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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Unterbewertet
Financial ServicesCredit ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

82

Kurs

$53.11

Marktkapitalisierung

$45.34B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

PayPal lets people and businesses send and accept money online without sharing bank details, through the PayPal wallet, Venmo for peer-to-peer transfers, and Braintree, which lets merchants build PayPal's checkout directly into their own apps and websites. It sits between a buyer's bank or card and a merchant, verifying identity and guaranteeing the payment goes through, which is why merchants pay to use it even though direct card processing can be cheaper.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Transaction revenue, the large majority of the total, is a fee charged as a percentage of each payment processed, plus fixed amounts for currency conversion and cross-border transfers, so it scales directly with the dollar value flowing through PayPal's network. The rest, revenue from other value-added services, comes from interest on loans PayPal extends to consumers and merchants, interest earned on customer balances held with PayPal, and referral or subscription fees — income that does not require a transaction to occur.

Umsatz nach Segment

Transaction Revenue90%

Fees earned as a percentage of payment volume processed through PayPal, Venmo and Braintree, plus currency conversion and cross-border charges.

Other Value Added Services10%

Interest on consumer and merchant credit products, interest on customer balances, and partnership, subscription and referral fees not tied to a transaction.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Netzwerkeffekte · Schmal

PayPal benefits from a two-sided network: more merchants who accept it make it more useful for consumers, and more consumers who use it make it more valuable for merchants to offer. But that effect has weakened as card networks, Apple Pay and dedicated checkout providers like Stripe have become just as widely accepted, eroding PayPal's early advantage.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Transaction revenue tracks the overall volume of e-commerce and digital payments, which has grown steadily but is still tied to consumer spending and can slow when shoppers pull back in a weaker economy. Interest income on loans and customer balances adds a second, rate-sensitive driver that moves with monetary policy rather than with commerce itself.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Intensifying payments competition — Apple Pay, Google Pay, card-network wallets and checkout specialists like Stripe and Adyen all compete for the same merchant and consumer transactions, pressuring PayPal's take rate and market share.
  • Sensitivity to interest rates — A meaningful part of other value-added services revenue comes from interest income, so lower rates directly reduce this part of revenue independent of how much payment volume PayPal processes.
  • Regulatory exposure across many jurisdictions — PayPal operates as a money transmitter and lender across dozens of countries, each with its own consumer-protection, anti-money-laundering and payments regulation that can change and raise compliance costs.
  • Credit risk on consumer and merchant lending — PayPal extends credit directly to consumers and merchants through products like Buy Now Pay Later and working-capital loans, exposing it to losses if borrowers do not repay.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that PayPal's wallet, Venmo and Braintree together still process an enormous and growing volume of e-commerce, that a large base of stored customer balances and credit products gives it a second revenue stream beyond simple payment fees, and that recent efforts to modernize checkout can defend its take rate against newer competitors.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that checkout has become commoditized, with Apple Pay and card-network wallets now just as convenient as the PayPal button that built the company, that Venmo and Braintree still monetize below the core PayPal brand's rate, and that interest income leaves a chunk of revenue exposed to rate cuts outside management's control.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$33.73B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Nettogewinn

$5.06B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$5.56B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$20.26B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$59.92B

Current Ratio

1.26

Zinsdeckungsgrad

13.41

Schulden/EBITDA

1.43

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallUnterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$73.53

Aktueller Kurs

$53.11

Sicherheitsmarge

+27.8%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$47.80 - $99.27

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$57.07
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$115.41
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$49.30
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$121.87
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$44.36
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$56.18
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$1.77
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:$112.39
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:$64.63
Umsatzmultiplikator:$101.25
Analystenkonsens:Halten (14B / 35H / 3S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+5.92%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

9.86

ROE

25.8%

P/B-Verhältnis

2.31

P/FCF

8.42

Bruttomarge

-

ROIC

14.5%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

14.5%

WACC

10.4%

ROIC − WACC

+4.0 pp

Der ROIC übersteigt die Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen schafft Wert für die Aktionäre.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 17.51%
  • ROIC 14.5%
  • P/FCF 8.42
  • P/B Ratio 2.31
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 24.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 1.03
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
  • Share Dilution -6.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 15.0% vs 14.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Nicht bestanden (5)

  • Price CAGR 2.90%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Analyst Consensus 27% Buy

Nicht verfügbar (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Starke finanzielle Gesundheit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.26

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-6.9%

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Enrique J. LoresPresident, CEO & Director59
Ms. Jamie S. MillerChief Financial & Operating Officer and Executive VP56
Mr. Frank KellerPresident of Checkout Solutions & PayPal51
Ms. Suzan Bulyaba KereerePresident of Global Markets59
Mr. Christopher NataliSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer47
Mr. Srinivasan VenkatesanChief Technology Officer54
Mr. Steven Eric WinokerChief Investor Relations Officer-
Mr. Bimal PatelChief Legal Officer-
Ms. Amy BonitatibusChief Corporate Affairs & Communications Officer-
Mr. Antonio J. LucioChief Marketing & Corporate Affairs Officer66

Prüfungsrisiko

1

Vorstandsrisiko

4

Vergütungsrisiko

3

Aktionärsrechterisiko

6

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-03

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-28

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-28

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PYPL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/28/2026NEGATIVE
    PayPal’s stock slides as a takeover bid is said to fall through. What’s next for the company?

    PayPal's stock experienced a significant decline following reports that a potential takeover bid has failed to materialize. This news removes a key catalyst that had been supporting the stock price in recent months. Investors had been anticipating a potential acquisition as a catalyst for a turnaround, but the failure of this bid leaves PayPal facing the challenge of executing its strategic initiatives independently. The company must now demonstrate its ability to drive growth and improve profitability through its own operational efforts, which introduces a higher degree of uncertainty for shareholders.

  • 8/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Nasdaq-100® Inside the Index: PayPal Holdings (PYPL)

    PayPal Holdings (PYPL), a prominent member of the Nasdaq-100®, is highlighted for its extensive digital payments network spanning over 200 countries. The analysis delves into its dual-sided payment system, the expansion of its Venmo platform, and strategic initiatives in AI-driven commerce, lending, and advertising. These efforts aim to diversify revenue streams beyond conventional payment processing, signaling a focus on innovation and future growth avenues for the company.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    PayPal delivers an earnings beat — and suggests it’s not against a merger deal

    PayPal Holdings Inc. announced an earnings beat, exceeding analyst expectations for the latest fiscal quarter. The company's CEO indicated a willingness to explore strategic alternatives, including potential merger or acquisition discussions, if they present a clear path to superior shareholder value compared to their current strategy. This dual announcement of strong operational performance and openness to significant strategic shifts has generated positive sentiment among investors, suggesting potential upside catalysts for the stock.

  • 7/28/2026NEUTRAL
    PayPal expands stablecoin push as crypto assets factor into Q2 results

    PayPal reported Q2 revenue of $8.68 billion, meeting analyst expectations. The company highlighted growth in its stablecoin initiatives and the integration of AI-driven payment tools. A notable crypto-related earnings adjustment of $81 million was also disclosed. While the stablecoin expansion signals innovation and potential future revenue streams, the crypto adjustment introduces a degree of uncertainty. Investors will monitor the long-term impact of these digital asset strategies on profitability and overall business performance.

via Markets Gazette