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American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP)

Fair bewertet
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

60

Kurs

$118.79

Marktkapitalisierung

$64.00B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

American Electric Power is a regulated utility that generates, transmits and distributes electricity to 5.6 million customers across 11 U.S. states, mostly in the Midwest and South. It owns roughly 33,000 megawatts of generation and the nation's largest network of high-voltage transmission lines. Its business is split between utilities that both generate and sell power locally, and units that only move electricity — including AEP Transmission Holdco, which builds and operates transmission lines without ever selling power directly to a household.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

AEP does not compete for customers in most of its territory: state regulators grant it an exclusive service area and, in exchange, set the prices it can charge based on its approved costs plus an allowed return on the capital it invests in poles, wires and power plants. Revenue therefore grows mainly by winning regulatory approval to spend more on the grid — new transmission lines, storm hardening, and the replacement of retiring coal plants — rather than by selling more electricity.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Skaleneffekte · Breit

AEP owns the wires and power plants serving its territory, and state regulators do not grant competing utilities the right to build parallel infrastructure. A rival would need to replicate tens of thousands of miles of transmission and distribution lines from scratch to compete for the same customers — an investment no regulator would allow or reward.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Defensiv

Electricity demand from homes and businesses changes little with the economic cycle — people keep the lights on in a recession. AEP's growth increasingly comes from a different source: data centers and industrial customers signing long-term contracts for new capacity, which is more sensitive to how fast it can build than to the business cycle.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Regulatory cost recovery is not guaranteed — AEP's returns depend on state regulators approving rate increases for its capital spending. A commission can disallow costs it judges imprudent, delay a rate case, or grant a lower return than requested.
  • Wildfire liability — AEP identifies storms and wildfires linked to its power lines as a risk that could bring litigation and damages it may not be able to recover through rates, as has happened to utilities elsewhere in the country.
  • Coal plant transition and stranded assets — Rising costs of operating older coal units, environmental rules and cheaper alternatives are pushing AEP to retire coal generation earlier than planned, risking assets that are not fully depreciated when they close.
  • Physical exposure to extreme weather — AEP's generation, transmission and distribution assets are spread across regions increasingly exposed to storms and extreme temperatures, which can damage infrastructure and raise both repair costs and outage-related liability.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that data center demand is driving the first sustained load growth U.S. utilities have seen in decades, and that AEP's regulated returns on the capital needed to serve it offer a predictable earnings path largely insulated from the wider economy.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers worry that wildfire litigation, disallowed costs in rate cases, and the capital burden of replacing retiring coal plants could weigh on returns faster than data center growth can offset them.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 23. August 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 23.5Score: 46Market cap: $24.88B

Both run regulated electricity networks in Ohio inside the PJM market, serving neighbouring territories under the same state commission and courting the same industrial and data-center load.

P/E: 17.5Score: 64Market cap: $88.41B

Duke's regulated utilities in Indiana, Ohio and Kentucky border AEP's Indiana Michigan Power, AEP Ohio and Kentucky Power, competing for the same industrial customers and the same rate-based grid investment.

P/E: 17.9Score: 58Market cap: $53.12B

In Virginia, AEP's Appalachian Power and Dominion Energy Virginia serve adjacent parts of the same state under the same commission and compete to attract and supply the state's data-center demand.

P/E: 25.3Score: 49Market cap: $44.91B

Entergy's utilities in Arkansas, Louisiana and east Texas overlap the territory of AEP's Southwestern Electric Power Company, competing for the same industrial and data-center customers in the Gulf South.

P/E: 14.8Score: 50Market cap: $41.13B

Exelon's regulated delivery utilities compete with AEP for large-load and data-center connections across the PJM region, while its ComEd default service is the direct alternative to AEP Energy's retail supply in Illinois.

P/E: 20.2Score: 57Market cap: $9.14B

OG&E and AEP's Public Service Company of Oklahoma divide Oklahoma between them under the same state commission, competing for the same commercial and industrial customers.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$21.99B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Nettogewinn

$3.80B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$3.49B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$31.14B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$82.20B

Current Ratio

0.53

Zinsdeckungsgrad

2.59

Schulden/EBITDA

6.07

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Regulierter VersorgerFair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$138.06

Aktueller Kurs

$118.79

Sicherheitsmarge

+14.0%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$89.74 - $186.38

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$143.23
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$268.74
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$103.30
Graham-Wachstumsformel:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$94.03
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$97.24
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Umsatzmultiplikator:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (16B / 12H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:-9.95%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

17.55

ROE

11.9%

P/B-Verhältnis

2.03

P/FCF

24.88

Bruttomarge

-

ROIC

4.0%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

4.0%

WACC

5.8%

ROIC − WACC

-1.7 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 5.10%
  • Price CAGR 6.52%
  • P/FCF 24.88
  • P/B Ratio 2.03
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 24.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 10.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.85
  • Net Margin Trend 17.3% vs 13.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • ROIC 4.1%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -1.3%
  • PEG Ratio 2.39
  • Share Dilution 4.1%

Nicht verfügbar (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.85

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

4.1%

Neue Aktien werden ausgegeben, Eigentum wird verwässert

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. William J. FehrmanChairman, President & CEO65
Mr. Trevor Ian Mihalik CPAExecutive VP & CFO58
Mr. Robert B. BerntsenExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary55
Ms. Alicia R. KnappPresident of Nuclear Development46
Mr. Douglas A. CannonPresident of AEP Transmission49
Ms. Kate DixonSenior VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer40
Mr. Johannes G. EckertExecutive VP and Chief Information & Technology Officer57
Mr. Andy GurgolVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Chris BrathwaiteVP & Chief Communications Officer-
Mr. Phillip R. UlrichExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer54

Prüfungsrisiko

8

Vorstandsrisiko

6

Vergütungsrisiko

7

Aktionärsrechterisiko

6

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-12

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-30

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-09-30

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for AEP, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/12/2026NEUTRAL
    American Electric Power Utility Offers $2.6 Billion in Shares

    American Electric Power Co. announced plans to offer $2.6 billion in shares, a move driven by surging electricity demand fueled by artificial intelligence advancements. This capital raise aims to support infrastructure expansion necessary to meet the growing power needs of AI data centers and related technologies. While the share offering could dilute existing shareholders in the short term, it signals the company's strategic positioning to capitalize on a significant long-term growth opportunity in the energy sector.

  • 5/5/2026NEGATIVE
    US Utility Threatens to Quit Power Grids on Data Center Rift

    American Electric Power Co. (AEP), a major US utility, has threatened to exit two of the nation's largest power grids. The company cites the protracted timelines required to connect new AI data centers as the primary reason for this drastic consideration. This move highlights the growing strain on existing infrastructure due to the exponential demand from AI and cloud computing facilities. Investors should monitor AEP's decision, as it could signal broader challenges for utilities in adapting to the rapid growth of data-intensive industries and potentially impact grid stability and energy costs.

  • 5/5/2026NEUTRAL
    AEP Weighs Break From Two of America’s Biggest Power Grids

    American Electric Power Co. (AEP) is evaluating its participation in two major US power grids, citing concerns over the slow pace of connecting data center clients. This strategic review could lead to significant operational changes for AEP, potentially impacting its infrastructure investments and service delivery models. Investors will be watching for further details on the specific grids involved and the potential financial implications of any membership changes, as this could affect the company's future growth trajectory and operational efficiency.

  • 4/21/2026POSITIVE
    This American Electric Power Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Tuesday

    Analysts have initiated coverage on American Electric Power (AEP) with a bullish stance, signaling positive sentiment for the utility company. While specific price targets and ratings are not detailed in this summary, the initiation of coverage on a positive note suggests analysts foresee growth or stability in AEP's future performance. This could be driven by factors such as regulatory stability, renewable energy investments, or strong operational execution. Investors often view new, positive analyst coverage as a catalyst for stock price appreciation.

via Markets Gazette