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CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD)

Overvalued
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

50

Price

$264.75

Market Cap

$265.89B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

CrowdStrike protects computers, cloud accounts and corporate identities from hackers using a single lightweight piece of software, called an agent, installed on every device it watches. That agent constantly streams what it sees back to CrowdStrike's cloud, where machine-learning models compare it against threat activity observed across all of CrowdStrike's customers to spot an attack early. Customers start with endpoint protection and then add modules for cloud security, identity protection or log analysis on the same underlying data feed.

How it makes money

Almost all revenue is subscription: customers pay an annual or multi-year fee per protected device or identity, priced by how many modules they turn on beyond the base endpoint product. Because the agent and cloud backend are already installed once a customer signs up, adding a module is mostly a pricing conversation rather than a new deployment, which is why CrowdStrike measures growth in modules adopted per customer as much as in new customers won.

Revenue by segment

Subscription95.1%

Recurring fees for the Falcon platform's endpoint, cloud, identity and other security modules, billed per protected device or identity.

Professional Services4.9%

Incident response, proactive threat hunting and implementation consulting sold alongside the subscription, a small and less predictable part of revenue.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Wide

Once the Falcon agent is deployed across an organization's devices, it becomes the source of truth for security alerts and incident response playbooks; ripping it out means re-deploying a new agent everywhere and retraining a security team's workflows. High module-adoption rates, with two-thirds of customers running five or more, show how sticky that initial deployment becomes.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Cybersecurity spending is broadly resilient because breaches are costly and boards demand visible protection, but individual deals still move with IT budgets and can slip in a downturn. Demand also responds to the threat environment itself: a wave of high-profile attacks tends to accelerate buying decisions industry-wide.

Key risks

  • July 2024 Falcon update outage — A faulty content update in July 2024 crashed millions of Windows systems worldwide, triggering litigation, customer credits and reputational damage that the company is still working through.
  • Intense competition in security software — Microsoft bundles competing endpoint protection into products many customers already own, and other specialized vendors compete module by module, pressuring pricing and the pace of new customer wins.
  • A single defect can affect every customer at once — Because the same agent runs on nearly every protected device, a bug in one update can disrupt customers simultaneously and at scale, as the 2024 outage demonstrated.
  • History of net losses and heavy stock-based compensation — CrowdStrike has a history of GAAP net losses and relies heavily on stock-based compensation to pay employees, which dilutes shareholders even as the business scales.

Customer concentration

No single direct customer or channel partner accounted for 10% or more of total revenue in the three most recent fiscal years, indicating a broad, diversified customer base.

The case for

Buyers argue that the Falcon platform's single-agent architecture creates real switching costs that show up in high module-adoption rates, that the July 2024 outage did less lasting damage to the customer base than feared, and that AI-driven detection keeps CrowdStrike ahead of a threat landscape rivals struggle to match.

The case against

Sellers fear that the July 2024 outage exposed the risk of concentrating so much trust in one vendor's agent, that Microsoft's bundled alternative is good enough for many customers at a much lower price, and that a company still posting GAAP losses is priced for a level of growth that gets harder to sustain as its customer base matures.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 28.6Score: 80Market cap: $3.70T

Defender for Endpoint is bundled into Microsoft 365 E5 licences, so it competes for the same endpoint security budget CrowdStrike sells into, often on bundle economics.

P/E: 993.3Score: 62Market cap: $318.95B

Its Cortex XDR and XSIAM line targets the same endpoint detection and security-operations workloads, sold to the same corporate SOC buyers.

P/E: 63.2Score: 80Market cap: $131.09B

A network security vendor that extends its platform to endpoint and SecOps products, competing for the consolidated security spend of the same mid-market and enterprise customers.

SentinelOne, Inc.S

Pure-play endpoint protection vendor whose Singularity platform is bid against Falcon in the same EDR/XDR deals, for the same enterprise and mid-market security teams.

Trend Micro Incorporated (トレンドマイクロ株式会社)4704

Vision One sells endpoint and XDR protection to the same enterprise accounts, with a particularly strong installed base in Japan and the rest of Asia.

Sophos Group LimitedNot tracked

Privately held (Thoma Bravo) endpoint and managed detection vendor that wins many of the mid-market and small-enterprise deals CrowdStrike also pursues.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$5.40B

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Net Income

$45M

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$1.31B

Total Equity

$4.43B

Total Liabilities

$6.61B

Current Ratio

1.57

Interest Coverage

4.99

Debt/EBITDA

7.68

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$174.23

Current Price

$264.75

Margin of Safety

-52.0%

Fair Value Range

$113.25 - $235.21

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$235.67
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$20.64
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:$0.49
Earnings power value (EPV):Not enough data to compute it
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$26.37
Analyst Consensus:Buy (45B / 14H / 2S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+3.82%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

4556.06

ROE

-3.7%

P/B Ratio

53.14

P/FCF

168.51

Gross Margin

75.2%

ROIC

-1.4%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-1.4%

WACC

11.0%

ROIC − WACC

-12.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 53.65%
  • Gross Margin 75.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 40.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 74% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 44.82
  • Share Dilution -1.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 0.8% vs -6.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (11)

  • ROIC -1.4%
  • P/FCF 168.51
  • P/B Ratio 53.14
  • Operating Margin -2.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 1.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.1%

Unavailable (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

44.82

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.6%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. George R. KurtzCo-Founder, President, CEO & Director54
Mr. Michael SentonasPresident51
Mr. Dmitri AlperovitchCo-Founder44
Mr. Anurag SahaChief Accounting Officer45
Mr. Justin AcquaroChief Information Officer-
Mr. Andy NowinskiVice President of Investor Relations & Strategic Finance-
Ms. Cathleen Garrigan Anderson J.D.Chief Legal Officer-
Mr. Brad BurnsChief Communications Officer-
Mr. J. C. HerreraChief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. Adam MeyersSenior Vice President of Counter Adversary Operations-

Audit Risk

10

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-03-05

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-27

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-26

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CRWD, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8d agoPOSITIVE
    Josh Brown: queste 3 azioni della sicurezza informatica restano attraenti

    Cybersecurity stocks are highlighted as an attractive investment niche despite broader software sector pressures. Josh Brown, CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, identifies CrowdStrike (CRWD), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Fortinet (FTNT) as prime opportunities. The accelerating adoption of AI is expanding corporate attack surfaces, making cybersecurity an essential operational expenditure. This fundamental shift supports premium valuations for leading cybersecurity firms, suggesting significant upside potential for these companies. Investors are advised to consider these names for exposure to a resilient and growing sector.

  • 17d agoPOSITIVE
    CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks lead software stocks to a never-before-seen feat

    CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. and Palo Alto Networks Inc. have spearheaded a remarkable outperformance by software stocks over the semiconductor sector. This divergence occurred amidst heightened concerns surrounding artificial intelligence development, a trend that has historically benefited chip manufacturers. The software sector's ability to lead in this environment suggests a potential shift in market focus, with investors prioritizing cybersecurity and cloud solutions over hardware components. This unprecedented feat highlights the resilience and evolving strategic importance of software companies in the current tech landscape, potentially signaling a favorable outlook for these cybersecurity leaders.

  • 8/27/2026POSITIVE
    CrowdStrike’s stock jumps after record-breaking earnings. Wall Street is lapping it up.

    CrowdStrike's stock surged following the release of record-breaking earnings, prompting several Wall Street analysts to raise their price targets. The cybersecurity firm's stellar performance has garnered significant positive attention from financial institutions, indicating strong investor confidence. This upward revision in price targets suggests that analysts anticipate continued growth and positive momentum for CrowdStrike, making it an attractive prospect for investors seeking exposure to the cybersecurity sector. The market's enthusiastic reception underscores the company's robust financial health and its strategic position in a critical industry.

  • 8/26/2026POSITIVE
    CrowdStrike’s stock soars after AI fuels the cybersecurity company’s ‘best quarter’ ever

    CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. experienced a significant stock surge following its announcement of an exceptionally strong quarter, largely attributed to its advancements in Artificial Intelligence (AI) for cybersecurity. CEO George Kurtz highlighted AI as the cornerstone of future enterprise operations and stated that securing these AI-driven environments represents the largest market opportunity in the company's history. This strategic positioning and demonstrated success in leveraging AI are expected to drive continued growth and market leadership for CrowdStrike, attracting investor interest in its innovative solutions.

via Markets Gazette