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CMS Energy Corp (CMS)

Fair Value
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

56

मूल्य

$63.08

मार्केट कैप

$19.34B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

CMS Energy is a Michigan holding company whose main asset is Consumers Energy, a regulated electric and gas utility serving Michigan's Lower Peninsula. In 2025 Consumers served about 1.9 million electric customers and 1.8 million gas customers, delivered 37 billion kWh of electricity and 396 Bcf of natural gas, and generated $8.1 billion of the group's $8.5 billion of operating revenue. The utility owns and operates generation, a distribution grid, 2,337 miles of gas transmission lines, 28,433 miles of gas distribution mains and 14 gas storage fields. Outside the utility, NorthStar Clean Energy develops and operates independent power production and renewable generation and markets that output. Almost everything the company does is priced by regulators: retail electric and gas rates are set by the Michigan Public Service Commission, while transmission, pipeline and wholesale market activity falls under FERC.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Revenue comes overwhelmingly from regulated tariffs billed to residential, commercial and industrial customers in Michigan. The utility invests capital in the rate base — generation, grid hardening, pipeline replacement — and then asks the MPSC to let it recover those costs plus an authorized return on equity; the March 2025 electric rate order, for example, granted a $176 million annual increase based on a 9.90 percent authorized return on equity. Fuel and purchased-power costs and the cost of gas sold are largely pass-through items recovered through cost-recovery mechanisms rather than a source of margin. Volumes are weather-driven and are measured on a weather-normalized basis by management. NorthStar Clean Energy earns money instead from selling power and capacity from independent generation, a much smaller and non-regulated stream.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Electric utility66%

Regulated generation, purchase, distribution and sale of electricity in Michigan, serving about 1.9 million residential, commercial and industrial customers. It reported $5,638 million of operating revenue in 2025.

Gas utility29.2%

Regulated purchase, transmission, storage, distribution and sale of natural gas in Michigan to roughly 1.8 million customers, including gas injected into storage in summer for winter withdrawal. It reported $2,493 million of operating revenue in 2025.

NorthStar Clean Energy4.8%

Non-utility subsidiaries in domestic independent power production, including the development and operation of renewable generation, plus the marketing of that output to wholesale counterparties. It reported $408 million of operating revenue in 2025 and an operating loss.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

पेटेंट और लाइसेंस · संकीर्ण

Consumers holds a regulated franchise to serve a defined Michigan territory: no competitor can build a parallel grid or gas network, and the assets — 28,433 miles of gas mains, 14 storage fields, the electric distribution system — could not be economically duplicated. That protection is real but bounded. The same regulation that keeps rivals out also caps the return: rates cannot change without MPSC authorization, and the commission may refuse or delay recovery of costs already spent. Michigan's Retail Open Access programme lets some electric customers buy generation from alternative suppliers, and the 2023 Energy Law raised the cap on distributed generation to 10 percent of utilities' peak loads, so a slice of demand can leave the incumbent.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

डिफेंसिव

Electricity and heat are bought in a recession much as in an expansion, and regulated tariffs plus cost-recovery mechanisms absorb most commodity swings, so the earnings stream is among the steadier ones in the market. What moves volumes year to year is weather, not the business cycle: the company says electric consumption peaks in summer with air conditioning and gas demand peaks in winter with heating, and management tracks deliveries on a weather-normalized basis precisely to strip that noise out. The cyclical edge is indirect — Michigan industrial activity, customer growth and the affordability pressure that shapes what regulators will approve. Over the next five years Consumers expects weather-normalized electric deliveries to rise on strong demand growth, partly offset by energy waste reduction programmes, while gas deliveries are expected to stay broadly stable.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Rate regulation and cost recovery — The company states that retail electric and gas rates are set by the MPSC and cannot be changed without regulatory authorization. If regulators fail to grant adequate rate relief, or issue orders that limit recovery of the cost of service, it could materially hurt results or the capital investment plan. The filing notes that regulators may face competitive or political pressure to avoid rate increases because of affordability, economic downturn or equity concerns.
  • Execution of the capital investment programme — Consumers lists a five-year investment programme in generation, grid automation, environmental controls and gas infrastructure whose success depends on contractor performance, availability of qualified construction personnel, commodity and equipment prices and tariffs, permitting, MISO interconnection delays and costs, supply chain disruptions and longer lead times, and geopolitical barriers to solar and battery materials. Adverse developments in these factors could have a material adverse effect.
  • Holding-company structure, debt and access to capital — CMS Energy depends on dividends from its subsidiaries to service its own debt, and Consumers' ability to pay those dividends is limited by its preferred stock provisions and by FERC requirements. The company adds that its indebtedness could restrict financial flexibility, that it relies on capital markets and bank syndications for commitments not funded internally, and that a credit rating downgrade could raise borrowing costs and force collateral postings or prepayments to suppliers.
  • Environmental regulation and remediation of former sites — The company expects substantial additional costs to remediate former manufactured gas plant sites, retired coal-fuelled generating sites and sites containing coal ash, under NREPA, RCRA, CERCLA and related rules. It expects to recover environmental compliance spending from customers through rates but says it cannot guarantee that outcome; it specifically flags that there is no FERC-approved MISO tariff for the compliance costs of continuing to run the J.H. Campbell plant under the Secretary of Energy's emergency orders, and that this continued operation is not in current MPSC rates.
  • Weather, seasonality and severe events — The company discloses that its energy sales and operations are affected by seasonal factors and by weather that varies from year to year: electricity consumption peaks in summer with cooling demand, gas demand peaks in winter with heating. Among the factors that could affect environmental and operating costs it lists extreme temperatures, severe storms, floods, droughts, fires and smoke.
  • Cyberattacks and infrastructure security — The filing identifies potential costs, lost revenue, reputational harm or operational disruption from cyberattacks or other cyber incidents, including misappropriation of assets or sensitive information and corruption of data. It also notes that gas pipeline infrastructure has come under greater scrutiny after weather-related and cyber disruptions, and that additional regulation there could weigh on gas operations.
  • Distributed energy and reduced consumption — Michigan law lets customers meet their own electric needs with distributed energy resources connected to Consumers' grid, and the 2023 Energy Law raised the programme cap to 10 percent of utilities' peak loads. The company says greater customer use of these resources could cut its electric sales and that third-party operation of them could affect grid stability. Separately it notes customers may reduce gas consumption through alternative technologies, fuels or electrification.

ग्राहक Concentration

The filing addresses this directly and rules it out: for both the electric and the gas utility it states that operations are not dependent on a single customer, or even a few customers, and that losing any one or even a few of its largest customers is not reasonably likely to have a material adverse effect on financial condition. The base is a mix of residential, commercial and diversified industrial customers across Michigan's Lower Peninsula — about 1.9 million electric and 1.8 million gas accounts. No numeric share for the largest customers is disclosed.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that a regulated monopoly in a single state is about as predictable as a business gets: 3.7 million customer relationships that cannot switch away from the wires and pipes, revenue that grew from $7.5 billion in 2024 to $8.5 billion in 2025, and $1,061 million of net income available to common stockholders. They point to the size of the investment programme — $3,970 million of capital expenditure in 2025 against $37.8 billion of gross property, plant and equipment — as the engine of growth, since in this model spending approved into the rate base becomes future earnings at an authorized return, 9.90 percent in the March 2025 electric order. They add that Consumers expects weather-normalized electric deliveries to grow over the next five years, and that fuel and gas costs flow through to customers rather than compressing margins.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear that the whole model rests on a regulator's signature. Rates cannot change without MPSC authorization, the commission can deny or defer recovery of money already spent, and the company itself warns that affordability and political pressure can push regulators away from granting increases — Consumers asked for $460 million in its June 2025 electric case, an outcome it does not control. They point to the J.H. Campbell plant kept running under federal emergency orders with no FERC-approved tariff and no provision in current MPSC rates as a live example of costs incurred ahead of recovery. They note the leverage needed to fund a programme of this size — $789 million of interest charges in 2025 against $1,727 million of operating income — and the company's own warning that a downgrade would raise borrowing costs, while at the holding-company level the debt is serviced only out of dividends its subsidiaries are permitted to pay. Further out they cite substantial unquantified remediation costs at former gas-plant and coal-ash sites, and the possibility that distributed generation, now capped at 10 percent of peak load, and energy waste reduction erode the volumes the plan assumes.

वित्त वर्ष 2025 के सेगमेंट आंकड़ेस्रोत: CMS Energy Corporation / Consumers Energy Company — Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 (SEC EDGAR)

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

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Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 20.0Score: 61Market cap: $25.14B

DTE is the other large investor-owned electric and gas utility in Michigan, serving the southeast of the state while CMS's Consumers Energy serves most of the rest, so the two compete for the same Michigan industrial and commercial load, the same rate treatment from the same state regulator, and the same alternative-supplier choice market capped at 10% of retail sales.

P/E: 19.6Score: 57Market cap: $33.06B

WEC sells gas and power to Michigan customers directly through Michigan Gas Utilities in the Lower Peninsula and Upper Michigan Energy Resources in the Upper Peninsula, putting it head to head with Consumers Energy for Michigan gas distribution customers and for regulated growth in the same state.

P/E: 17.6Score: 56Market cap: $63.97B

Through its Indiana Michigan Power subsidiary, AEP is the incumbent electric utility in southwest Michigan around South Bend, St. Joseph, Benton Harbor and Three Rivers, taking retail electric customers and industrial siting decisions that would otherwise sit inside Consumers Energy's footprint.

SEMCO Energy Gas CompanyNot tracked

SEMCO is a Michigan natural gas distributor serving roughly 300,000 customers in areas bordering Consumers Energy's gas territory, competing for the same residential and commercial gas connections and for customers in Michigan's gas customer choice program.

बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$8.59B

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$1.03B

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

-

कुल इक्विटी

$9.14B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$30.23B

Current Ratio

0.94

Interest Coverage

2.04

Debt/EBITDA

6.36

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

विनियमित यूटिलिटीउचित मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$55.47

वर्तमान मूल्य

$63.08

Margin of Safety

-13.7%

Fair Value सीमा

$37.13 - $73.80

इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।

अनुमान विधियाँ

विश्लेषकों का लक्ष्य मूल्य:$78.67
डिस्काउंटेड कैश फ्लो (DCF):$20.89
आय गुणक (P/E):$52.32
Graham वृद्धि फॉर्मूला:इस प्रकार की कंपनी पर लागू नहीं
अर्निंग पावर वैल्यू (EPV):$55.35
उचित P/B:इस प्रकार की कंपनी पर लागू नहीं
लाभांश डिस्काउंट (Gordon):$56.97
P/FFO, परिचालन से प्राप्त निधि:इस प्रकार की कंपनी पर लागू नहीं
मध्य-चक्र आय:इस प्रकार की कंपनी पर लागू नहीं
राजस्व गुणक:इस प्रकार की कंपनी पर लागू नहीं
विश्लेषक सहमति:खरीदें (12B / 9H / 0S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+1.65%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

18.94

ROE

11.7%

P/B Ratio

2.02

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

3.5%

लाभप्रदता Radar

मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)

ROIC

3.5%

WACC

5.6%

ROIC − WACC

-2.1 pp

ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 6.55%
  • P/B Ratio 2.02
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 19.4%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.09
  • Share Dilution 0.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

फेल (7)

  • Price CAGR 4.90%
  • ROIC 3.5%
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG Ratio 3.10
  • Net Margin Trend 11.9% vs 13.1%

अनुपलब्ध (5)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

2.09

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

0.7%

शेयर संख्या स्थिर है

संस्थागत होल्डिंग

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Garrick J. RochowPresident, CEO & Director50
Ms. Tonya L. BerryExecutive VP & COO52
Mr. Shaun M. Johnson J.D.EVP of Business Transformation & Chief Legal & Administrative Officer46
Mr. Brandon J. HofmeisterSenior Vice President of Strategy, Sustainability & External Affairs48
Mr. LeeRoy Wells Jr.SVP and President of Gas Delivery of Consumers Energy Company46
Mr. Srikanth MaddipatiCFO & Executive VP42
Mr. Scott B. McIntoshChief Accounting Officer, Controller & VP49
Mr. Aaron RajdaVP of Digital Products & Technology and Chief Digital Officer-
Mr. Jim G. BeecheyVP of IT & Security and Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Jason M. ShoreTreasurer & VP of Investor Relations48

Audit जोखिम

3

बोर्ड जोखिम

6

मुआवजा जोखिम

1

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

1

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

दस्तावेज़

  • वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)

    कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-02-10

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)

    पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-07-28

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)

    किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-07-28

    दस्तावेज़ देखें

via SEC EDGAR

आय का इतिहास

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CMS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for CMS.
Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

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