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ServiceTitan, Inc. (TTAN)

合理估值
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

基本面

54

价格

$66.55

市值

$5.79B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

ServiceTitan sells cloud software that runs the day-to-day operations of trades businesses — plumbing, HVAC, electrical, roofing and similar home and commercial service companies. A contractor uses it to schedule jobs, dispatch technicians, quote and invoice customers, track inventory and marketing, and take payments, replacing the mix of paper, spreadsheets and older point tools that most trades businesses used before. It does not perform any of the trade work itself.

盈利方式

Most revenue is subscription fees paid under annual or multi-year contracts, priced mainly per technician using the platform and recognized evenly over the contract term. A second, faster-growing stream is usage-based: fees earned when a contractor's customers pay through ServiceTitan's embedded payment processing and financing tools, which scale with the dollar volume flowing through the platform rather than with seat count. A small remainder is one-time professional-services revenue for onboarding new customers.

护城河

转换成本 · 狭窄

Once a trades business runs scheduling, invoicing, customer history and payments through ServiceTitan, moving to a competitor means retraining technicians and re-entering years of job and customer data, which is costly and disruptive for a small operator. The moat is still narrow: the company remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, and rival vertical-software providers keep entering the same trades.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Much of the underlying demand for trades work — a broken furnace or a leaking pipe — is not discretionary, which cushions ServiceTitan's usage-based revenue somewhat. But contractor spending on new software seats, and the volume of jobs booked, still slows when construction and home-improvement activity cools, and industry-wide pressures like tariffs or labor shortages can weigh on the trades businesses ServiceTitan depends on.

主要风险

  • History of losses — ServiceTitan has a history of net losses and states it may not achieve or sustain profitability in future periods, which leaves less room for error if growth slows.
  • Exposure to trades-industry headwinds — The company states that factors affecting the trades industry — consolidation, contractor marketplaces, supply-chain issues, tariffs on imported goods and labor shortages — could reduce demand for its platform, since its revenue rises and falls with its customers' activity.
  • Competition from established and new entrants — ServiceTitan competes with both established software vendors and new entrants targeting the trades, and some large customers have developed or could develop their own proprietary tools instead of paying for the platform.
  • Revenue concentrated in the United States — Substantially all revenue is generated in the United States, so the company has limited geographic diversification against a US-specific downturn in construction or home-services spending.

看多理由

Buyers argue that ServiceTitan is becoming the operating system of an industry that has been slow to digitize, that the shift toward usage-based payments revenue scales faster than seat-based subscriptions alone, and that deep switching costs will let the company raise prices and cross-sell new modules as it approaches profitability.

看空理由

Sellers fear that a company still posting net losses is priced for flawless execution, that growing reliance on payment-processing revenue ties results more tightly to the health of small trades contractors, and that a slowdown in US construction or home-services activity would hit both new-seat sales and transaction volume at once.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$1.06B

最近12个月(截至2026/7/31)

净利润

$-129M

最近12个月(截至2026/7/31)

自由现金流

$105M

股东权益合计

$1.53B

负债合计

$220M

流动比率

4.55

利息覆盖率

39.42

债务/EBITDA

-

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$73.52

当前价格

$66.55

安全边际

+9.5%

公允价值区间

$47.79 - $99.25

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$97.53
现金流折现法(DCF):$41.50
市盈率法(P/E):数据不足,无法计算
格雷厄姆成长公式:数据不足,无法计算
盈利能力价值(EPV):数据不足,无法计算
合理市净率(P/B):数据不足,无法计算
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$56.69
分析师共识:强力买入 (20B / 3H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+12.26%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

-

ROE

-10.5%

市净率(P/B)

1.45

P/FCF

17.03

毛利率

71.1%

ROIC

-6.6%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-6.6%

WACC

12.3%

ROIC − WACC

-18.9 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross Margin 71.1%
  • P/FCF 17.03
  • P/B Ratio 1.45
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Analyst Consensus 87% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 37.5%
  • Net Margin Trend -12.1% vs -26.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(8)

  • Price CAGR -22.60%
  • ROIC -6.6%
  • Operating Margin -13.0%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -8.3%
  • Share Dilution 229.7%

不可用(6)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

-

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

229.7%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Ara MahdessianCo-Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO39
Mr. Vahe KuzoyanCo-Founder, President & Director41
Mr. Dave SherryChief Financial Officer40
Mr. Chris PetrosChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Michele O'ConnorChief Accounting Officer48
Mr. Abhishek MathurChief Technology & Product Officer-
Mr. Jason RechelInvestor Relations Head-
Ms. Olive HuangGeneral Counsel & Secretary of the Board-
Mr. Rikus PretoriusSenior Vice President of Worldwide Sales-
Mr. Chris TrombettaChief People Officer-

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-03-25

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-09-08

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-08

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TTAN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/13/2026NEUTRAL
    ServiceTitan (TTAN) Q4 2026 Earnings Transcript

    ServiceTitan has released its Q4 2026 earnings transcript. While specific financial figures and forward-looking guidance are not detailed in the provided information, the release of an earnings transcript typically signals the completion of a reporting period. Investors will analyze the transcript for management's commentary on operational performance, market conditions, and strategic initiatives. The absence of immediate positive or negative indicators suggests a neutral stance pending detailed review of the transcript's content for insights into future growth prospects and profitability.

via Markets Gazette