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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY)

適正価値
HealthcareBiotechnologyUnited States

ファンダメンタル

66

株価

$235.90

時価総額

$33.40B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Alnylam develops RNA-interference, or RNAi, drugs, a technology that silences a specific disease-causing gene rather than blocking its downstream protein, treating rare genetic and other diseases at their genetic root cause. Its own commercial drugs treat rare conditions — hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis, an inherited enzyme disorder, and a rare kidney condition — while it also licenses its RNAi technology to larger pharmaceutical partners, including Novartis's cholesterol drug Leqvio, for a share of royalties.

収益の仕組み

The company earns net product revenue from selling its own drugs directly, led by Amvuttra, its newest and by far largest product, for hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis. A second, sizeable stream comes from partnering: collaboration revenue for research and development work done for partners such as Roche, and royalty revenue on sales of drugs partners commercialize using Alnylam's RNAi technology, most notably Novartis's Leqvio. This mix let the company reach full-year profitability for the first time in 2025.

セグメント別売上高

AMVUTTRA62.3%

Treats hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis, a rare inherited disease damaging nerves and the heart; the company's newest and largest product.

Collaboration revenue14.9%

Payments from partners, mainly Roche, for research and development work using Alnylam's RNAi technology.

GIVLAARI8.3%

Treats acute hepatic porphyria, a rare inherited metabolic disorder causing severe attacks of abdominal pain and nerve damage.

OXLUMO5.2%

Treats primary hyperoxaluria type 1, a rare genetic disease causing kidney damage from oxalate buildup.

Royalty revenue4.7%

Royalties earned on partner-marketed drugs built on Alnylam's technology, chiefly Novartis's cholesterol drug Leqvio.

ONPATTRO4.7%

Alnylam's first approved drug, for the same hereditary amyloidosis as Amvuttra, now largely superseded by it.

競争優位性(moat)

特許・ライセンス · 狭い

Alnylam holds foundational patents on RNA-interference drug delivery and chemistry built over nearly two decades of research, which is why larger pharmaceutical companies license its technology rather than develop their own. Rival gene-silencing approaches, including antisense oligonucleotides and other RNAi developers, compete for the same diseases, so the advantage is real but not unchallenged.

需要を左右する要因

ディフェンシブ

Demand is driven by diagnosed patients with a specific rare genetic disease needing ongoing treatment, not by economic conditions, so volumes are largely insulated from the business cycle. The main swing factor is diagnosis and identification of eligible patients, since these are rare and often under-diagnosed conditions, plus payer willingness to reimburse a high-cost genetic therapy.

主なリスク

  • Partner dependence for collaboration and royalty revenue — A meaningful share of revenue depends on collaborations with a small number of large partners, Roche, Novartis, Sanofi and Regeneron; if a partnership is unsuccessful, terminates, or a partner's drug underperforms, that revenue is directly at risk.
  • Manufacturing and supply reliance on third parties — Alnylam has limited in-house manufacturing experience and relies on third parties for a meaningful part of production, creating a risk of supply disruption for both its own products and partnered ones.
  • Concentration in a narrow product base — A large majority of product revenue now comes from a single drug, Amvuttra, treating one disease; a safety concern or competitive setback for that product would have an outsized effect on total revenue.
  • Competition from rival gene-silencing technologies — Competing RNAi and antisense-oligonucleotide developers are pursuing therapies for the same rare diseases, which could erode Alnylam's largely uncontested position in some of its target conditions.

顧客集中度

Alnylam's product revenue is spread across specialty pharmacies and health systems treating a rare-disease patient population, but a meaningful share of total revenue instead depends on a small number of large pharmaceutical partners, Roche, Novartis, Sanofi and Regeneron, for collaboration and royalty income.

強気材料

Buyers point to Amvuttra's rapid growth, a technology platform that large pharmaceutical companies pay to license rather than replicate, and a newly profitable business model that combines owned-product sales with royalty income from partners' drugs.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that revenue now leans heavily on a single drug and a handful of large pharmaceutical partners whose decisions Alnylam does not control, and that rival gene-silencing technologies could erode its lead in the diseases it currently treats largely uncontested.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 37.5Score: 72Market cap: $163.69B

Pfizer's tafamidis (Vyndaqel/Vyndamax) is the incumbent treatment for ATTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy, the indication where Alnylam's AMVUTTRA now competes for the same cardiology patients and the same reimbursement.

P/E: —Score: 50Market cap: $12.86B

BridgeBio sells Attruby (acoramidis), a TTR stabilizer approved for the same ATTR-CM patients Alnylam targets, and the two launched into that market within months of each other.

P/E: —Score: 36Market cap: $7.42B

Ionis markets WAINUA (eplontersen, with AstraZeneca) and TEGSEDI, antisense drugs that lower TTR production for hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy — head-to-head with ONPATTRO and AMVUTTRA on the same mechanism and the same patients.

P/E: —Score: 49Market cap: $9.25B

Arrowhead develops chemically synthesized siRNA drugs targeting liver-expressed genes, competing with Alnylam for the same rare-disease and cardiometabolic indications and for the same pharma partnership deals.

Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.NTLA

Intellia's nexiguran ziclumeran, in Phase 3 for both ATTR polyneuropathy and cardiomyopathy, aims to silence TTR permanently with one gene-editing dose, going after the patients Alnylam treats with lifelong RNAi injections.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$3.71B

2025/12/31に終了した会計年度

純利益

$314M

2025/12/31に終了した会計年度

フリーキャッシュフロー

$465M

自己資本合計

$789M

負債合計

$4.18B

流動比率

3.05

利払い倍率

1.99

負債/EBITDA

5.36

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$219.00

現在株価

$235.90

安全マージン

-7.7%

適正価値レンジ

$142.35 - $295.65

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$371.35
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$89.06
利益倍率(P/E):$160.80
グレアムの成長公式:$93.45
収益力価値(EPV):$68.38
正当化されたP/B:$98.76
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$44.17
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$136.88
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (29B / 9H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-23.70%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

107.12

ROE

39.8%

P/B レシオ

24.38

P/FCF

71.76

粗利益率

81.8%

ROIC

11.3%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

11.3%

WACC

7.9%

ROIC − WACC

+3.4 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 20.74%
  • ROIC 11.3%
  • Gross Margin 81.8%
  • Operating Margin 13.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 93.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 49.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 76% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 44.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.67
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(6)

  • P/FCF 71.76
  • P/B Ratio 24.38
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Share Dilution 5.5%

データなし(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.67

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

5.5%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Dr. Yvonne L. Greenstreet M.B.A., M.D.CEO & Director62
Dr. Phillip A. Sharp Ph.D.Co-Founder, Member of the Scientific Advisory Board80
Mr. Jeffrey V. Poulton M.B.A.CFO & Executive VP57
Mr. Bryan Andrew Supran J.D.Chief Legal Officer55
Dr. Pushkal P. Garg M.D.Executive VP & Chief Research & Development Officer57
Mr. Tolga Tanguler M.B.A.Executive VP & Chief Commercialization Officer52
Mr. Timothy J. MainesChief Technical Operations & Quality Officer-
Dr. Kevin Joseph Fitzgerald Ph.D.Executive VP, Chief Scientific Officer and Head of Early Research & Early Development57
Mr. Joshua BrodskyVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Piyush Sharma J.D.Chief Ethics & Compliance Officer-

監査リスク

4

取締役会リスク

2

報酬リスク

5

株主権利リスク

6

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-12

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-30

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-07-30

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ALNY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/25/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $100 In Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Stock 10 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) ten years ago would have yielded a substantial return, highlighting the company's significant growth trajectory. While the exact current value is not provided, the article implies a strong performance, likely driven by advancements in RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics. Investors would have benefited from the company's pipeline progress and successful drug launches, such as ONPATTRO and GIVLAARI. This historical performance underscores Alnylam's position as a leader in genetic medicine and a potentially rewarding investment for long-term holders.

  • 3/17/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Stock In The Last 20 Years

    Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ALNY) has delivered a remarkable 20-year performance, rewarding long-term investors with substantial gains. While specific figures from the past two decades are not detailed in this summary, the article highlights the stock's consistent growth trajectory. This sustained appreciation suggests strong underlying business fundamentals, successful product development, and effective market strategies. For investors, Alnylam's historical performance indicates a company with a proven track record of value creation, potentially signaling continued positive momentum and future growth opportunities in the biopharmaceutical sector.

  • 2/23/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Alnylam Pharmaceuticals 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    A retrospective analysis evaluates the return on a hypothetical $100 investment in Alnylam Pharmaceuticals made five years ago. This type of article, while not providing new, catalytic information, offers investors a clear picture of the stock's historical performance and medium-to-long-term growth trajectory. Although past returns are no guarantee of future results, examining a company's ability to generate value over time is a fundamental exercise for those considering an investment. The article focuses on volatility and capital appreciation, providing useful context for understanding Alnylam's risk-return profile, but it does not imply an immediate trading signal based on fresh news.

via Markets Gazette