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Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM)

被低估
EnergyOil & Gas MidstreamUnited States

基本面

50

价格

$40.41

市值

$14.96B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Viper Energy owns mineral and royalty interests under oil and gas acreage in the Permian Basin, mostly operated by its controlling shareholder Diamondback Energy. It does not drill or operate wells itself: it collects a royalty percentage of the oil, gas and natural gas liquids produced by whoever operates the land, without paying any of the drilling or operating costs.

盈利方式

Revenue is royalty income: a contractual share of the value of oil, gas and natural gas liquids extracted from the acreage underlying its mineral interests, paid by the well operator regardless of who drills. Because it funds none of the drilling, completion or lease operating costs, almost all of that royalty income flows through to cash flow, and the main variables are commodity prices and how fast operators — chiefly Diamondback — drill the acreage.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

Oil, gas and natural gas liquids are commodities sold at prevailing market prices Viper does not control. Its advantage is a low-cost structure — no drilling or operating capital at risk — rather than pricing power or a durable barrier competitors cannot replicate by buying comparable acreage.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Royalty income moves with oil and gas prices and with the pace at which operators drill the underlying acreage — both of which swing with the broader commodity cycle and operators' own capital budgets. A slowdown in drilling by Diamondback or other operators reduces future production without Viper being able to do anything about it.

主要风险

  • Dependence on operators it does not control — Viper earns nothing from acreage that is not drilled, and it has no say over an operator's pace of drilling, well design or capital budget — including Diamondback's own.
  • Conflicts of interest with the controlling shareholder — Diamondback is simultaneously Viper's largest operator, its controlling shareholder and the counterparty in acreage drop-down acquisitions, creating potential conflicts in how those transactions and operating decisions are priced and timed.
  • Commodity price volatility — Royalty income moves directly with oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids prices, which are set by global supply and demand outside the company's control and can fall sharply and quickly.
  • Geographic concentration in the Permian Basin — Substantially all of Viper's acreage sits in a single basin, so a regional problem — pipeline bottlenecks, water disposal limits, or a local regulatory change — affects nearly the entire portfolio at once.

客户集中度

Diamondback Energy, Viper's controlling shareholder, operates roughly 35% of Viper's net royalty acreage, making it by far the largest single operator whose drilling pace determines revenue; the company does not disclose the exact percentage of royalty income tied to Diamondback.

看多理由

Buyers argue that a royalty-only model with no drilling or operating costs converts an unusually high share of revenue into free cash flow, that being tied to Diamondback gives Viper visibility into a disciplined operator's development plans, and that further mineral acquisitions can keep growing the acreage base without diluting the cost structure.

看空理由

Sellers fear that dependence on Diamondback's drilling pace and on transactions with the same controlling shareholder concentrates risk in one counterparty, that a sustained drop in oil and gas prices hits royalty income directly with no operating cost buffer to absorb it, and that geographic concentration in a single basin leaves no diversification if a regional bottleneck appears.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$1.97B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$59M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

-

股东权益合计

$4.45B

负债合计

$2.31B

流动比率

6.37

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.89

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

周期性被低估

公允价值

$55.15

当前价格

$40.41

安全边际

+26.7%

公允价值区间

$52.39 - $57.91

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$55.15
现金流折现法(DCF):不适用于此类公司
市盈率法(P/E):数据不足,无法计算
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$11.06
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):不适用于此类公司
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:强力买入 (25B / 1H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-8.06%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

257.95

ROE

-1.5%

市净率(P/B)

1.54

P/FCF

-

毛利率

-

ROIC

1.7%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

1.7%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

-5.5 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(11)

  • Price CAGR 9.85%
  • P/B Ratio 1.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.7%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 41.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 96% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 25.34

未通过(7)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 1.7%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 1.2%
  • Share Dilution 50.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

不可用(9)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-评分

3/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

25.34

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

50.7%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Matthew Kaes Van't HofCEO & Director38
Mr. Austen GilfillianPresident32
Ms. Teresa L. Dick CPAExecutive VP, CFO & Assistant Secretary55
Mr. Albert BarkmannExecutive VP & Chief Engineer44
Mr. Chip SealeDirector of Investor Relations-
Mr. Will KruegerVP, General Counsel and Secretary-

审计风险

3

董事会风险

3

薪酬风险

9

股东权利风险

3

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-25

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-16

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for VNOM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for VNOM.