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Diodes Incorporated (DIOD)

割高
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

60

株価

$96.50

時価総額

$4.46B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Diodes Incorporated designs, manufactures and sells high-volume, application-specific standard semiconductors: discrete devices (diodes, transistors, protection and power devices), standard logic, analog and mixed-signal chips. These are the inexpensive, ubiquitous parts that sit around the main processor of almost any electronic product - managing power, protecting circuits, switching signals. The company runs a hybrid model, making part of its output in its own wafer fabs and assembly/test plants (including Shanghai, Wuxi and Chengdu in China, plus sites in Taiwan, the UK and Germany) and buying the rest from external foundries and subcontractors. In fiscal 2025 it shipped roughly 45 billion units, up from about 39 billion in 2024, and net sales were $1,482.1 million, 13.0% above 2024.

収益の仕組み

Diodes earns money by selling physical chips, unit by unit, at very low average prices and very high volumes; there is no meaningful subscription or royalty stream. Roughly two thirds of sales pass through distributors and one third goes directly to manufacturers and electronics contract assemblers: in 2025 direct sales and EMS customers together accounted for 35% of net sales, against 37% in 2024 and 32% in 2023. Profitability depends on the gap between selling price and manufacturing cost, and therefore on how full the company's own factories are - fixed plant costs are spread over the units produced. Gross margin was 31.2% in 2025 against 33.2% in 2024, which the company attributes mainly to product mix and slower growth in the industrial end market.

セグメント別売上高

Computing27%

Power management, protection and signal devices sold into notebooks, servers, storage and data-centre hardware. It was the fastest-growing end market in 2025, up from 25% of product revenue in 2024, helped by AI and data-centre demand.

Industrial23%

Components sold to makers of factory automation, power supplies, metering, building and medical equipment. The share was unchanged at 23% in 2025 and 2024, and the company describes growth in this market as slower than the group average.

Automotive19%

Qualified parts sold to car manufacturers and their tier-one suppliers for infotainment, lighting, body electronics and powertrain. The share was unchanged at 19% in 2025 and 2024, and the company names automotive as a strategic growth target.

Consumer18%

Devices sold into televisions, home appliances, wearables, chargers and other consumer electronics. The share slipped from 19% of product revenue in 2024 to 18% in 2025.

Communications13%

Parts sold into smartphones, networking gear, broadband and other communications equipment. The share fell from 14% of product revenue in 2024 to 13% in 2025.

競争優位性(moat)

コスト優位性 · 狭い

Diodes has no proprietary technology to protect: its catalogue is made of standard parts that several suppliers can build. What it does have is manufacturing scale in low-cost locations - its own wafer fabs and assembly and test plants in Asia, shipping about 45 billion units a year - which lets it make a profit at prices where a smaller rival would not, plus the qualification cycles of automotive and industrial customers, which make a designed-in part awkward to replace mid-programme. That advantage is real but narrow, and the filing itself is explicit that customers and competitors push continuously for lower prices and that larger competitors have greater financial and technical resources.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Demand follows the electronics build cycle, not end-consumer spending directly: Diodes sells to the people who assemble devices, so its orders rise and fall with their production plans and with how much inventory sits in the distribution channel - and roughly two thirds of its sales go through distributors. The company identifies the semiconductor industry as cyclical in its own risk factors, and that showed in the numbers: net sales fell to $1,311.1 million in 2024 and rebounded 13.0% to $1,482.1 million in 2025, with unit shipments going from about 39 billion to about 45 billion. Within the year the filing notes a seasonal pattern, with the fourth quarter historically the smallest calendar quarter and some additional weakness in the first quarter. The end-market mix softens the swings a little - industrial and automotive turn more slowly than consumer and computing - but it does not remove them.

主なリスク

  • Tariffs and trade barriers — The company lists first among its risk factors the tariffs assessed or contemplated by various governments, which could raise the cost of raw materials and components, disrupt its supply chain and make its products less competitive.
  • Fixed costs in a downturn — Because Diodes owns factories, a large share of its costs does not fall when orders do. The filing warns that in difficult market conditions fixed costs combined with lower sales and lower margins can hurt results.
  • Semiconductor cycle and end-market demand — The company discloses that downturns in the cyclical semiconductor industry, or shifts in the end markets it serves, could adversely affect operating results and financial condition.
  • Competition from larger rivals — The filing states that the semiconductor business is competitive and that some competitors have greater financial, technical and marketing resources, so increased competition may harm the business.
  • Continuous pressure to cut prices — Diodes says it is and will continue to be under continuous pressure from customers and competitors to reduce the price of its products, which could hurt growth and profit margins.
  • Orders can be cancelled without penalty — Customer orders are normally cancellable or modifiable with no penalty; a high volume of cancellations or reduced quantities could adversely affect net sales and operating results.
  • Disruption of its own plants — Production at the company's manufacturing facilities could be disrupted by natural disasters and other extraordinary events, preventing it from producing enough product to meet customer demand.
  • Acquisitions and their integration — A significant part of the growth strategy involves acquiring companies; the filing warns that suitable targets may not be found and that acquired businesses may not be successfully integrated.
  • Dependence on China and on the Chinese economy — Wafer fabrication and assembly and test capacity sits in Shanghai, Wuxi and Chengdu, and Asia produced $1,156.8 million of the $1,482.1 million of 2025 net sales. The filing flags that a slowdown in the Chinese economy could limit growth in demand for electronic devices.
  • Loss of key people — The company discloses that it may fail to attract or retain the qualified technical, sales, marketing, finance and management personnel it needs to operate successfully.

顧客集中度

Concentration on the customer side is low: the company says it serves over 50,000 customers worldwide, and the filing does not disclose any single customer or distributor at 10% or more of net sales. What it does disclose is the route to market: direct sales and EMS (contract assembly) customers together accounted for 35% of net sales in 2025, 37% in 2024 and 32% in 2023, with the remainder - about 65% in 2025 - going through distributors. That shifts the concentration question onto a handful of large global distributors rather than onto end customers, but the filing does not size their individual shares, so no number can be given here.

強気材料

Buyers argue that 2024 was the bottom of an inventory cycle and that 2025 showed the recovery taking hold: net sales up 13.0% to $1,482.1 million, unit shipments from about 39 to about 45 billion, and computing rising from 25% to 27% of product revenue on AI and data-centre demand. They point to the company's stated three-year target of $2 billion of revenue, $700 million of gross profit and $4 of non-GAAP earnings per share by 2028, to the cash the business threw off in 2025 - $215.5 million from operations and $137.2 million of free cash flow after $78.4 million of capital spending - and to the operating leverage in owned factories, where each extra unit of volume drops through at a high incremental margin. They also argue that the strategic push into automotive and industrial, currently 19% and 23% of product revenue, mixes the company toward parts with longer lives and slower price erosion.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the recovery is being bought at the price of margin: gross margin fell to 31.2% in 2025 from 33.2% in 2024 even as revenue grew 13.0%, which is what the company's own risk factor about continuous customer and competitor pressure on prices looks like in practice. They point out that the products are standard parts, that several competitors are larger and better funded, and that owning factories cuts both ways - the same fixed costs that magnify a recovery magnify a downturn, and the filing warns of exactly this. They also note the geographic exposure: the wafer fabs and the assembly and test plants sit largely in China, Asia generated $1,156.8 million of 2025 net sales, and the first risk factor in the filing is tariffs. Finally, about two thirds of sales go through distributors, so reported revenue can run ahead of or behind real end demand depending on channel inventory, and orders can be cancelled without penalty.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 50.9Score: 65Market cap: $28.48B

Named by Diodes in its own 10-K, onsemi sells the same catalogue of discrete, power and analog components to the same automotive, industrial and computing customers through the same distributors.

P/E: 68.6Score: 61Market cap: $73.11B

Infineon competes directly for the automotive and industrial power sockets — electrification, battery management and motor control — that Diodes has made its main growth area.

Vishay Intertechnology, Inc.VSH

Also named in Diodes' 10-K, Vishay is a broad-line maker of diodes, rectifiers and MOSFETs that competes part-by-part for the same standard-component sockets in industrial and consumer boards.

Nexperia B.V.Not tracked

Nexperia is the other high-volume specialist in standard discretes and logic, selling essentially interchangeable parts to the same distribution channel where Diodes wins on price, package and availability.

ROHM Co., Ltd. (ローム株式会社)6963

ROHM offers a comparable mix of small-signal discretes, power devices and analog ICs and competes for the same Asian consumer and automotive design wins.

Alpha & Omega Semiconductor LimitedAOSL

Alpha & Omega is the closest small-cap rival, targeting the same power-MOSFET and power-management content in notebooks, smartphone chargers and computing power supplies.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$1.63B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$86M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$137M

自己資本合計

$1.88B

負債合計

$510M

流動比率

3.17

利払い倍率

27.61

負債/EBITDA

0.41

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割高

適正価値

$73.16

現在株価

$96.50

安全マージン

-31.9%

適正価値レンジ

$47.56 - $98.77

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$162.50
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$33.70
利益倍率(P/E):$34.79
グレアムの成長公式:$13.91
収益力価値(EPV):$8.55
正当化されたP/B:$6.53
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:$73.95
売上高倍率:$179.65
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (7B / 1H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+13.71%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

52.04

ROE

3.5%

P/B レシオ

2.28

P/FCF

31.28

粗利益率

31.7%

ROIC

2.9%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

2.9%

WACC

15.0%

ROIC − WACC

-12.1 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 14.04%
  • Gross Margin 31.7%
  • P/B Ratio 2.28
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.90
  • Share Dilution -0.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.3% vs 4.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

不合格(9)

  • EPS CAGR 4.65%
  • ROIC 2.9%
  • P/FCF 31.28
  • Operating Margin 4.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 4.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.8%

データなし(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

8/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

2.90

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-0.2%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Brett R. WhitmireChief Financial Officer59
Mr. Francis TangChief Technology Officer70
Ms. Emily YangSenior Vice President of Worldwide Sales & Marketing56
Mr. Kuo Ting TsongSenior Vice President of Worldwide Products Group56
Dr. Jin ZhaoSenior Vice President of Worldwide Manufacturing and Quality & President of Asia Pacific Region55
Ms. Sheana ChenChief Legal Officer, Corporate Compliance Officer & VP of Corporate Operations-
Mr. Gurmeet DhaliwalVice President of Corporate Marketing & Investor Relations-
Dr. Gerry McCarthyPresident of Europe-
Mr. Richard D. White CPACorporate Secretary & Special Assistant to the CEO77

監査リスク

7

取締役会リスク

2

報酬リスク

2

株主権利リスク

3

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-10

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-05

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-27

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

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