Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD)
割安ファンダメンタル
51
株価
$148.02
時価総額
$185.61B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Gilead Sciences develops and sells prescription medicines, best known for HIV treatment and prevention drugs such as Biktarvy and Descovy, which make up the large majority of revenue. It also sells treatments for chronic hepatitis B and D, cancer medicines including CAR-T cell therapies from its Kite subsidiary and the antibody-drug conjugate Trodelvy, and Veklury, the antiviral used against COVID-19. Products are sold mainly through specialty pharmacies and wholesalers to patients in the United States and abroad.
収益の仕組み
Revenue comes from per-prescription sales of patented medicines, priced and rebated through negotiations with insurers, government payers and pharmacy benefit managers. HIV franchise drugs generate the large majority of profit while under patent protection, funding research and acquisitions such as Kite aimed at diversifying into cancer treatment before HIV drugs eventually face generic and biosimilar competition; Veklury revenue, by contrast, rises and falls with COVID-19 infection waves rather than steady patient demand.
セグメント別売上高
Daily treatment regimens such as Biktarvy and prevention medicines such as Descovy, taken by people living with or at risk of HIV.
Cancer medicines including Kite's CAR-T cell therapies, which reprogram a patient's own immune cells, and the antibody-drug conjugate Trodelvy.
Treatments for chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis D infections, diseases that can progress to serious liver damage if untreated.
Remdesivir, the antiviral sold under the brand Veklury for treating COVID-19, with revenue tied closely to infection rates.
Smaller and legacy product lines outside the four main therapeutic areas, none individually large enough to break out separately.
競争優位性(moat)
特許・ライセンス · 狭いBeing the default HIV regimen for both treatment and prevention, reinforced by patents and years of prescriber habit, gives Gilead pricing power most biopharma companies do not have within a single disease area. The edge is narrow rather than wide, though: Biktarvy's core patents begin expiring later this decade, and the company is racing to establish its long-acting drug lenacapavir as the next-generation standard before that happens.
需要を左右する要因
ディフェンシブHIV and liver disease medicines treat chronic, life-long conditions that patients keep taking regardless of the economic cycle, which anchors the defensive core of the business. Veklury is the exception: its revenue rises and falls with COVID-19 infection waves and government stockpiling decisions, while oncology growth depends on new drug launches and expanding approved uses rather than the broader economy.
主なリスク
- Uncertain Veklury demand — Revenue from the COVID-19 antiviral Veklury depends on infection rates and government purchasing decisions, both of which have proven volatile and hard to predict from year to year.
- US Medicare pricing reform — The Inflation Reduction Act's Medicare Part D changes affect how Gilead's medicines are priced and reimbursed for older US patients, adding a policy variable outside the company's control.
- Patent expiration on core HIV drugs — Key patents protecting Biktarvy begin expiring later this decade; once generic or competing options arrive, the HIV franchise that funds most of the company's profit will face pricing pressure.
- Clinical trial and pipeline risk — Newer candidates such as lenacapavir and sacituzumab govitecan must continue to succeed in trials and gain regulatory approval for new uses to offset eventual declines in older products.
- Pricing and reimbursement pressure — Government agencies and private payers worldwide continue to push back on drug prices, and unfavorable reimbursement decisions in any major market can reduce how much revenue a medicine actually generates.
強気材料
Buyers argue that Gilead's dominant, durable HIV franchise throws off enough profit to fund a growing and diversifying oncology and cell-therapy business, and that lenacapavir's long-acting dosing could extend HIV leadership for another decade even after Biktarvy's patents expire.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that Biktarvy's eventual patent expiration, fading Veklury demand once COVID-19 waves subside, and persistent government pricing pressure leave Gilead more dependent on a single franchise than its diversification efforts suggest.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Merck sells the doravirine-based regimens Pifeltro and Delstrigo to the same HIV-treating physicians and is developing its own long-acting oral regimens for that market, while also competing in oncology.
AbbVie's hepatitis C cure Mavyret takes prescriptions directly from Gilead's Epclusa and Harvoni, having overtaken them in new US starts thanks to a shorter eight-week course.
Bristol-Myers Squibb's CAR-T therapies Breyanzi and Abecma compete for the same lymphoma and myeloma patients treated at the same transplant centres as Gilead's Yescarta and Tecartus.
Johnson & Johnson's antiretrovirals, led by the darunavir-based regimens, compete for HIV patients, and its cell therapy Carvykti competes with Gilead's Kite unit in blood cancers.
AstraZeneca co-markets the antibody-drug conjugate Enhertu, which competes with Gilead's Trodelvy for the same metastatic breast cancer patients.
Through its ViiV Healthcare unit, GSK is the only other large developer of HIV medicines, selling Dovato and Cabenuva against Biktarvy in treatment and Apretude against Descovy and Yeztugo in prevention.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$30.46B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$-3.24B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$9.46B
自己資本合計
$22.70B
負債合計
$36.41B
流動比率
1.27
利払い倍率
2.50
負債/EBITDA
1.80
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$553.32
現在株価
$148.02
安全マージン
+73.2%
適正価値レンジ
$359.66 - $746.98
使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
22.08
ROE
37.5%
P/B レシオ
15.62
P/FCF
14.28
粗利益率
79.6%
ROIC
-5.1%
収益性レーダー
価値創造(経済的モート)
ROIC
-5.1%
WACC
7.4%
ROIC − WACC
-12.5 pp
ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 8.20%
- Price CAGR 7.77%
- Gross Margin 79.6%
- P/FCF 14.28
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 6.7%
- Share Dilution -0.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
不合格(10)
- ROIC -5.1%
- P/B Ratio 15.62
- Operating Margin -8.2%
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- ROE -16.3%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 3.6%
- Net Margin Trend -10.6% vs 21.9%
データなし(3)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
Piotroski F-スコア
財務健全性が高い
利益の質
低品質:会計処理を調査してください
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
機関投資家の保有
この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Daniel Patrick O'Day | Chairman & CEO | 60 |
| Mr. Andrew D. Dickinson | Executive VP & CFO | 55 |
| Ms. Johanna Mercier | Chief Commercial & Corporate Affairs Officer | 55 |
| Dr. Dietmar P. Berger M.D., Ph.D. | Chief Medical Officer | 56 |
| Ms. Erin E. Burkhart | Senior VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 46 |
| Ms. Jacquie Ross C.F.A. | Senior Vice President of Treasury & Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Keeley M. Cain Wettan | Executive VP, General Counsel of Legal & Compliance and Secretary | 50 |
| Ms. Jyoti K. Mehra | Executive Vice President of Human Resources | 48 |
| Dr. Linda Slanec Higgins Ph.D. | Senior Vice President of Research, Innovation & Portfolio | 63 |
| Dr. Flavius Martin M.D. | Executive Vice President of Research | - |
監査リスク
9
取締役会リスク
5
報酬リスク
8
株主権利リスク
2
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
業績推移
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for GILD, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 8/18/2026NEUTRALNasdaq-100® Inside the Index: Gilead Sciences (GILD)
Gilead Sciences (GILD), a biopharmaceutical company, is featured in an 'Inside the Index' segment focusing on its current revenue drivers and future growth potential. The article highlights the company's established HIV franchise as its primary revenue source. Additionally, it points to emerging prevention treatments as key elements that could define Gilead's trajectory in the coming years. This analysis provides investors with insight into the company's strategic positioning and potential for future expansion within the biopharmaceutical sector.
- 6/17/2026NEUTRALHere's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Gilead Sciences Stock In The Last 20 Years
An analysis of Gilead Sciences Inc. stock performance over the past two decades reveals a complex investment journey. While the stock has experienced periods of significant growth, particularly around key drug approvals and pipeline developments, its overall trajectory has been marked by volatility. Investors who held GILD for the full 20-year period would have seen a notable return, though the exact percentage is subject to the specific entry and exit points. This historical perspective is crucial for current investors assessing the company's long-term value proposition and risk profile.
- 6/2/2026POSITIVEGilead Advances Liver Disease Ambitions With Encouraging Study Outcome
Gilead Sciences announced encouraging Phase 3 results for its liver disease drug, Livdelzi, in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). The study demonstrated a statistically significant higher rate of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) normalization in patients treated with Livdelzi compared to placebo after 52 weeks. This outcome strengthens Gilead's pipeline in liver disease and presents a potential new therapeutic option for PBC patients, which could translate into significant market penetration and revenue growth for the company.
- 4/9/2026POSITIVEGilead Expands Tempus AI Partnership To Boost Oncology Pipeline
Gilead Sciences has expanded its strategic partnership with Tempus AI, a leader in artificial intelligence and data for healthcare. This expanded collaboration aims to accelerate the development of Gilead's oncology pipeline by leveraging Tempus's advanced data analytics and AI capabilities. Additionally, Gilead has licensed Kymera's KT-200, further bolstering its drug development efforts in the oncology space. This dual approach signifies a strong commitment to innovation and data-driven drug discovery, potentially leading to significant advancements in cancer treatments and enhancing Gilead's market position in the lucrative oncology sector.
- 4/8/2026POSITIVEGilead to Buy Cancer Biotech Tubulis in $5B Deal
Gilead Sciences Inc. has announced an agreement to acquire the private German biotech firm Tubulis for up to $5 billion. This strategic move aims to significantly enhance Gilead's oncology pipeline by integrating Tubulis' innovative cancer drug development capabilities. The acquisition underscores Gilead's commitment to expanding its presence in high-growth areas of cancer treatment. Investors may view this deal positively, anticipating future revenue streams and market share gains from the newly acquired assets, potentially boosting GILD's stock performance.
- 4/7/2026NEGATIVEGilead Acquisition Spree Continues With $3 Billion Tubulis Deal
Gilead Sciences announced a $3.15 billion acquisition of Tubulis, a private biopharmaceutical company, to bolster its antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) pipeline. While the deal aims to enhance Gilead's oncology and autoimmune portfolios, the market reacted negatively, with Gilead shares experiencing a dip. Investors may be concerned about the substantial cash outlay and the integration risks associated with multiple recent acquisitions, potentially overshadowing the strategic benefits of the new ADC asset.
- 2/27/2026NEUTRALP/E Ratio Insights for Gilead Sciences
Markets Gazette highlights the recent focus on Gilead Sciences' Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. This metric is vital for investors, offering insights into a company's valuation relative to its earnings per share. A high P/E might suggest strong future growth expectations, while a low P/E could indicate an undervalued stock or lower market expectations. A thorough analysis of this ratio is crucial for understanding market perception of Gilead's financial health and growth prospects as a key player in the biopharmaceutical sector. Investors will closely monitor any new interpretations to inform their investment decisions.
via Markets Gazette