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Caterpillar Inc (CAT)

適正価値
IndustrialsFarm & Heavy Construction MachineryUnited States

ファンダメンタル

67

株価

$806.46

時価総額

$376.91B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Caterpillar Inc. provides construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. The Construction Industries segment offers asphalt pavers, cold planers, compactors, forestry machines, material handlers, motor graders, pipelayers, road reclaimers, telehandlers, track-type tractors, and track and wheel excavators; backhoe, compact track, skid steer, track-type, and wheel loaders; and related parts and work tools. Its Resource Industries segment provides electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, hard rock vehicles, mining trucks, wheel loaders, off-highway and articulated trucks, wide-body trucks, wheel tractor scrapers and dozers, and landfill and soil compactors; machinery components, and wear and maintenance components; and technology products and services for fleet management, equipment management analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services, and mining performance solutions. The Energy & Transportation segment offers reciprocating engine powered generator sets; reciprocating engines, drivetrain, and integrated systems and solutions; centrifugal gas compressors and related services; and diesel-electric locomotive components, and other rail-related products. Its Financial Products segment provides operating and finance leases, revolving charge accounts, installment sale contracts, repair/rebuild financing, working capital loans, and wholesale financing; and insurance and risk management products and services. The All Other segment offers parts distribution; logistics and distribution services; electronics and control systems; dealer portfolio management; brand management and marketing strategy; and digital investment services. It also provides mining software solutions. The company was formerly known as Caterpillar Tractor Co. Caterpillar Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 37.3Score: 65Market cap: $185.93B

Deere's Construction & Forestry division competes head-on with Caterpillar for North American contractors buying backhoes, loaders and excavators, and both companies also sell through a comparable network of exclusive dealers.

Komatsu Ltd. (株式会社小松製作所)6301

Komatsu is Caterpillar's closest global rival and the world's second-largest maker of excavators, dozers and mining trucks, selling to the same contractors and mining companies in essentially every market Caterpillar serves.

Volvo Construction Equipment (part of AB Volvo)Not tracked

Volvo CE is one of the top global suppliers of articulated haulers, wheel loaders and excavators, competing with Caterpillar for the same infrastructure, quarry and mining customers, especially in Europe.

Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. (日立建機株式会社)6305

Hitachi Construction Machinery is a specialist in hydraulic excavators and large mining shovels, the product lines where it takes orders directly against Caterpillar in Asia, Australia and the Americas.

Liebherr-International AGNot tracked

Family-owned Liebherr competes with Caterpillar across earthmoving machines and mining equipment, and is a particularly strong alternative for European buyers of large excavators and cranes.

Sany Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. (三一重工股份有限公司)600031

Sany sells excavators, cranes and concrete machinery at lower price points, taking share from Caterpillar in China and increasingly in emerging markets and Europe.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$74.73B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$10.84B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$8.92B

自己資本合計

$21.32B

負債合計

$77.27B

流動比率

1.37

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

2.75

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$885.00

現在株価

$806.46

安全マージン

+8.9%

適正価値レンジ

$725.12 - $1044.89

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$975.61
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$835.05
利益倍率(P/E):$602.96
グレアムの成長公式:$1195.88
収益力価値(EPV):$167.83
正当化されたP/B:$246.64
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$65.01
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$387.89
中間サイクル利益:$386.50
売上高倍率:$459.50
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (18B / 15H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+30.52%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

34.90

ROE

41.7%

P/B レシオ

19.22

P/FCF

34.84

粗利益率

34.3%

ROIC

16.5%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

16.5%

WACC

12.1%

ROIC − WACC

+4.3 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 7.21%
  • Price CAGR 24.33%
  • ROIC 16.5%
  • Gross Margin 34.3%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 54.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 53% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 16.7%
  • PEG Ratio 1.24
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.25
  • Share Dilution -3.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

不合格(6)

  • P/FCF 34.84
  • P/B Ratio 19.22
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 14.5% vs 14.9%

データなし(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-スコア

5/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.25

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-3.5%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Joseph E. Creed CPAChairman & CEO49
Ms. Christine M. PambianchiChief Human Resources Officer57
Ms. Denise C. JohnsonGroup President of Resource Industries59
Mr. Bob De LangeGroup President of Services, Distribution & Digital55
Mr. Andrew R. J. BonfieldAdvisor63
Mr. Kyle J. EpleyChief Financial Officer52
Mr. William E. SchauppVP & Chief Accounting Officer53
Ms. Jaime MineartSenior VP & CTO-
Ms. Jamie L. EngstromSenior VP & Chief Information Officer47
Alex KapperVice President of Investor Relations-

監査リスク

4

取締役会リスク

4

報酬リスク

3

株主権利リスク

5

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-13

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-05

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-01

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CAT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/4/2026POSITIVE
    Caterpillar’s stock gives the Dow a 200-point boost as data-center demand drives record revenue

    Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) experienced a significant surge in its stock price, contributing 200 points to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This rally was fueled by the company's record revenue, largely driven by robust demand from data-center construction projects. The company reported its largest earnings beat in five years, signaling strong operational performance and market positioning. Investors are likely to view this news favorably, anticipating continued growth from infrastructure spending, particularly in the technology sector.

  • 8/3/2026NEUTRAL
    Caterpillar Faces Earnings Test After AI Selloff Hits Stock

    Caterpillar Inc. is set to release its earnings report amidst significant stock volatility, having shed nearly 25% of its value last month. This upcoming report will serve as a crucial test for investors to gauge whether the recent enthusiasm surrounding Caterpillar as an artificial intelligence play has been overblown. The market's reaction will likely depend on whether the company's fundamental performance can justify the speculative AI-driven valuation, or if the selloff reflects a more grounded assessment of its business prospects.

  • 7/2/2026NEGATIVE
    Michael Burry just shorted Caterpillar’s 172% AI rally. One analyst says his bet won’t even matter

    Michael Burry, known for his prescient market calls, has reportedly initiated a short position against Caterpillar, citing concerns that the stock's recent 172% rally, attributed to AI enthusiasm, is unsustainable. This move suggests a bearish outlook from a prominent investor who believes the market has overvalued Caterpillar's AI prospects. However, one analyst counters that the rally is underpinned by a genuine structural shift, implying that Burry's bet may be ill-timed. Investors are now faced with conflicting signals, weighing Burry's contrarian view against the potential for continued AI-driven growth.

  • 7/1/2026NEGATIVE
    Michael Burry’s Short Call Dents Caterpillar’s AI-Fueled Rally

    Caterpillar Inc. stock experienced a decline from its record high following Michael Burry's announcement of a short position. Burry, renowned for his prescient bearish calls, has initiated his first-ever short on the industrial giant. This move by a prominent short-seller, especially one with a history of accurate market timing, introduces significant uncertainty and could weigh on investor sentiment, potentially reversing recent gains fueled by AI-related optimism.

  • 6/22/2026POSITIVE
    Caterpillar’s stock hits a milestone as AI-fueled industrials rally sweeps up Wall Street

    Caterpillar Inc. has reached a significant milestone, with its stock price surpassing the $1,000 mark, positioning it as one of only two companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average to achieve this valuation. This surge is attributed to a broader rally in AI-influenced industrial stocks on Wall Street. The company's performance highlights investor confidence in the industrial sector's adaptation to and benefit from artificial intelligence technologies. For shareholders, this price level signifies strong market performance and potential continued upward momentum as the industrial sector embraces AI-driven efficiencies and innovations.

  • 6/11/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $1000 In Caterpillar Stock 15 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) stock 15 years ago would have yielded a significant return today. While specific figures are not provided in the snippet, historical performance data indicates strong long-term growth for the heavy machinery manufacturer. This suggests that Caterpillar has consistently outperformed market expectations, driven by factors such as global infrastructure spending, commodity cycles, and its robust product portfolio. Investors who held CAT stock over this period would have benefited from both capital appreciation and potential dividend payouts, underscoring the stock's resilience and growth potential.

via Markets Gazette