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The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM)

Fair bewertet
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - BrewersUnited States

Fundamental

55

Kurs

$164.02

Marktkapitalisierung

$1.73B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Boston Beer makes and sells alcohol beverages under a portfolio of brands built around flavor rather than one core beer style: Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, Samuel Adams, Angry Orchard, Dogfish Head and newer entries like Sun Cruiser. It brews some of its own volume at four company-owned breweries and contracts the rest out to third parties. Sales go almost entirely through independent beer wholesalers, who then sell into bars, restaurants and retailers across the United States and a handful of export markets.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue comes from selling finished cans, bottles and kegs to distributors, who resell to retailers and bars; Boston Beer books the sale on shipment, not on what the end consumer eventually buys. Because volume has been shrinking across most brands, growth now depends on premium pricing and shifting the mix toward faster-growing lines like Sun Cruiser and Twisted Tea Extreme rather than on selling more total gallons. Contract-brewing shortfall fees can eat into margin when actual volume misses committed minimums.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Marke · Schmal

Twisted Tea has been the largest-selling flavored malt beverage brand in the U.S. since 2022, and Boston Beer ranks as the second-largest supplier in the 'Beyond Beer' category with about 20% share. Those positions took decades and heavy marketing spend to build, but the moat is narrow: rivals with far deeper pockets, from AB InBev to Coca-Cola-backed brands, compete hard for the same shelf space.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Demand tracks discretionary consumer spending on alcohol more than the broader economy — sales hold up reasonably well in downturns but face growing pressure from a structural shift toward moderation and non-alcoholic alternatives among younger drinkers. The U.S. beer market overall declined about 4% by volume in 2025, a headwind that predates any recession.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Substantial competition — The company competes against much larger brewers such as AB InBev and Molson Coors, growing imported beer brands, and non-alcoholic giants like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo that have entered the alcohol category through licensing deals, all fighting for the same shelf and tap space.
  • Changing consumer attitudes — The company states that younger generations are embracing moderation or abstinence, that U.S. beer volumes fell about 4% in 2025, and that further declines in alcohol consumption could materially hurt results.
  • Dependence on distributors — About 94% of Boston Beer's U.S. volume is sold through independent distributors it does not control, and changes in ownership or support within that network could weaken sales without a direct fix available to the company.
  • Contract-production shortfall fees — The company has committed to minimum annual volumes with third-party producers such as City Brewing and expects to fall short of those commitments, incurring shortfall fees of about $19 million in future years on top of $21.4 million already recorded in 2025.

Kundenkonzentration

Die größten Kunden machen 7 % des Umsatzes aus

No single distributor is disclosed as a concentration risk: the largest individual distributor accounted for about 3% of gross sales in 2025, and the top three together for about 7%, reflecting a network of over 300 wholesalers.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Boston Beer's move toward higher-margin innovations like Sun Cruiser and Twisted Tea Extreme, combined with supply-chain efficiency gains that have cut inventory write-offs since 2023, position the company to grow earnings even as overall beer volumes shrink.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that a structural decline in U.S. alcohol consumption among younger drinkers will keep pressuring volumes across nearly every brand in the portfolio, and that shortfall fees on contract-production commitments will keep weighing on margins as demand undershoots the levels the company planned for.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$1.93B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 27.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$-70M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 27.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$216M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$846M

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$347M

Current Ratio

1.05

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

0.13

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallFair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$199.00

Aktueller Kurs

$164.02

Sicherheitsmarge

+17.6%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$189.05 - $208.95

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$199.00
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Graham-Wachstumsformel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Umsatzmultiplikator:$220.21
Analystenkonsens:Halten (1B / 15H / 7S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:-25.12%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

16.81

ROE

12.8%

P/B-Verhältnis

1.92

P/FCF

6.64

Bruttomarge

48.9%

ROIC

-9.4%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

-9.4%

WACC

9.1%

ROIC − WACC

-18.5 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.94%
  • Gross Margin 48.9%
  • P/FCF 6.64
  • P/B Ratio 1.92
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Share Dilution -7.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Nicht bestanden (12)

  • Price CAGR -0.13%
  • ROIC -9.4%
  • Operating Margin -4.7%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -8.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 4% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.3%
  • Net Margin Trend -3.6% vs 3.9%

Nicht verfügbar (5)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Starke finanzielle Gesundheit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

-

Niedrige Qualität: Rechnungslegung prüfen

Aktienverwässerung

-7.0%

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. C. James Koch J.D.Founder, Chairman, President & CEO75
Mr. Samuel A. Calagione IIIFounder, Brewer of Dogfish Head & Director55
Ms. Laura J. BoyntonChief People Officer49
Ms. Lesya LysyjAdvisor62
Mr. Paul WeaverDirector & Head of Cannabis-
Mr. Philip E. SavastanoChief Supply Chain Officer-
Mr. Michael G. AndrewsAssociate General Counsel & Corporate Secretary-

Prüfungsrisiko

8

Vorstandsrisiko

9

Vergütungsrisiko

10

Aktionärsrechterisiko

10

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-24

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-23

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-20

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for SAM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Boston Beer Co Earnings Review: Q4 Summary

    Boston Beer Co has announced its Q4 earnings review, but the specific details of the report have not been made available at this time. Without key data such as revenues, earnings per share, or future guidance, investors are unable to fully assess the company's performance or its potential impact on the stock price. The market awaits more comprehensive information to form an informed judgment on the financial health and growth prospects of the craft beer and alcoholic beverage producer, leaving the stock in a state of uncertainty.

via Markets Gazette