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Dynatrace Inc (DT)

Fair bewertet
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

62

Kurs

$58.70

Marktkapitalisierung

$16.72B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Dynatrace sells software that watches other software. Large companies run their applications across cloud services, containers and data centres, and when something slows down or breaks it is rarely obvious where. Dynatrace installs lightweight agents inside those environments, collects the resulting telemetry — traces, metrics, logs, user sessions, security signals — into a single data store it calls Grail, maps the dependencies between every component with a technology it calls Smartscape, and uses AI to point at the probable cause rather than leaving a human to read dashboards. Around that core the company also sells runtime application security, digital experience monitoring, business analytics and tooling for developers. As of 31 March 2026 the platform served roughly 4,100 customers in more than 110 countries, and the company reported total revenue of $2,018.4 million for fiscal 2026, the year ended 31 March 2026.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Almost all of the money is subscription money. The dominant contract form is the Dynatrace Platform Subscription: the customer commits to a minimum annual spend at the level of the whole platform, then draws that commitment down against actual usage at a published rate card, with any overage billed monthly at the same rates rather than at penalty prices. Committing to more buys a bigger discount, which pushes customers to consolidate more of their monitoring onto the platform. Customers can run the software as Dynatrace's SaaS or host it themselves under Dynatrace Managed, on the same subscription pricing. A small service line — implementation, consulting and training — sits alongside and exists largely to get subscriptions live. In fiscal 2026 subscription revenue was $1,929.7 million of $2,018.4 million total, and annual recurring revenue reached $2,053.6 million at year end.

Umsatz nach Segment

Subscription95.6%

Recurring access to the Dynatrace platform — observability, application security and AI operations — sold to enterprise IT, development and security teams, whether hosted by Dynatrace or deployed by the customer. $1,929.7 million in fiscal 2026.

Service and other4.4%

Implementation, consulting and training sold to the same enterprise customers, mostly to get new subscriptions deployed and expanded. $88.7 million in fiscal 2026.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Wechselkosten · Schmal

Dynatrace's agents sit inside production systems and the platform's dependency map and historical data are built up over time, so replacing it means re-instrumenting live infrastructure, retraining the teams who page on it, and losing the accumulated baseline — work most organisations avoid while everything is running. The platform-level commitment model reinforces this by rewarding customers who move more workloads onto it. The advantage is real but not wide: the company itself names Cisco (AppDynamics and Splunk), Datadog, Elastic, Grafana and New Relic as principal competitors, alongside open-source tooling and monitoring bundled into the cloud providers themselves, and it acknowledges that larger rivals have greater brand recognition, broader distribution and substantially greater financial and technical resources.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Demand rides on how much software companies run in the cloud and how complex it becomes — a structural trend that does not stop in a downturn, since systems still have to stay up. Most of the revenue is contracted in advance under multi-year platform commitments, which cushions a bad year. What does move with the cycle is the expansion layer: when IT budgets tighten, customers renew at flat commitments instead of raising them, slow new workload onboarding, and take longer to sign, and the company itself points to long and seasonally uneven sales cycles as a source of quarterly variability. So the base holds up better than most software, the growth rate does not.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Growth may not continue at historical rates — The company states that its rapid historical revenue growth should not be taken as an indicator of future performance, and that the overall demand for observability software is itself uncertain.
  • Intense competition and pricing pressure — Dynatrace competes with infrastructure monitoring, APM, log management, digital experience and security vendors, with open-source and commercial open-source projects, and with point solutions from the cloud providers. It flags the risk that customers do not accept its pricing model or that price competition erodes it, and that several competitors are far larger.
  • Security incidents — The filing warns that security breaches, malware, hacking attacks and other compromises could harm the business — a pointed risk for a vendor whose agents run inside customers' production systems and whose platform holds their telemetry.
  • Use of new and evolving AI technologies — The company discloses that its use of AI, both inside its products and in running the business, presents risks and challenges — the same technology it markets as a differentiator.
  • Dependence on partners and channels — A material share of sales runs through partners, and the filing identifies the performance of those relationships as a risk. For fiscal 2026 and 2025 a single channel partner accounted for 10% of revenue.
  • Long, unpredictable sales cycles — Enterprise deals take a long time to close and do so unevenly across the year, which the company cites as a source of variability in quarterly and annual results.
  • Interoperability with customer infrastructure — The platform must keep working across the customer's IT estate as that estate changes; the filing treats loss of interoperability as a risk to adoption and retention.

Kundenkonzentration

The filing states that no end-customer represented more than 10% of revenue in fiscal 2026, 2025 or 2024; with roughly 4,100 customers the base is spread out. The concentration that does exist is in distribution rather than in end demand: one channel partner accounted for 10% of revenue in both fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025. The filing does not disclose a combined share for the largest customers, so no figure is given here.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that observability is becoming non-optional as companies push more workloads into cloud and AI systems that no human can trace by hand, and that Dynatrace is one of the few vendors selling a single platform instead of a shelf of tools. They point to fiscal 2026 revenue of $2,018.4 million, up 19%, ARR crossing $2 billion, and 96% of revenue arriving as subscriptions, alongside income from operations of $245.4 million and net income of $162.7 million — growth that is already funded by the business rather than by losses. They argue the platform commitment model works in the company's favour, because customers who consolidate more monitoring onto it get cheaper rates and become harder to dislodge, and that a base of roughly 4,100 enterprise customers in over 110 countries leaves room to keep widening the footprint inside accounts already won.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that the market is crowded and that the crowd includes companies far larger: the filing names Cisco with AppDynamics and Splunk, Datadog, Elastic, Grafana and New Relic, and concedes those rivals can have greater brand recognition, broader distribution and substantially greater financial and technical resources — while open-source tooling and the monitoring bundled into the cloud providers themselves set a free-enough floor under prices. They note the company's own warning that its historical growth rate is not an indicator of the future and that overall demand for observability is uncertain, and that a consumption-based commitment model cuts both ways: usage that customers control can be throttled as easily as it can expand. They also point to the concentration sitting in distribution — one channel partner at 10% of revenue in each of the last two fiscal years — and to a sales cycle the company describes as long and unpredictable, which makes any single quarter a poor read on the business.

Generated on 18. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 547.7Score: 69Market cap: $0

Datadog is the closest full-platform rival to Dynatrace, selling the same unified observability suite — application performance monitoring, infrastructure metrics, logs and digital experience monitoring — to the same large cloud-native enterprise IT teams, and Dynatrace names it first among its principal competitors.

P/E: 32.3Score: 71Market cap: $421.74B

Through its AppDynamics and Splunk businesses Cisco sells enterprise application performance monitoring and log analytics into the same IT operations budgets Dynatrace targets, and Dynatrace lists it among its principal competitors.

New Relic, Inc.Not tracked

New Relic competes for the same application performance monitoring contracts with a comparable all-in-one observability platform, and remains a named principal competitor even after being taken private in 2023.

Elastic N.V.ESTC

Elastic's Observability and Security solutions, built on the Elasticsearch engine, win the same log management and monitoring workloads inside enterprise IT, often on price and on open-source flexibility.

Grafana Labs, Inc.Not tracked

Grafana Labs, still privately held, sells its open-source-based observability stack (Grafana, Loki, Mimir, Tempo) to the same engineering teams and is named a principal competitor in Dynatrace's most recent annual report.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$2.10B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$151M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$530M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$2.61B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.80B

Current Ratio

1.21

Zinsdeckungsgrad

318.16

Schulden/EBITDA

0.55

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallFair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$48.98

Aktueller Kurs

$58.70

Sicherheitsmarge

-19.8%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$31.84 - $66.12

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$59.71
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$60.75
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$14.57
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$17.10
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$7.79
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$4.54
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:$15.53
Umsatzmultiplikator:$36.41
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (34B / 11H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+4.67%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

115.48

ROE

6.2%

P/B-Verhältnis

6.81

P/FCF

29.25

Bruttomarge

81.4%

ROIC

7.5%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

7.5%

WACC

8.7%

ROIC − WACC

-1.2 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 10.55%
  • ROIC 7.5%
  • Gross Margin 81.4%
  • P/FCF 29.25
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 23.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 76% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.95
  • Share Dilution -1.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Nicht bestanden (7)

  • P/B Ratio 6.81
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 5.7%
  • PEG Ratio 7.26
  • Net Margin Trend 7.2% vs 27.7%

Nicht verfügbar (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

3.95

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-1.0%

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Rick M. McConnellCEO & Director59
Mr. Bernd GreifenederFounder, Executive VP & CTO53
Mr. James Martin BensonExecutive VP, CFO & Treasurer59
Mr. Dan ZugelderExecutive VP & Chief Revenue Officer57
Mr. Steve McMahonExecutive VP & Chief Customer Officer52
Mr. Daniel YatesSenior VP, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer44
Ms. Noelle FarisVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Nicole Fitzpatrick J.D.Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary-
Mr. Michael J. RogersChief People Officer43
Mr. Steve TackChief Product Officer-

Prüfungsrisiko

1

Vorstandsrisiko

7

Vergütungsrisiko

4

Aktionärsrechterisiko

5

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-05-20

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-05

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-09-25

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for DT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/28/2026NEUTRAL
    Dynatrace to Discuss Ideas With Starboard After Firm Takes Stake

    Dynatrace Inc. has confirmed engagement with activist investor Starboard Value LP, following Starboard's recent acquisition of a stake in the software intelligence company. The firm intends to discuss strategic and operational ideas with Starboard, signaling a potential shift in corporate governance or strategy. While the announcement itself is neutral, the involvement of an activist investor often precedes significant changes that could impact shareholder value, either positively or negatively, depending on the proposed reforms and their execution.

  • 4/28/2026POSITIVE
    Dynatrace Surges 8% After Hours as Activist Investor Starboard Value Reportedly Takes Significant Stake

    Dynatrace Inc. experienced an 8% surge in after-hours trading following reports that activist investor Starboard Value has acquired a significant stake in the company. This development signals potential strategic shifts, as Starboard is known for advocating for enhanced operational efficiency, share buybacks, and improved shareholder returns. The news comes amid existing growth concerns for Dynatrace, suggesting that Starboard's involvement could catalyze initiatives aimed at margin expansion and increased capital allocation to investors, potentially boosting the stock's valuation.

via Markets Gazette