Ally Financial Inc (ALLY)
Juste valeurFondamental
67
Prix
$37.62
Capitalisation boursière
$11.62B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
Ally Financial is a US bank holding company with $196.0 billion of assets at 31 December 2025, built around two things: the largest all-digital bank in the country and a century-old automotive finance and insurance franchise. Ally does not lend to car buyers at a branch; it buys the retail installment contracts and leases that dealers write at the point of sale, and it finances the dealers themselves by funding the vehicles sitting on their lots. Roughly 21,400 dealers had an active relationship with Ally in the fourth quarter of 2025, and the company originated $43.7 billion of consumer automotive loans and leases during the year, 62% of it on used vehicles. Alongside this it sells vehicle service contracts and dealer insurance through the same dealer network, lends to middle-market companies backed by private equity sponsors, and runs Ally Bank, which held $184.6 billion of assets and $151.6 billion of non-affiliate deposits and funds most of the lending. The company has been narrowing its perimeter: it sold Ally Lending in March 2024, closed the sale of Ally Credit Card on 1 April 2025, and stopped originating consumer mortgages in the second quarter of 2025.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Like any lender, Ally earns most of its money on the spread: it pays depositors and bondholders for money and charges more to car buyers, dealers and corporate borrowers. In 2025 net financing revenue and other interest income was $6,176 million out of $7,914 million of total net revenue — total financing revenue of $13,521 million less $6,408 million of interest expense and $937 million of depreciation on vehicles it leases out. The rest, $1,738 million, is other revenue, mostly insurance premiums and service revenue earned of $1,450 million. Two things matter for a reader used to industrial companies. First, the reported 'revenue' is already net of funding cost, so it moves with the gap between deposit rates and loan yields rather than with volume alone. Second, credit losses are a cost of doing business, not an accident: the 2025 provision for credit losses was $1,477 million, roughly a fifth of net revenue, and it sits between revenue and profit every single year.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Buys retail installment contracts and operating leases from dealers and automotive retailers, lends directly to some consumers, finances dealer vehicle inventory (floorplan), lends to fleets and municipalities and remarkets off-lease vehicles. It held $115.8 billion of assets at year-end 2025 and originated $43.7 billion of consumer volume during the year.
Sells vehicle service contracts, maintenance contracts and guaranteed asset protection to car buyers through the same dealer network, and property and casualty cover to the dealerships themselves — above all insurance on the vehicle inventory sitting on their lots. Earned premiums and service revenue were $1,450 million in 2025.
Senior secured lending to middle-market companies, largely those owned by private equity sponsors and asset managers. It is small but grew its balance sheet to $13.0 billion of assets at the end of 2025 from $9.7 billion a year earlier.
Centralised treasury and deposit operations, the Ally Invest brokerage and advisory business, the run-off consumer mortgage portfolio, Community Reinvestment Act loans and investments, Ally Ventures, and the eliminations between segments. Its revenue is a residual and can swing sharply: it fell from $147 million in 2024 to $79 million in 2025, hit by a $493 million net loss on investments.
Avantage concurrentiel
Économies d'échelle · ÉtroitMoney is a commodity and anyone can lend it, so Ally's advantage cannot come from the product. It comes from distribution: about 21,400 dealers had an active relationship with the company in the last quarter of 2025, a network built over more than a hundred years, and a dealer who already uses Ally for floorplan financing tends to route retail contracts and insurance products through the same desk. That density is expensive for a newcomer to replicate one dealership at a time, and it lets Ally see and price a very large share of US auto credit. The limits are real and the company states them itself: the markets it operates in are 'extremely competitive'; several of its rivals are captive finance arms of manufacturers that hold exclusivity privileges Ally cannot match; and on the funding side Ally has no branches, so it must keep deposit rates attractive to hold $151.6 billion of deposits — it has scale, but not the cheap sticky funding that gives large branch banks their edge.
Ce qui stimule la demande
CycliqueAlmost everything that drives Ally's earnings turns with the economic cycle, and often all at once. The company states that its automotive finance and insurance businesses depend on US new and used vehicle sales volume, which in turn moves with employment, household income and savings, vehicle affordability, interest rates, credit availability, inventory levels and fuel costs. A car is a big, postponable purchase, so volumes fall in a downturn; at the same time borrowers who bought at the top start missing payments, and used vehicle prices — which set both the residual value of the leases Ally owns and what it recovers on a repossession — usually weaken in the same window. Insurance is somewhat steadier because service contracts are earned over years, but it too is fed by new vehicle sales through the dealer channel. The 2025 numbers show the leverage in both directions: total net revenue fell 3% to $7,914 million while the provision for credit losses fell 32% to $1,477 million, and the second move mattered more to profit than the first.
Principaux risques
- Credit risk on a book tilted toward used and nonprime vehicles — The company states that weak or deteriorating economic conditions, failures in underwriting, changes in underwriting standards, failures in servicing loans and operating leases, financial or systemic shocks, or continued growth in its nonprime or used vehicle financing business could increase its credit risk and adversely affect results. In 2025, 62% of consumer automotive originations were on used vehicles.
- The loan loss allowance may not be enough — Ally discloses that its allowance for loan losses may not be adequate to cover actual losses and that it may be required to increase that allowance significantly, which would hurt its financial condition and results. The 2025 provision for credit losses was $1,477 million.
- Concentration on GM and Stellantis — The filing states that GM and Stellantis dealers and their retail customers continue to constitute a significant portion of the customer base, creating concentration risk. In 2025, 34% of new vehicle dealer inventory financing and 24% of consumer automotive financing volume were transacted for GM dealers and customers, and 36% and 13% respectively for Stellantis. A significant adverse change in either manufacturer's production, sales, vehicle quality, resale values, supplier relationships or recall rate could damage the dealer base and the value of the collateral securing Ally's loans.
- Dependence on the dealer as intermediary — Ally describes its automotive finance and insurance businesses as dealer-centric and warns that a change in the key role of dealers within the automotive industry, or an inability to maintain or build relationships with them, could adversely affect its business, results, financial condition or prospects.
- Used vehicle prices — Vehicle loans and operating leases make up a significant part of Ally's earning assets, and the company states that results could suffer if used vehicle prices are low or volatile, or fall further than it expects — this hits both the residual value of leased vehicles it owns and the recovery on repossessed collateral.
- Interest rates and access to funding — The company discloses that the level of and changes in interest rates could affect its results and financial condition, that its ability to rely on deposits as part of its funding strategy may be limited, and that its business requires substantial capital and liquidity so that a disruption in funding sources or in access to the capital markets would adversely affect its liquidity and capital position.
- Regulatory and supervisory environment — Ally states that the regulatory and supervisory environment in which it operates could adversely affect its business, that its strategy for Ally Bank may be constrained by regulators, and that it is subject to stress tests, capital and liquidity planning and other enhanced prudential standards that impose significant restrictions and costly requirements.
- Intense competition, including from captive finance arms — The filing calls the markets for automotive financing, insurance, banking, brokerage and investment advisory services extremely competitive, and notes that some competitors — captive automotive finance companies — hold exclusivity privileges with manufacturers whose dealers and customers make up a significant portion of Ally's own customer base. It expects competition to intensify.
Concentration des clients
Ally has millions of individual depositors and borrowers, so there is no single customer that matters on its own, and the filing gives no 'top customers' revenue percentage. The concentration it does disclose is by manufacturer channel: in 2025, 34% of new vehicle dealer inventory financing and 24% of consumer automotive financing volume were transacted for GM dealers and their customers, and 36% of inventory financing and 13% of consumer volume for Stellantis dealers and their customers. Ally names this explicitly as a concentration risk. Note that these percentages are shares of origination volume, not of revenue — the filing does not translate them into a revenue share. The direction of travel is toward diversification: Stellantis fell from 16% of consumer volume in 2024 to 13% in 2025, while other OEM-franchised and non-franchised dealers together accounted for 63%.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that Ally owns a distribution position in US auto lending that is hard to buy: about 21,400 active dealer relationships built over a century, feeding $43.7 billion of consumer originations in 2025, up $4.5 billion on the year. They point to the falling cost of credit — the provision for credit losses dropped 32% to $1,477 million in 2025 — as evidence that the 2022-2023 vintages are working through the book, while the loans written since then were priced at much higher yields; on that reading, net financing revenue rising 3% to $6,176 million in a year when total net revenue fell is the shape of a recovery, not a decline. They also note that management has been cutting away the parts that did not fit — Ally Lending sold in 2024, the credit card business sold on 1 April 2025, consumer mortgage originations stopped in the second quarter of 2025 — leaving a simpler company concentrated on dealer finance, insurance and corporate lending, with an insurance arm whose earned premiums grew to $1,450 million and a corporate finance book that expanded from $9.7 billion to $13.0 billion of assets.
Les arguments contre
Sellers fear that this is a commodity lender with a concentrated, collateral-dependent book and no cheap funding. Total net revenue has now fallen two years running, from $8,234 million in 2023 to $8,181 million in 2024 to $7,914 million in 2025, and income before tax in the core Automotive Finance segment fell from $2,214 million in 2023 to $1,640 million in 2025. Credit losses remain the dominant swing factor — the $1,477 million provision is still close to a fifth of net revenue, and Ally itself warns its allowance may prove inadequate and may need to be increased significantly. They point to the leverage inherent in the model: 62% of 2025 originations were used vehicles, so a fall in used car prices hits lease residuals, recovery values and the collateral behind dealer floorplan lines at the same moment demand for new cars falls. Concentration compounds it, with 34% of new vehicle inventory financing tied to GM dealers and 36% to Stellantis dealers. On funding, Ally has no branch network and must pay to retain $151.6 billion of deposits, against competitors that include manufacturer captives with exclusivity privileges the filing acknowledges Ally cannot match. And the 2025 accounts carry two items that are hard to wave away: a $305 million goodwill impairment and a $493 million net loss on investments in Corporate and Other.
Generated on 17 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 17 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Capital One Auto Finance buys retail instalment contracts through the same US franchised and independent dealer network as Ally, while Capital One's branchless bank chases the same online savings and CD depositors that fund Ally's lending.
Through Chase Auto it is one of the largest US bank auto lenders, bidding for the same prime indirect retail contracts and dealer relationships that Ally depends on.
GM's captive finance arm — created after GM lost control of GMAC, today's Ally — competes for the retail loans, leases and dealer floor plan at GM dealerships, historically Ally's largest source of auto business.
Now a wholly owned unit of Santander Holdings USA, it originates dealer-sourced auto loans across the prime-to-subprime spectrum, including the Stellantis captive programme, competing directly with Ally for the same dealers and borrowers.
Ford's captive lender finances retail purchases, leases and dealer inventory at Ford and Lincoln stores and sells the same vehicle service contracts and F&I products Ally's insurance unit sells to dealers.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$1.23B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Résultat net
$1.45B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
-
Capitaux propres totaux
$15.50B
Passif total
$180.50B
Ratio de liquidité général
-
Couverture des intérêts
-
Dette/EBITDA
-
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$38.09
Prix actuel
$37.62
Marge de sécurité
+1.2%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$27.55 - $48.62
Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
8.83
ROE
5.5%
Ratio P/B
0.74
P/FCF
-
Marge brute
-
ROIC
-
Radar de rentabilité
Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)
ROIC
-
WACC
3.7%
ROIC − WACC
-
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (11)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 8.26%
- P/B Ratio 0.74
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 9.4%
- Analyst Consensus 79% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 6.3%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.14
- Share Dilution -3.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Échoué (4)
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Return on Tangible Assets
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 5.0%
Indisponible (12)
- ROIC NaN%
- Gross Margin NaN%
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Net Margin Trend (invalid data)
Score F de Piotroski
Santé financière solide
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Participations institutionnelles
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Michael G. Rhodes | CEO & Director | 59 |
| Mr. Russell E . Hutchinson | Chief Financial Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Douglas R. Timmerman | President of Dealer Financial Services | 62 |
| Mr. William C. Hall Jr. | President of Corporate Finance | 65 |
| Ms. Stephanie N. Richard | Chief Risk Officer | 52 |
| Mr. Austin T. McGrath | VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller | 42 |
| Mr. Mark Mathewson | Chief Information & Data Officer | - |
| Mr. Daniel Soto | Chief Compliance Officer | - |
| Ms. Hope D. Mehlman | Chief Legal & Corporate Affairs Officer and Corporate Secretary | 60 |
| Ms. Andrea C. Brimmer | Chief Marketing & Public Relations Officer | 59 |
Risque d'audit
2
Risque du conseil
3
Risque de rémunération
5
Risque droits des actionnaires
2
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Documents
- Voir le document
Rapport annuel (10-K)
Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.
Déposé le 2026-02-25
- Voir le document
Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)
Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.
Déposé le 2026-07-23
- Voir le document
Rapport d'événement important (8-K)
Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.
Déposé le 2026-09-16
via SEC EDGAR
Historique des résultats
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for ALLY, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 8/6/2026NEUTRALThe machine-readable brand: Inside Ally Financial’s strategy to win AI search recommendations
Ally Financial is implementing a strategy to become the top-recommended financial institution through AI search assistants, aiming to achieve this without substantial advertising expenditure. This initiative focuses on leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance brand visibility and customer acquisition within the evolving digital landscape. While the long-term implications for market share and customer engagement are yet to be fully realized, the company's proactive approach to integrating AI into its growth strategy positions it for potential future advantages in a competitive financial services market.
- 4/20/2026POSITIVEAlly Financial Makes 'Strong Start' To 2026, Analyst Expects Margins To Improve
Ally Financial has reported a strong start to 2026, with positive Q1 results showcasing improvements in both margins and credit quality. Analysts have responded favorably, reiterating an 'Outperform' rating and setting a price target of $52. This suggests continued confidence in the company's financial health and strategic direction. The positive outlook is underpinned by the expectation of further margin expansion, a key indicator for profitability in the financial services sector. Investors should note the analyst consensus, which points towards potential upside for the stock.
- 4/17/2026NEUTRALAlly Financial Reports Q1 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript
Ally Financial Inc. released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript on April 17, 2026. The document provides a detailed account of the company's financial performance and strategic discussions during the quarter. While the transcript itself does not contain new financial figures or forward-looking statements beyond what may have been previously reported, it offers investors and analysts deeper insights into management's perspectives on market conditions, operational efficiency, and future growth drivers. Investors should review the transcript for nuanced understanding of the company's outlook.
via Markets Gazette