 20, 2026. The transcript provides a detailed account of the company's financial performance, strategic initiatives, and outlook for the upcoming quarters. Investors can analyze management's commentary on market conditions, housing demand, construction costs, and future guidance. While the transcript itself is informational, its value lies in the insights it offers for assessing the company's operational efficiency and potential for future profitability in the homebuilding sector.

  • 5/19/2026POSITIVE
    Toll Brothers Up As Luxury-Home Orders Hit Highest in Two Years

    Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) saw its shares climb in post-market trading following a strong second-quarter earnings report. The luxury homebuilder surpassed analyst profit expectations and consequently elevated its full-year financial outlook. This positive performance is underpinned by a significant increase in luxury-home orders, reaching the highest level in two years. Investors are likely encouraged by the company's robust demand in the high-end housing market and its improved forward-looking guidance, suggesting resilience and potential for continued growth.

  • 5/19/2026NEUTRAL
    Toll Brothers Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call

    Toll Brothers is set to report its Q2 earnings on May 19th, with analysts forecasting $2.58 earnings per share and $2.42 billion in revenue. The company's stock experienced a 4.4% decline on Monday, preceding the earnings announcement. Recent analyst ratings show mixed sentiment, with JP Morgan upgrading from Underweight to Neutral in March 2022 and B of A Securities moving from Underperform to Buy in February 2022, while Barclays maintained an Underweight rating. Investors will be closely watching the earnings report for guidance on future performance and the housing market outlook.

via Markets Gazette