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OGE Energy Corp. (OGE)

Unterbewertet
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

56

Kurs

$45.25

Marktkapitalisierung

$9.14B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

OGE Energy is a holding company whose main asset is OG&E, the largest electric utility in Oklahoma. OG&E generates, transmits, distributes and sells electricity to about 913,000 retail customers across a 30,000-square-mile service area covering Oklahoma City and Fort Smith, Arkansas. It owns coal, natural-gas, wind and solar generation and operates as a regulated monopoly: state and federal commissions set the rates it can charge in exchange for an obligation to serve every customer in its territory.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

OG&E earns a regulated return on the capital it invests in power plants, wires and grid infrastructure, set by the Oklahoma and Arkansas commissions and the FERC. It collects revenue by billing customers for electricity used, plus a separate fuel-adjustment clause that passes coal and natural-gas costs through to customers without markup. Growth comes mainly from adding new customer load and from rate increases approved after the company files for a general rate review.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Skaleneffekte · Schmal

OG&E holds an exclusive franchise to serve retail electricity customers across its territory, and no competitor can build a rival grid there. That exclusivity is granted and limited by regulators, who cap the return OG&E earns on its investments, so the advantage shows up as a stable, low-risk business rather than outsized profit.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Defensiv

Electricity is a necessity with limited substitutes, so OG&E's demand is far steadier than the broader economy — the risk framework the company describes is regulatory and weather-driven rather than tied to the business cycle. Demand does peak seasonally with summer air-conditioning load, and the company notes rising interest from data-center and cryptocurrency-mining customers as a new source of growth.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Regulatory cost-recovery risk — OG&E's profitability depends on regulators approving rate increases that let it recover its costs and cost of capital. The company states that a denial or delay of rate relief, or a future disallowance, could adversely affect its results.
  • Weather-driven demand and outage costs — Demand peaks with summer heat and results fluctuate seasonally; the company also warns that severe weather — tornadoes, ice storms, wildfires and droughts — can cause outages and restoration costs it may not fully recover through rates.
  • Dependence on coal and natural-gas suppliers — OG&E relies on suppliers and transporters to deliver coal and natural gas under contract, and states there is no assurance these counterparties will fulfill their obligations; disruption could force it to buy replacement power at higher cost.
  • Holding-company structure limits OGE Energy's access to cash — OGE Energy's only substantial asset is OG&E; its ability to pay dividends and service debt depends on dividends OG&E sends up, which state regulators can restrict, and OG&E's creditors are paid before OGE Energy's.
  • Concentration risk from large new customers — OG&E notes rising demand from data centers and cryptocurrency-mining operations, which could come to represent a significant share of revenue; nonpayment or reduced demand from such large loads would expose the company to counterparty credit risk.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that OG&E's exclusive franchise and essential service produce steady, regulator-approved returns, that its 92%-Oklahoma rate base benefits from a historically constructive regulatory relationship, and that new large loads from data centers and crypto mining could accelerate rate-base growth for years.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that returns are capped by regulators who can deny or delay rate increases, that the shift to renewables and battery storage requires heavy capital spending with no guarantee of full recovery, and that a large new customer failing to materialize or pay could leave OG&E with stranded investment.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 17.6Score: 57Market cap: $63.97B

Through its Public Service Company of Oklahoma subsidiary, AEP is the other large investor-owned electric utility in Oklahoma, serving the eastern and southwestern parts of the state next to OG&E's territory and bidding into the same Southwest Power Pool market.

P/E: 25.3Score: 49Market cap: $44.91B

Entergy Arkansas is the dominant electric utility in Arkansas, where OG&E serves Fort Smith and the western part of the state, so the two compete for Arkansas households, industrial load and new plant siting.

P/E: 20.9Score: 56Market cap: $17.90B

Evergy is a regulated electric utility of comparable size in the neighbouring Kansas and Missouri part of the same Southwest Power Pool market, competing for wholesale energy sales and for the large industrial and data-centre loads that choose where to locate in the region.

P/E: 19.3Score: 49Market cap: $43.45B

Its Southwestern Public Service subsidiary is a regulated electric utility in the same Southwest Power Pool footprint, covering the Texas Panhandle and eastern New Mexico immediately south-west of OG&E's service area.

Western Farmers Electric CooperativeNot tracked

This Oklahoma generation-and-transmission cooperative supplies the rural electric cooperatives that serve much of the state, and OG&E's own 10-K names rural cooperatives among the competitors it faces because Oklahoma law grants no exclusive franchise.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$3.19B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Nettogewinn

$458M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$83M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$4.98B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$9.39B

Current Ratio

0.66

Zinsdeckungsgrad

2.96

Schulden/EBITDA

4.31

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Regulierter VersorgerUnterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$70.48

Aktueller Kurs

$45.25

Sicherheitsmarge

+35.8%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$45.81 - $95.15

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$50.45
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$224.52
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$40.31
Graham-Wachstumsformel:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$37.27
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$31.88
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Umsatzmultiplikator:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (7B / 10H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+0.00%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

20.19

ROE

9.5%

P/B-Verhältnis

1.90

P/FCF

41.66

Bruttomarge

60.1%

ROIC

4.7%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

-1.7 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (14)

  • Gross Margin 60.1%
  • P/B Ratio 1.90
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 24.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 9.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.83
  • Share Dilution 0.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Nicht bestanden (12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -0.42%
  • Price CAGR 2.94%
  • ROIC 4.6%
  • P/FCF 41.66
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 41% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.4% vs 15.8%

Nicht verfügbar (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Starke finanzielle Gesundheit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

2.83

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

0.6%

Aktienanzahl ist stabil

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Robert Sean TrauschkeChairman, President & CEO58
Mr. Charles B. Walworth CPAChief Financial Officer50
Mr. William H. Sultemeier J.D.General Counsel, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer57
Mr. Donnie O. JonesSenior Vice President of Utility Operations of OG&E58
Mr. David A. ParkerChief Information Officer of OG&E48
Ms. Sarah R. StaffordChief Accounting Officer & Controller43
Mr. Jason BaileyTreasurer & Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. John Paul LawsChief Commercial Officer50
Cassandra StrangeInvestor Relations Manager-
Ms. Christine Ostendorf WoodworthVice President of Marketing & Communications - OG&E Company54

Prüfungsrisiko

6

Vorstandsrisiko

5

Vergütungsrisiko

2

Aktionärsrechterisiko

3

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-18

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-29

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-03

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

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