NVR Inc (NVR)
Fair bewertetFundamental
72
Kurs
$6154.39
Marktkapitalisierung
$16.70B
Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist
Übersicht
NVR, Inc. is a Virginia-based homebuilder that designs, builds and sells single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings under three brands — Ryan Homes (first-time and first move-up buyers), NVHomes and Heartland Homes (move-up and luxury buyers). In fiscal 2025 it operated in 37 metropolitan areas across 16 states and Washington, D.C., and settled 21,915 homes. Almost everything it builds is constructed on a pre-sold basis: NVR signs a contract with a named buyer before it starts the house, which is why the order backlog (8,448 units, roughly $4.0 billion at 31 December 2025) is the company's forward book of business. Alongside the four homebuilding segments it runs NVR Mortgage Finance, which originates mortgages and provides title services exclusively to its own homebuyers. What most distinguishes NVR from other large builders is that it does not, as a rule, own or develop land: it buys finished lots from third-party developers under fixed-price lot purchase agreements backed by forfeitable deposits, controlling 180,100 lots at year end while keeping the land itself off its balance sheet.
Wie das Geld verdient wird
Nearly all revenue is the sale price of a finished home, recognised when the house is settled — transferred to the buyer at closing. The pipeline runs: a buyer signs a purchase contract, the home enters backlog, NVR builds it (usually within a few months) and books the revenue at settlement, so reported revenue is essentially last year's and last quarter's orders converting. Lots come from fixed-price lot purchase agreements with deposits of up to 10% of the purchase price, which NVR forfeits if it walks away; this converts the land bet into an option premium rather than an owned asset. The mortgage banking and title segment earns origination fees, gains on the sale of loans and title fees; it closed about 16,400 loans for $6.0 billion of principal in 2025 and sells essentially all of them into the secondary market on a servicing-released basis, typically within 30 days of closing, so it earns a one-off spread rather than a recurring servicing stream. The company has never paid a cash dividend and returns cash entirely through share repurchases.
Umsatz nach Segment
Homes sold in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware and Washington, D.C. — NVR's home region and its largest market, selling across the full range from Ryan Homes entry-level product to NVHomes luxury.
Homes sold in North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, Georgia and Kentucky — the fast-growing Sun Belt markets and the segment whose revenue fell most in 2025.
Homes sold in New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana and Illinois, mostly mid-priced product for first-time and move-up buyers.
Homes sold in New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania — the smallest homebuilding segment, and the only one whose revenue grew in 2025.
NVR Mortgage Finance originates mortgages and provides title and settlement services to people buying an NVR home, then sells the loans into the secondary market. It lends only to the group's own homebuyers.
Wettbewerbsvorteil
Kostenvorteil · SchmalNVR's advantage is structural rather than brand-based. By buying finished lots under option-style purchase agreements instead of owning and developing land, it ties up far less capital per home and can turn inventory faster than builders that carry years of land on the balance sheet; management states in the filing that the approach is meant to avoid the financial requirements and risks of direct land ownership and to let the company operate with less capital. Building only against signed contracts compounds this: NVR rarely carries finished speculative homes it has to discount. The limits are real, though. The model does not stop competitors from copying it, and a homebuyer choosing between a Ryan Home and a rival's house a mile away faces no switching cost and little brand loyalty; NVR also depends on third-party developers to deliver lots, and in a market where developers are scarce that dependence can cut the other way. It is a durable operating advantage in capital efficiency, not a barrier that keeps competitors out of its markets.
Was die Nachfrage antreibt
ZyklischBuying a house is the most postponable large purchase a household makes, and it is almost always financed, so demand swings with mortgage rates, employment and consumer confidence rather than with any need that recurs each year. The filing's own risk factors put economic conditions, interest rates and mortgage availability at the top of the list, and 2025 showed the mechanism at work: new orders fell 10% to 20,410 units and backlog fell 15% to 8,448 units while the company kept building out the previous year's book. Longer-term demand rests on household formation and on the shortage of existing homes for sale, but those move slowly; what moves the year is the monthly payment. Cancellations are the visible pressure gauge — roughly 17% of gross sales cancelled in 2025.
Wichtigste Risiken
- An economic downturn would hit both the homes and the mortgages — The filing lists a decline in national or regional economic conditions as its first risk. Housing demand tracks employment and consumer confidence closely, and because NVR also originates the mortgages on its own homes, a downturn hits the same customer twice.
- Interest rates, inflation and mortgage availability — The company discloses risks from interest rate movements and inflation, and separately from limited availability of suitable mortgage financing. Higher rates raise the monthly payment a buyer must qualify for, which can price buyers out of the backlog before settlement.
- Inventory and controlled lots can lose value — The filing discloses the risk that the market value of inventory or of the controlled lot position declines. At the end of 2025 NVR carried an impairment allowance of $111 million against roughly 18,200 lots where it judged recovery impaired — the deposit mechanism limits the loss but does not eliminate it.
- Not enough lots, materials or labour — Item 1A discloses the risk of failing to secure adequate lot inventory and of shortages of building materials or labour. Because NVR does not develop its own land, it depends on third-party developers to deliver finished lots on schedule.
- Construction quality, warranty and product liability claims — The company discloses the risk that subcontractors fail to build to its standards, and separate risks of product liability litigation and warranty claims. NVR builds through subcontractors, so defects surface as claims it must honour years later.
- Loans sold may come back — The filing discloses risks from deficiencies in mortgage underwriting quality and from claims on mortgage loans sold to third parties: if loans default and investors determine they were not underwritten to their requirements, NVR can be required to repurchase them or indemnify the buyer. It also discloses the risk that secondary-market disruption prevents it selling loans at all.
- Regulation of building and of mortgage lending — The filing discloses risks from government regulation and environmental matters affecting where and how it can build, and separately from increasing regulation of the mortgage industry.
- Cybersecurity, key people and access to capital — Item 1A also discloses cybersecurity incidents and data breaches, the loss of key personnel, volatility in credit and capital markets, and the effects of the company's current indebtedness. Weather and other uncontrollable events, health epidemics and reputational damage to its brands are listed as well.
Kundenkonzentration
NVR sells to individual families, one house at a time, across 37 metropolitan areas, and the filing discloses no concentration in a small number of customers — there is none to disclose. The concentration that does exist is internal and is stated plainly: the mortgage banking segment originates loans only for people buying NVR homes, so all of its business depends on the homebuilding segment. Geographically, the Mid Atlantic region alone accounted for 42.3% of consolidated revenue in fiscal 2025, which is a concentration of a different kind — in one housing market rather than in one buyer.
Die Argumente dafür
Buyers argue that the lot-option model is the point. Because NVR does not own or develop land — it controlled 180,100 lots at the end of 2025 while putting up deposits rather than buying acreage — it needs far less capital per home than rivals and can walk away from a bad market at the cost of a forfeited deposit instead of a written-down land bank. Building only against signed contracts means it rarely sits on unsold finished homes. That combination, they argue, is what lets the company generate high returns on equity through a cycle and funnel the cash into buybacks rather than land: it has never paid a dividend and repurchased shares under successive $750 million authorisations through 2025 and again in February 2026, shrinking the share count year after year. They also point to the structural case for new homes — household formation and a thin supply of existing houses for sale — and to a backlog of roughly $4.0 billion that converts to revenue over the following year.
Die Argumente dagegen
Sellers fear that the cycle is turning against the company and the numbers already show it. In fiscal 2025 new orders fell 10% to 20,410 units, settlements fell 4% to 21,915, backlog fell 15% in units and to roughly $4.0 billion in value, and homebuilding revenue slipped to $10.09 billion from $10.29 billion — with backlog down, 2026 revenue starts from a smaller base. They note that the asset-light model does not make NVR immune: it recorded a $111 million impairment allowance against about 18,200 lots at year end, and depends on third-party developers it does not control to deliver finished lots on time. They argue the model is also replicable — rivals have been shifting toward optioned lots — and that NVR sells a commodity product into local markets where a buyer comparing two houses faces no switching cost, so pricing is set by mortgage rates and by what the builder down the road is offering. The mortgage arm compounds rather than diversifies the exposure, since it lends only to NVR's own buyers, and it carries repurchase obligations on loans already sold if underwriting is found wanting.
Generated on 19. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 19. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
With its Centex, Pulte and Del Webb brands it spans first-time to luxury buyers and is a leading builder in Washington, D.C., Baltimore and the wider Mid-Atlantic, NVR's core revenue base.
The second-largest US homebuilder competes for the same new-home buyers and the same land positions in most of the metro areas where NVR operates, and likewise bundles mortgage and title services with the sale.
The main rival to NVR's NVHomes and Heartland Homes brands, building move-up and luxury homes in the same Washington–Baltimore–Philadelphia corridor.
The largest US homebuilder by closings, it sells entry-level and first move-up single-family homes to the same buyers NVR's Ryan Homes brand targets, in overlapping eastern and southeastern metro markets.
A mid-sized builder whose markets sit almost entirely inside NVR's footprint — Columbus, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Charlotte, Raleigh and Washington, D.C. — with a comparable first-time and move-up product mix.
A national builder competing for the same move-up and active-adult buyers across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, including the Carolinas and Florida markets NVR has been expanding into.
Bilanz & Liquidität
Umsatz
$9.53B
Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)
Nettogewinn
$1.14B
Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)
Freier Cashflow
$1.10B
Gesamtes Eigenkapital
$3.86B
Gesamtverbindlichkeiten
$1.99B
Current Ratio
3.51
Zinsdeckungsgrad
-
Schulden/EBITDA
0.71
Gewinn je Aktie
Umsatz & Nettogewinn
Freier Cashflow
Ertragsaufschlüsselung
Historische Aufstellung
Margen im Zeitverlauf
Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf
Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen
Wachstumsraster
Wachstum — Umsatz
Innerer-Wert-Schätzung
Innerer Wert
$5957.39
Aktueller Kurs
$6154.39
Sicherheitsmarge
-3.3%
Innerer-Wert-Spanne
$4889.35 - $7025.42
Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.
Bewertungsmethoden
Bewertungskennzahlen
P/E-Verhältnis
15.99
ROE
34.7%
P/B-Verhältnis
4.84
P/FCF
15.67
Bruttomarge
-
ROIC
-
Rentabilitäts-Radar
Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)
ROIC
-
WACC
8.9%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien
Bestanden (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 21.02%
- Price CAGR 13.95%
- P/FCF 15.67
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 31.0%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.7%
- PEG Ratio 1.04
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.93
- Share Dilution -7.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Nicht bestanden (6)
- P/B Ratio 4.84
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 14% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg -1.1%
- Net Margin Trend 12.0% vs 14.4%
Nicht verfügbar (6)
- ROIC NaN%
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit
Gewinnqualität
Mittel: Gewisse Differenz zwischen Gewinn und Cashflow
Aktienverwässerung
Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich
Institutionelle Beteiligungen
Unternehmensführung
Führungsteam
| Name | Position | Alter |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Paul C. Saville | Executive Chairman of the Board | 69 |
| Mr. Eugene James Bredow | President & CEO | 55 |
| Mr. Daniel David Malzahn | Senior VP, CFO & Treasurer | 55 |
| Mr. Matthew B. Kelpy CPA | VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller | 52 |
| Mr. James M. Sack | General Counsel & Secretary | - |
Prüfungsrisiko
10
Vorstandsrisiko
8
Vergütungsrisiko
7
Aktionärsrechterisiko
6
Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt
Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.
Dokumente
- Dokument ansehen
Jahresbericht (10-K)
Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.
Eingereicht am 2026-02-11
- Dokument ansehen
Quartalsbericht (10-Q)
Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.
Eingereicht am 2026-08-05
- Dokument ansehen
Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)
Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.
Eingereicht am 2026-07-23
via SEC EDGAR
Ertragshistorie
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for NVR, sourced from Markets Gazette.