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Thomson Reuters Corp (TRI)

合理估值
IndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesCanada

基本面

55

价格

$99.52

市值

$43.46B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Thomson Reuters sells information and software that legal, tax, accounting and corporate professionals rely on to do their jobs — legal research through Westlaw, tax and audit tools through Checkpoint, and case and matter management software layered with AI assistants. Its Reuters news agency licenses text, video and images to media outlets and, increasingly, to AI companies training language models. A shrinking print-publishing business, mostly bound legal volumes, still generates real cash but is not where the company is investing.

盈利方式

Most revenue is subscription-based — about 84% is recurring — so law firms, accounting practices and corporations pay annual or multi-year fees for continuous access rather than one-off purchases. On top of that sit transaction and usage fees tied to how much a customer actually uses a tool. Selling AI features as an add-on to an existing subscription, rather than as a separate product, is how the company is trying to raise revenue per customer without adding new logos.

分部营收

Legal Professionals38.4%

Westlaw legal research, practical guidance and case/matter management software sold to law firms, corporate legal departments and courts.

Corporates26.6%

Compliance, contract and legal-workflow software sold directly to corporate legal, risk and compliance departments rather than to law firms.

Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals17.4%

Checkpoint tax research and preparation software for accounting firms, corporate tax departments and government tax authorities.

Reuters11.4%

The Reuters news agency, licensing text, pictures and video to media organizations and, increasingly, to AI developers.

Global Print6.6%

Bound legal reference volumes and other printed publications, a structurally declining legacy business.

护城河

专利与许可 · 狭窄

Westlaw's value comes from decades of case law, annotations and editorial links that a new entrant cannot recreate quickly, and switching a law firm's research workflow is disruptive on its own. The company itself warns that AI could let a rival combine off-the-shelf language models with enough content to match that expertise faster than in the past, which is why the advantage is treated as narrow rather than unassailable.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Lawyers keep researching cases, accountants keep filing taxes and companies keep managing compliance regardless of the economic cycle, which is why subscription revenue held up even in past downturns. The one genuinely cyclical piece is Global Print, which is shrinking for structural reasons — the shift to digital — rather than because of the economy.

主要风险

  • AI-native competitors — The company warns that rivals incorporating AI into legal, tax and accounting products faster or more effectively could win customers away, undermining a content-and-expertise advantage built over decades.
  • Structural decline in print — Global Print revenue is shrinking as customers move to digital research tools, and the segment offsets rather than adds to overall growth.
  • Content used to train AI without compensation — AI developers can draw on published legal and news content to train models, raising the risk that the company's proprietary material is used without a licensing fee flowing back.
  • Currency and international exposure — As a Canadian company with revenue collected in multiple currencies, results can be moved by exchange-rate swings that have nothing to do with underlying demand.

看多理由

Buyers argue that the Big 3 segments are compounding at high-single-digit organic growth, that decades of proprietary legal and tax content give any AI feature more credibility than a generic chatbot, and that Global Print's decline is now a small enough drag to be irrelevant.

看空理由

Sellers fear that large language models trained cheaply on public legal text will erode the pricing power of a subscription built on being the only credible source, and that a company built around defending proprietary content is structurally slow to compete with AI-native rivals.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$7.83B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$1.66B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$2.11B

股东权益合计

$11.13B

负债合计

$3.21B

流动比率

0.51

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

1.40

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$100.33

当前价格

$99.52

安全边际

+0.8%

公允价值区间

$74.55 - $126.10

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$122.29
现金流折现法(DCF):$120.48
市盈率法(P/E):$74.29
格雷厄姆成长公式:$77.98
盈利能力价值(EPV):$52.46
合理市净率(P/B):$68.68
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$60.37
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$50.78
分析师共识:买入 (16B / 6H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+2.46%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

26.40

ROE

14.2%

市净率(P/B)

3.91

P/FCF

20.61

毛利率

39.7%

ROIC

12.2%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

12.2%

WACC

7.6%

ROIC − WACC

+4.6 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(10)

  • Price CAGR 8.03%
  • ROIC 12.2%
  • Gross Margin 39.7%
  • P/FCF 20.61
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 14.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.92

未通过(9)

  • P/B Ratio 3.91
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.5%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.6%
  • PEG Ratio 3.46
  • Net Margin Trend 20.1% vs 30.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.92

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Stephen John Hasker B.Com., M.B.A.President, CEO & Director55
Ms. Kirsty RothChief Operations Officer50
Mr. David WongChief Product Officer40
Mr. Paul J. BascobertPresident of Reuters News61
Mr. Gary Edward Bischoping Jr.Chief Financial Officer57
Mr. Gary Elftman Bisbee C.F.A.Head of Investor Relations-
Ms. Norie C. CampbellChief Legal Officer & Company Secretary53
Ms. Amy MessanoChief Marketing & Communications Officer54
Mr. Jason WilliamsChief People Officer-
Mr. Taneli D. RudaChief Strategy Officer50

审计风险

4

董事会风险

9

薪酬风险

5

股东权利风险

8

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for TRI, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/14/2026NEUTRAL
    Thomson Reuters to Sell Stake in Legal, Tax Business to KKR

    Thomson Reuters Corp. has agreed to divest a 51% controlling stake in its Legal and Tax publishing division to private equity firm KKR & Co. for $500 million. This strategic move aims to streamline Thomson Reuters' focus on its core information services for legal and tax professionals. The transaction is expected to unlock value by allowing KKR to invest in and grow the divested business. For investors, this represents a significant portfolio adjustment for Thomson Reuters, with the proceeds potentially being reinvested or returned, while KKR gains a substantial foothold in the legal and tax information sector.

  • 5/5/2026NEGATIVE
    Fresh AI Disruption Selloff Hits Thomson Reuters Despite Strong Results

    Thomson Reuters Corp. experienced a selloff in its shares despite reporting strong first-quarter results. The decline was triggered by Anthropic PBC's announcement of new artificial intelligence agents capable of performing a wider array of financial services tasks. This competitive advancement in AI, particularly in areas relevant to financial data and services, is perceived by the market as a potential threat to Thomson Reuters' existing business model and future growth prospects, overshadowing its current financial performance.

  • 4/30/2026NEGATIVE
    Thomson Family to See $1 Billion Payout as AI Hits Reuters Stock

    The Thomson family is poised to receive nearly $1 billion from Thomson Reuters, despite the company's stock facing significant headwinds from the advancement of artificial intelligence. While the payout highlights a substantial return for the founding family, the underlying business is grappling with the disruptive potential of AI, which could impact future revenue streams and market position. Investors should monitor how the company adapts its strategy to integrate AI and mitigate potential threats to its core operations and profitability.

  • 3/10/2026NEUTRAL
    Assessing Thomson Reuters: Insights From 11 Financial Analysts

    Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI) has received a series of analyst rating updates. In February 2022, Morgan Stanley maintained an 'Equal-Weight' rating. In the same month, RBC Capital upgraded the stock from 'Sector Perform' to 'Outperform'. Earlier in January 2022, National Bank Financial Inc. also upgraded TRI from 'Sector Perform' to 'Outperform'. These actions reflect varied analyst sentiment, with two upgrades suggesting potential upside while one maintains a neutral stance. Investors should consider these differing views when evaluating the stock.

  • 3/7/2026POSITIVE
    Why Thomson Reuters Stock Zoomed Nearly 16% Higher This Week

    Thomson Reuters Corporation experienced a significant surge this week, with its stock price climbing nearly 16%. This upward momentum was primarily fueled by the company's optimistic revenue guidance for 2026, signaling strong future growth prospects. Additionally, another dividend increase further enhanced its appeal to investors, underscoring financial health and commitment to shareholder returns. These factors collectively contributed to the media company becoming a favored investment, suggesting continued positive sentiment and potential for further gains.

  • 2/24/2026POSITIVE
    Anthropic Shout-Out Makes Thomson Reuters Stock Latest AI Winner

    Markets Gazette highlights a significant uplift for Thomson Reuters Corp., positioning it as the latest beneficiary of the artificial intelligence boom. The company received a notable endorsement from AI giant Anthropic PBC for its legal tools. This recognition has captured the attention of investors, who are increasingly seeking winning bets in the AI sector. The approval from a key player like Anthropic suggests a significant validation of Thomson Reuters' technology, placing it favorably in a rapidly expanding market. Investors should monitor the impact of this increased visibility on the stock's performance, given the growing interest in companies demonstrating robust AI integration.

  • 2/24/2026POSITIVE
    Why Shares of Thomson Reuters Are Surging Today (Hint: It Has to do With Artificial Intelligence)

    Shares of Thomson Reuters are experiencing a significant surge today, propelled by a major milestone in its artificial intelligence initiatives. The multinational company announced that one million professionals are now utilizing its AI solutions, a figure that underscores the increasing adoption of its innovative technologies. This achievement not only highlights the robustness of Thomson Reuters' AI strategy but also signals substantial future growth potential driven by the digitalization of professional services. Investors are reacting positively, interpreting this data point as a clear indication of the company's strengthening competitive position and enhanced long-term revenue prospects, particularly in a market increasingly focused on automation and efficiency.

via Markets Gazette