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Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN)

適正価値
Consumer CyclicalGamblingUnited States

ファンダメンタル

65

株価

$74.71

時価総額

$5.27B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services. The Wagering Services and Solutions engages in pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, which operates the online horse racing wagering business for TwinSpires.com, BetAmerica.com, and other white-label platforms; facilitates dollar wagering; provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data; offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides technology services to third parties. This segment also operates retail and online sports betting businesses, United Tote, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses, and Exacta, which provides central determinant system technology in HRMs. The Gaming segment operates the casino properties and associated racetracks, which include slot machines, table games, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, racing event-related services, and other miscellaneous operations. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: —Score: 51Market cap: $1.96B

Penn runs racetrack-casinos and regional properties in the same Midwest and Southern markets as Churchill Downs, and competes for the same local gaming customer both on the casino floor and online.

P/E: —Score: 52Market cap: $13.30B

Through TVG/FanDuel Racing it is the closest rival to TwinSpires for online horse-race wagering in the United States, with a handle of a size comparable to Churchill Downs' own platform.

P/E: —Score: 53Market cap: $6.04B

Caesars competes in the same regional casino markets, including Louisiana and the Midwest, and is pushing into racing-and-gaming venues of the kind Churchill Downs builds around historical racing machines.

1/ST (The Stronach Group), operator of XpressbetNot tracked

It owns flagship tracks such as Santa Anita, Pimlico and Gulfstream Park and the Xpressbet wagering platform, competing with Churchill Downs for the same bettors, the same race dates and the same horsemen.

Boyd Gaming CorporationBYD

Boyd operates regional casinos in Louisiana, Mississippi and the Midwest that draw on the same local customer base as Churchill Downs' gaming properties.

The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA), operator of NYRA BetsNot tracked

NYRA runs Saratoga, Belmont and Aqueduct and its own NYRA Bets platform, competing with Churchill Downs for premier race meets and for the online wagering handle they generate.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.99B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$413M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$1.01B

負債合計

$6.43B

流動比率

0.36

利払い倍率

2.47

負債/EBITDA

5.21

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$93.26

現在株価

$74.71

安全マージン

+19.9%

適正価値レンジ

$65.05 - $121.48

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$130.83
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$72.10
利益倍率(P/E):$64.13
グレアムの成長公式:$96.54
収益力価値(EPV):$90.58
正当化されたP/B:$95.63
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$8.97
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$141.43
中間サイクル利益:$104.52
売上高倍率:$73.26
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (17B / 1H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-1.11%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

12.91

ROE

37.9%

P/B レシオ

3.93

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

-

ROIC

9.3%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

9.3%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

+2.2 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.66%
  • Price CAGR 12.37%
  • ROIC 9.3%
  • Operating Margin 24.1%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 36.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 94% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.4%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.92
  • Share Dilution -3.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(7)

  • P/B Ratio 3.93
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 13.8% vs 15.2%

データなし(6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.92

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-3.6%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. William C. CarstanjenCEO & Director57
Mr. William E. MuddPresident & COO54
Ms. Marcia Ann Dall CPAExecutive VP & CFO61
Mr. Bradley K. Blackwell J.D.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary53
Mr. Jon E. RauchVP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Nate SimonSenior VP & CTO-
Sam UllrichVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Jason SauerSenior Vice President of Corporate Development-
Ms. M. Katherine ArmstrongSenior VP of Human Resources-
Mr. Michael W. AndersonSenior VP & President of Churchill Downs Racetrack54

監査リスク

4

取締役会リスク

2

報酬リスク

3

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-25

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-29

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-28

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CHDN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/21/2026POSITIVE
    Beck Bode Initiates Churchill Downs Position as Regional Gaming Expansion Lifts Growth Prospects

    Beck Bode has initiated a position in Churchill Downs Inc., signaling confidence in the company's growth prospects. Churchill Downs is actively expanding its network of casinos and historical racing venues, aiming to generate recurring revenue streams from the gaming sector. Investors are assessing the effectiveness of this investment phase, but Beck Bode's initiative suggests a positive outlook on the economic returns of these expansions. The strategy seeks to diversify profit sources beyond the traditional annual horse racing event, solidifying the company's presence in the gaming market.

via Markets Gazette