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DOMINION ENERGY INC (D)

割高
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

ファンダメンタル

50

株価

$60.52

時価総額

$53.12B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Dominion Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility. It generates, transmits and distributes electricity to millions of customers in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina, and distributes natural gas across parts of the same region. Almost all of its earnings come from state-regulated rates set to give it a fixed return on the capital it invests in power plants, transmission lines and pipelines, rather than from competing for customers in an open market.

収益の仕組み

Dominion earns revenue by selling electricity and gas at rates approved by state utility commissions, calculated to recover its costs plus an allowed profit margin on the capital it has invested — so building more infrastructure can mean earning more, provided regulators approve the spending. Because rates are set by regulators rather than by market competition, revenue growth tracks new construction and customer or usage growth more than pricing power. A smaller share comes from non-regulated generation assets selling power under long-term contracts.

競争優位性(moat)

規模の経済 · 狭い

Building a second, competing power grid and gas network across the same territory is uneconomical, which is why regulators grant utilities like Dominion an exclusive franchise in their service area — a natural monopoly rooted in infrastructure economics of scale. The trade-off is that the same regulators cap how much profit Dominion can earn on that infrastructure, limiting how far the advantage can be monetized.

需要を左右する要因

ディフェンシブ

Electricity and gas are necessities that most existing customers keep using through recessions, which makes underlying demand fairly stable. The exception is a growth twist: a surge of new data centers in Northern Virginia, the world's largest data-center hub, is adding demand well beyond the pace of ordinary population and economic growth, though those commitments are not all firm.

主なリスク

  • Regulatory rate risk — Dominion's earnings depend on state regulators approving the rates and capital recovery it requests; a less favorable decision on a rate case directly cuts profitability.
  • Preliminary data-center demand — A large part of the projected future demand from data centers rests on early-stage agreements without firm take-or-pay commitments, so customers can delay, downsize or cancel projects with little consequence.
  • Political pushback on rate increases — Public and regulatory scrutiny over residential customers subsidizing data-center power needs could force Dominion into pricing structures that shift costs or reduce its allowed returns.
  • Heavy capital spending needs — Dominion must keep investing large sums in generation and grid infrastructure, relying on external capital markets; higher interest rates raise financing costs and can strain relations with regulators over who bears them.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Virginia's position as the world's largest data-center hub gives Dominion a multi-decade runway of demand growth on which it can earn a regulated return, and that the essential, non-discretionary nature of electricity delivery makes its earnings more predictable than most businesses.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that much of the promised data-center demand rests on preliminary agreements customers can cancel with little penalty, that regulators may resist letting Dominion pass rising infrastructure costs onto residential ratepayers, and that heavy ongoing capital spending keeps debt and financing costs elevated.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 17.5Score: 66Market cap: $88.41B

Duke is the other large regulated electric utility of the Carolinas and Virginia border region, so the two compete before the same North Carolina and South Carolina regulators and for the same industrial and data-center load looking to site in the Southeast.

P/E: 17.6Score: 56Market cap: $63.97B

Through its Appalachian Power subsidiary AEP serves western Virginia under the same Virginia State Corporation Commission, and its Ohio and Texas utilities chase the same hyperscaler data-center connections Dominion is winning in Northern Virginia.

P/E: 21.2Score: 57Market cap: $92.83B

Southern runs the comparable regulated electric franchises of Georgia and Alabama and competes with Dominion to attract the same large energy-intensive customers to the Southeast, and for the same investor capital in regulated generation build-out.

P/E: 14.8Score: 49Market cap: $41.13B

Exelon's Pepco, BGE and Delmarva utilities cover the rest of the mid-Atlantic PJM grid next door to Dominion's Northern Virginia data-center corridor, competing for the same interconnection queue and the same large-load customers.

P/E: 25.3Score: 52Market cap: $44.91B

Entergy is a similarly sized regulated electric utility that markets cheap firm power and ready industrial sites in the Gulf South to the same hyperscalers and manufacturers Dominion is courting in Virginia and South Carolina.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$17.41B

直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)

純利益

$2.95B

直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$29.08B

負債合計

$82.44B

流動比率

0.78

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

7.61

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

規制公益事業割高

適正価値

$47.06

現在株価

$60.52

安全マージン

-28.6%

適正価値レンジ

$30.59 - $63.53

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$70.91
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$15.11
利益倍率(P/E):$48.08
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$42.72
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$45.72
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:この種の企業には適用されません
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (8B / 14H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+14.71%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

17.91

ROE

10.3%

P/B レシオ

1.83

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

-

ROIC

3.4%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

3.4%

WACC

4.1%

ROIC − WACC

-0.7 pp

ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(12)

  • P/B Ratio 1.83
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 26.3%
  • Current Ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 8.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.71
  • Share Dilution -0.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 17.0% vs 15.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

不合格(9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -0.65%
  • Price CAGR -2.22%
  • ROIC 3.4%
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 36% Buy

データなし(7)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

7/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

1.71

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-0.5%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Robert M. BluePresident, CEO & Chairman of the Board57
Mr. Steven D. RidgeExecutive VP & CFO44
Mr. Carlos M. BrownEVP, Chief Admin & Projects Officer, Corporate Secretary and President of Dominion Energy Services50
Mr. Edward H. BaineExecutive VP of Utility Operations & President of Dominion Energy Virginia51
Mr. Eric S. CarrChief Nuclear Officer and President-Nuclear Operations & Contracted Energy50
Mr. Gary G. Ratliff Jr.VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer46
Mr. David M. McFarlandSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Treasurer-
Ms. Regina J. ElbertSVP, Chief Legal & Human Resources Officer-
Mr. William L. MurraySenior Vice President of Corporate Affairs & Communications57
Ms. Corynne S. ArnettExecutive VP and Chief Regulatory & Customer Officer-

監査リスク

10

取締役会リスク

7

報酬リスク

3

株主権利リスク

6

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-23

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-31

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-14

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for D, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/18/2026POSITIVE
    NextEra to Buy Dominion for $67 Billion to Form Utility Colossus

    NextEra Energy Inc. has agreed to acquire Dominion Energy Inc. in a landmark $67 billion all-stock transaction, marking the largest-ever power industry acquisition. This strategic move will create a dominant utility entity with an expansive reach from Florida to Virginia's data center hubs. The deal is expected to enhance operational efficiencies and market presence for the combined company, potentially leading to significant cost synergies and a strengthened competitive position. Investors will be closely watching the integration process and the realization of projected benefits.

  • 5/17/2026POSITIVE
    NextEra Said to Discuss Deal Valuing Dominion at $66 Billion

    NextEra Energy Inc. is reportedly in discussions for a significant acquisition of Dominion Energy Inc., with a potential deal valuing Dominion at approximately $76 per share, totaling around $66 billion. This proposed transaction would represent the largest deal ever recorded in the power sector. For Dominion shareholders, this news suggests a substantial premium over its current trading price, potentially offering a lucrative exit. The market will be closely watching the progression of these talks and the potential strategic implications for both energy giants.

  • 5/16/2026POSITIVE
    NextEra Energy Is Said to Be in Talks to Acquire Dominion

    NextEra Energy Inc. is reportedly in talks to acquire its utility rival, Dominion Energy Inc., in a significant, predominantly stock-based transaction. This potential merger is driven by the escalating demand for electricity, particularly from the burgeoning data center industry. For investors, this news suggests a potential consolidation within the utility sector, with Dominion Energy being the target. The deal's structure, primarily stock, indicates NextEra's confidence in its own valuation and its strategic vision to meet future power needs, potentially leading to synergies and expanded market reach for the combined entity.

  • 2/28/2026POSITIVE
    2 Tariff-Proof Energy Stocks to Buy Now

    Markets Gazette highlights two energy stocks demonstrating resilience amidst global uncertainties: Dominion Energy and Williams Companies. Their strong focus on the domestic energy sector provides these companies with significant immunity to international tariff fluctuations. This characteristic makes them particularly appealing in a volatile economic climate, offering investors potential protection against risks associated with foreign trade policies. Analysis suggests that their internally oriented business model positions them favorably for stable growth, making them strategic buying opportunities for those seeking long-term stability and returns, shielded from geopolitical and commercial tensions.

  • 2/23/2026NEUTRAL
    Dominion Energy (D) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

    Dominion Energy has released its earnings transcript for the fourth quarter of 2025, a key document for investors. Although the specific content details are not available, the publication itself is a significant market event. Analysts and investors will be scrutinizing the text for in-depth insights into the company's financial performance, including revenues, profit margins, and earnings per share. Management's commentary on future strategy, operational forecasts, and guidance for the upcoming fiscal year will also be critical. The market's reaction and the future direction of Dominion Energy's stock (D) will depend entirely on the analysis of this data, which has not yet been disclosed. The event is therefore purely informational, pending the emergence and digestion of the details by the market.

via Markets Gazette