रैंकिंग पर वापस जाएं

Crocs, Inc. (CROX)

Fair Value
Consumer CyclicalFootwear & AccessoriesUnited States

Fundamental

70

मूल्य

$117.31

मार्केट कैप

$5.62B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual lifestyle footwear and accessories under two brands: the Crocs Brand, built around the molded clog made from the company's proprietary Croslite material, and HEYDUDE, a canvas loafer and sneaker brand acquired in 2022. The company owns no factories: production is placed with third-party manufacturers, concentrated in Vietnam, which made roughly 45% of Crocs Brand and roughly 44% of HEYDUDE units in 2025, with the single largest Crocs manufacturer accounting for about 45% of that brand's output. Product reaches buyers through wholesale partners — multi-brand retailers, e-tailers and distributors — and directly through company e-commerce sites, third-party marketplaces and a store base that at year-end 2025 included 98 Crocs full-price stores, 269 Crocs and 75 HEYDUDE outlets and 72 Crocs kiosks and store-in-store locations. Consolidated revenues were $4.04 billion in fiscal 2025, down 1.5% from 2024.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Revenue comes from selling footwear and accessories, one pair at a time, with no subscription or recurring component. In fiscal 2025 wholesale accounted for 47.9% of revenues and direct-to-consumer for 52.1%: the direct channel carries a higher gross margin because the company keeps the retailer's markup, while wholesale moves volume with lower margin and adds credit exposure to retail partners. Because the company designs and markets but does not manufacture, profitability rests on the gap between third-party production cost — plus freight and, increasingly, tariffs — and retail price, and on how much of the assortment sells at full price rather than at markdown. In 2025 direct-to-consumer revenue grew 3.3% to $2.1 billion while wholesale fell 6.2% to $1.9 billion.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Crocs Brand82.3%

Clogs, sandals and other molded footwear plus Jibbitz charms, sold worldwide to consumers through Crocs.com, marketplaces and Crocs stores, and to wholesale retailers and distributors. Revenues were $3.33 billion in fiscal 2025, up 1.5%, with international growth of 11.9% offsetting a 6.8% decline in North America.

HEYDUDE Brand17.7%

Lightweight canvas loafers and sneakers, largely a United States business, sold through wholesale accounts and through HEYDUDE e-commerce and outlet stores. Revenues fell 13.3% to $715 million in fiscal 2025, with wholesale down 26.3%, and the brand carried $737 million of non-cash impairment charges on its trademark and goodwill during the year.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

ब्रांड · संकीर्ण

The Crocs Brand has a recognisable silhouette, a proprietary material (Croslite) and a personalisation ecosystem in Jibbitz charms, and it earns an adjusted operating margin of 22.3% — evidence that consumers pay for the name rather than for the cheapest moulded shoe. But the advantage is narrow and brand-specific: footwear has no switching costs, the company's own filing names intense competition and counterfeiting as risks, and HEYDUDE shows how fast the same playbook can stop working, with revenue down 13.3% in 2025 and $737 million of the purchase price written off. What protects Crocs is fashion relevance, which has to be re-earned each season, not a structural lock-in.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

चक्रीय

Footwear is a discretionary purchase and the company itself flags that changes in global economic conditions may affect consumer spending. Demand also carries a seasonal shape — clogs and sandals sell into spring and summer — and a fashion component on top of the economic cycle: when a silhouette is in favour, volumes and full-price sell-through rise together; when it is not, the same product moves at markdown. The 2025 numbers show both sides at once, with international Crocs Brand revenue up 11.9% while North America fell 6.8% and HEYDUDE wholesale dropped 26.3% against what management described as a weak United States consumer.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Dependence on brand value — The company states that its success depends on preserving the strength of its brands; if consumer perception of Crocs or HEYDUDE deteriorates — through loss of fashion relevance, quality problems or reputational damage — results would be adversely affected.
  • Intense competition in footwear — The filing identifies significant competition in the footwear industry, including from companies with greater resources, and the risk that the company fails to introduce new products successfully or to sustain technical innovation in its materials and silhouettes.
  • Third-party manufacturing and supply chain concentration — All production is outsourced. Vietnam supplied roughly 45% of Crocs Brand and roughly 44% of HEYDUDE units in 2025, the largest single Crocs manufacturer about 45% of that brand's output. The company lists supply chain disruption and reliance on third-party manufacturers among its risk factors.
  • Tariffs and trade measures — The risk factors name export restrictions, tariffs and other trade protection measures as a threat to operations. The company describes a disproportionate impact of tariffs on HEYDUDE Brand products, which contributed to the downward revision of that brand's forecasts during 2025.
  • Impairment of goodwill and intangible assets — The company discloses the risk that goodwill and indefinite-lived intangibles become impaired. This materialised in 2025: $430 million was written off the HEYDUDE trademark and $307 million off HEYDUDE goodwill, cutting reported operating income to $150 million from $1,022 million.
  • HEYDUDE brand stabilisation — The filing carries risk factors specific to HEYDUDE's growth and integration. Management points to the extended time it expects to need to stabilise the brand, alongside a weak United States consumer, as the reason for lowering its forecasts.
  • Consumer spending and macroeconomic conditions — The company states that changes in global economic conditions may adversely affect consumer spending on its products — discretionary purchases that buyers can postpone.
  • Intellectual property and counterfeiting — Inadequate protection of trademarks and other intellectual property, and the circulation of counterfeit product, are disclosed risks — material for a company whose main asset is a recognisable shape.
  • Fixed costs of the retail store base — The company discloses risk arising from the fixed costs of its retail stores: leases and staffing do not fall when traffic does, so a downturn in the direct channel compresses margin quickly.
  • Debt obligations and financial restrictions — Indebtedness taken on in part for the HEYDUDE acquisition, and the restrictions in the related agreements, are listed among the risk factors. The company reduced debt by $128 million in 2025.

ग्राहक Concentration

The filing does not identify any single customer accounting for 10% or more of revenues, and does not quantify the weight of its largest wholesale accounts. What it does disclose is that 47.9% of 2025 revenues went through wholesale partners — retailers, e-tailers and distributors — so the business depends on the shelf space and order books of a set of intermediaries even though no one of them is named as material. Supplier concentration, by contrast, is explicit and high: one manufacturer makes about 45% of Crocs Brand output.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that the Crocs Brand is the real business and that it is still working: $3.33 billion of revenue in 2025, up 1.5%, with international up 11.9% — a sign that the clog is becoming a global franchise rather than a North American fad. They point to an adjusted operating margin of 22.3%, unusual for footwear, produced without owning a single factory, and to cash generation that funded $577 million of share repurchases and $128 million of debt reduction in one year. On this reading the $737 million HEYDUDE write-off is an accounting correction to a 2022 acquisition price, not a cash cost, and management's $100 million cost-savings programme plus 2026 guidance of $12.88–$13.35 adjusted EPS shows earnings holding while HEYDUDE is worked through.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear that the company is a one-product business whose product is a fashion cycle. Consolidated revenue fell 1.5% in 2025 and North American Crocs Brand revenue fell 6.8% in the home market where the trend started; HEYDUDE, bought to diversify away from exactly that risk, lost 13.3% of revenue and 26.3% of its wholesale business, and the $737 million impairment is management conceding that the second brand is worth far less than paid. They note the concentration of production — Vietnam at roughly 45% of Crocs units, one manufacturer at about 45% of that brand's output — against tariffs the company says hit HEYDUDE disproportionately, and a 2026 outlook of revenue down about 1% to flat with HEYDUDE guided down another 7–9%. On this reading the international growth is the last leg of a trend whose first market has already turned, and there is no structural switching cost to slow it if it does.

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 11.1Score: 80Market cap: $10.69B

Through UGG and Teva, Deckers sells the same slip-on comfort clogs, slippers and sandals in the same US and international wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels where Crocs generates most of its revenue.

P/E: 16.9Score: 64Market cap: $30.78B

Nike's slides, recovery sandals and foam clogs compete for the same warm-weather and off-duty casual footwear spending, with far greater marketing reach and shelf space in the retailers Crocs sells through.

Skechers U.S.A., Inc.Not tracked

Skechers sells comfort-led casual and slip-on footwear at accessible price points through the same family and value wholesale channels Crocs and HEYDUDE depend on, and is now privately held by 3G Capital after being delisted from the NYSE in September 2025.

BIRKENSTOCK Holding plcBIRK

Birkenstock competes head-on for the moulded-footbed comfort shoe — clogs and sandals worn as everyday casual footwear — targeting the same buyer as the Crocs Classic Clog but from a more premium, heritage positioning.

Steven Madden, Ltd.SHOO

Steve Madden fights for the same mid-price casual and sandal purchase, in the same US department store, family footwear and online accounts, and is the closest comparison for the HEYDUDE brand's fashion-casual shoes.

बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$4.05B

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$593M

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$659M

कुल इक्विटी

$1.29B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$2.88B

Current Ratio

1.49

Interest Coverage

10.08

Debt/EBITDA

7.38

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

सामान्य मामलाउचित मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$147.50

वर्तमान मूल्य

$117.31

Margin of Safety

+20.5%

Fair Value सीमा

$95.88 - $199.13

इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।

अनुमान विधियाँ

विश्लेषकों का लक्ष्य मूल्य:$138.25
डिस्काउंटेड कैश फ्लो (DCF):$248.02
आय गुणक (P/E):$95.75
Graham वृद्धि फॉर्मूला:$183.48
अर्निंग पावर वैल्यू (EPV):$102.53
उचित P/B:$99.90
लाभांश डिस्काउंट (Gordon):इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
P/FFO, परिचालन से प्राप्त निधि:इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
मध्य-चक्र आय:$114.50
राजस्व गुणक:$140.05
विश्लेषक सहमति:खरीदें (13B / 9H / 1S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+2.75%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

10.35

ROE

-6.3%

P/B Ratio

4.06

P/FCF

7.98

Gross Margin

57.5%

ROIC

18.3%

लाभप्रदता Radar

मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)

ROIC

18.3%

WACC

11.1%

ROIC − WACC

+7.2 pp

ROIC पूंजी की लागत से अधिक है — कंपनी शेयरधारकों के लिए मूल्य सृजित कर रही है।

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (19)

  • Price CAGR 33.64%
  • ROIC 18.3%
  • Gross Margin 57.5%
  • P/FCF 7.98
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 20.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 43.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 23.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 12.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.29
  • Share Dilution -9.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.6% vs 5.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

फेल (6)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/B Ratio 4.06
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

अनुपलब्ध (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

1.29

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

-9.5%

शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल

संस्थागत होल्डिंग

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Andrew ReesCEO & Director58
Mr. Patraic ReaganExecutive VP & CFO53
Mr. Terence ReillyExecutive VP & Chief Brand Officer57
Ms. Anne MehlmanExecutive VP & Brand President for Crocs44
Mr. Rupert CampbellExecutive VP & President of the Heydude Brand-
Mr. Thomas BrittExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer61
Ms. Abigail Kathleen RitterSenior Manager of Investor Relations & Strategic Finance-
Ms. Sara HoverstockExecutive VP & Chief Legal Officer-
Ms. Shannon SislerExecutive VP & Chief People Officer50
Mr. Erik OlsonSenior Vice President of Global Sourcing & Product Execution-

Audit जोखिम

4

बोर्ड जोखिम

2

मुआवजा जोखिम

2

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

7

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

दस्तावेज़

  • वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)

    कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-02-12

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)

    पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-07-30

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)

    किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-07-30

    दस्तावेज़ देखें

via SEC EDGAR

आय का इतिहास

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CROX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/7/2026POSITIVE
    Crocs Stock Is Surging — Is The Valuation Too Cheap To Ignore?

    Crocs Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) experienced a significant surge in its stock price on Tuesday, driven by investor sentiment favoring companies with inexpensive valuations relative to their growth potential. This rotation back into value-oriented growth stocks suggests a renewed confidence in Crocs's business model and future prospects. Analysts are closely watching the company's ability to sustain this momentum, as the current valuation may present an attractive entry point for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price.

  • 3/2/2026NEGATIVE
    Crocs Executive Vice Presidents Sells 12,000 Shares for $12 Million

    A recent transaction by an Executive Vice President of Crocs Inc. has raised concerns among investors. The senior executive offloaded a substantial 12,000 shares of the company, totaling an impressive $12 million. This move, implying an implicit valuation of $1,000 per share, prompts questions about internal confidence in the stock's future performance. Significant insider sales are often interpreted by the market as a negative signal, suggesting that those closest to the company's operations may perceive an overvaluation or less optimistic prospects. Investors should closely monitor market reaction and future corporate communications to better understand the motivations behind this notable divestment.

  • 3/2/2026NEGATIVE
    Crocs Executive Vice Presidents Sells 12k Shares for $12M

    A recent transaction involving a Crocs Executive Vice President selling 12,000 shares for $12 million has raised eyebrows among investors. Such insider selling is often interpreted as a cautionary signal from management, potentially indicating an internal perception of peak valuation or less optimistic future prospects. While Crocs enjoys significant popularity among younger consumers, insider sales can erode market confidence, leading to downward pressure on the stock. Investors should closely monitor upcoming developments and financial disclosures to assess whether this sale is an isolated event or indicative of a broader trend.

  • 2/27/2026POSITIVE
    Crocs Stock Draws New $54 Million Bet Despite 12% Drop This Past Year

    Despite a 12% drop over the past year, Crocs stock has attracted a significant new $54 million bet. This investment, from an unspecified market player, suggests strong confidence in the company's recovery potential and future growth. Crocs, which designs and markets casual footwear and accessories, appears to be viewed by some investors as undervalued, with the recent decline seen as a buying opportunity based on improved operational prospects. For investors, this substantial show of interest could act as a catalyst, signaling a potential turning point for the stock and indicating that smart money sees value where others might see risk.

via Markets Gazette

Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

निर्मित द्वारा CODEPRESS s.r.l.