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Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK)

合理估值
IndustrialsConsulting ServicesUnited States

基本面

64

价格

$168.84

市值

$22.10B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Verisk collects claims, policy and loss data from nearly every US property-and-casualty insurer, then sells back the analytics, forms and risk models built from that pooled data. It is not an insurer: it never takes on underwriting risk itself. Instead it sits between insurers as a data cooperative of sorts, turning industry-wide information that no single carrier could assemble alone into pricing tools, fraud detection, and the standard policy language much of the industry relies on.

盈利方式

Most revenue comes from subscriptions: insurers pay recurring fees for continuous access to Verisk's databases, risk scores, and the standardized policy forms and loss-cost filings that regulators and carriers use as a common starting point. Because the underlying data pool grows more valuable as more insurers contribute to it, and because switching away means rebuilding underwriting workflows around a different data source, renewal rates are very high and pricing tends to rise steadily rather than swing with the economy.

分部营收

Underwriting70.9%

Data, forms, rating and catastrophe-risk tools that insurers use to decide what to charge and whether to accept a policy in the first place.

Claims29.1%

Anti-fraud tools, property-damage estimating software and other services insurers use once a policyholder has filed a claim.

护城河

转换成本 · 宽阔

Verisk's forms, loss-cost filings and risk scores are embedded directly into how insurers price and write policies across nearly the whole US market, and much of that data reflects decades of pooled claims history that cannot be recreated by a new entrant. Replacing Verisk would mean rebuilding core underwriting infrastructure from scratch, which is why customer retention runs close to universal.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Insurers need underwriting data and claims tools regardless of the economic cycle, since they must keep pricing and writing policies whether the economy is expanding or not. Revenue is therefore driven more by insurance-industry premium growth, new product adoption and pricing increases than by broader economic swings, making Verisk's business one of the steadier revenue streams among analytics companies.

主要风险

  • Regulatory scrutiny of pricing and data use — Insurance regulators periodically scrutinize how widely used rating and loss-cost data shapes pricing across an entire market, and any restriction on how that data can be used or shared would hit a core part of the business.
  • Reliance on the health of the P&C insurance industry — Nearly all revenue depends on property-and-casualty insurers continuing to grow and to value third-party data services; consolidation among large carriers could also reduce the number of paying customers.
  • Narrower revenue base after divestitures — Verisk sold several non-insurance businesses in recent years to focus on its core Insurance segment, leaving a narrower set of revenue streams than the company had a few years ago.
  • Competition and in-house build risk — Large insurers with enough scale can build some of Verisk's analytics internally or turn to smaller specialized data vendors, limiting how much Verisk can raise prices without prompting customers to look elsewhere.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Verisk's data and workflow tools are so embedded in US insurance pricing that near-universal retention and steady mid-single-digit pricing power should continue for years, and that the pure-play Insurance focus after recent divestitures makes the business simpler to underwrite.

看空理由

Sellers fear that regulatory attention to concentrated, widely used pricing data could eventually constrain how Verisk monetizes it, that growth is now tied to a single insurance-industry cycle rather than a diversified set of end markets, and that premium valuation multiples leave little room for anything less than flawless execution.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$3.10B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

净利润

$910M

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

自由现金流

$1.19B

股东权益合计

$309M

负债合计

$5.89B

流动比率

1.02

利息覆盖率

7.68

债务/EBITDA

2.89

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$189.05

当前价格

$168.84

安全边际

+10.7%

公允价值区间

$137.17 - $240.93

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$234.76
现金流折现法(DCF):$228.34
市盈率法(P/E):$133.00
格雷厄姆成长公式:$146.08
盈利能力价值(EPV):$99.43
合理市净率(P/B):$167.84
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$43.97
P/FFO(运营资金):$142.57
周期中段收益:$205.46
市销率法(P/S):$68.16
分析师共识:买入 (16B / 10H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+0.32%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

25.59

ROE

293.9%

市净率(P/B)

71.51

P/FCF

19.51

毛利率

70.0%

ROIC

31.6%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

31.6%

WACC

7.3%

ROIC − WACC

+24.2 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 14.92%
  • Price CAGR 7.79%
  • ROIC 31.6%
  • Gross Margin 70.0%
  • P/FCF 19.51
  • Operating Margin 44.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 324.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 62% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.52
  • Share Dilution -1.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(8)

  • P/B Ratio 71.51
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.0%
  • PEG Ratio 2.94
  • Net Margin Trend 29.3% vs 33.1%

不可用(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.52

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-1.8%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Lee M. ShavelCEO, President & Director58
Ms. Elizabeth D. MannExecutive VP & CFO49
Ms. Kathlyn Card BecklesExecutive VP & Chief Legal Officer50
Ms. Sunita Bhatia HolzerExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer63
Mr. Nicholas DaffanStrategic Advisor55
Mr. David J. GroverController & Chief Accounting Officer53
Mr. Jeff NegreteCTO & Interim Chief Information Officer-
Ms. Stacey Jill BrodbarSenior Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations-
Ms. Yang ChenHead of Corporate Development & Strategy-
Ms. Melissa HendricksChief Marketing Officer-

审计风险

2

董事会风险

4

薪酬风险

3

股东权利风险

6

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-18

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-29

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-08

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for VRSK, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/23/2026POSITIVE
    Verisk Initiates $1.5 Billion Accelerated Stock Buyback

    Verisk Analytics Inc. has initiated a significant $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase (ASR) program. This strategic move, involving agreements with several financial institutions, is a clear signal of management's confidence in the company's financial health and long-term growth prospects. By reducing the number of outstanding shares, the buyback aims to increase earnings per share (EPS), creating direct value for shareholders. The operation is supported by the company's strong cash flow generation, as reaffirmed in the announcement. For investors, this initiative not only suggests that management believes the stock is undervalued at current prices but also demonstrates a tangible commitment to returning capital, making Verisk a potentially more attractive asset in the data analytics and risk management sector.

via Markets Gazette