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Hershey Co (HSY)

適正価値
Consumer DefensiveConfectionersUnited States

ファンダメンタル

69

株価

$159.32

時価総額

$33.03B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

The Hershey Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of confectionery products and pantry items in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and International. The company offers chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery products; gum and mint refreshment products, including mints, chewing gums, and bubble gums; protein bars; pantry items, such as baking ingredients, toppings, beverages, and sundae syrups; and snack items comprising spreads, bars, snack bites, mixes, popcorn, and pretzels. It provides its products primarily under the Hershey's, Reese's, Kisses, Jolly Rancher, Almond Joy, Brookside, barkTHINS, Cadbury, Good & Plenty, Heath, Kit Kat, Payday, Rolo, Twizzlers, Sour Strips, Whoppers, York, Ice Breakers, Breath Savers, Bubble Yum, Lily's, SkinnyPop, Pirates Booty, Dot's Homestyle Pretzels, and ONE Bar brands, as well as under the Pelon Pelo Rico, IO-IO, and Sofit brands. The company markets and sells its products to wholesale distributors, chain grocery stores, mass merchandisers, chain drug stores, vending companies, wholesale clubs, convenience stores, dollar stores, concessionaires, and department stores. It exports its products in approximately 65 countries worldwide. The Hershey Company was founded in 1894 and is based in Hershey, Pennsylvania.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 28.6Score: 62Market cap: $78.12B

Mondelez competes with Hershey across chocolate (Cadbury, Milka, Toblerone) and snacking more broadly, selling to the same grocery and convenience retailers.

P/E: 16.5Score: 61Market cap: $174.91B

Through Frito-Lay, PepsiCo dominates the salty snack aisle where Hershey's SkinnyPop, Dot's Pretzels and Pirate's Booty compete for the same snacking occasion.

Mars, IncorporatedNot tracked

Mars is the largest chocolate and candy maker in the United States, and its M&M's, Snickers and Skittles sit on the same checkout shelves as Hershey's, Reese's and Jolly Rancher.

Ferrero Group (Ferrero International S.A.)Not tracked

Ferrero owns Nutella, Kinder, Butterfinger and the former Nestlé US candy brands, putting it head to head with Hershey in American chocolate and seasonal confectionery.

Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AGLISN

Lindt competes for the same chocolate buyer from the premium end, with Lindor and Ghirardelli taking shelf space and gifting occasions from Hershey's brands.

Nestlé S.A.NESN

Nestlé remains a global confectionery rival with KitKat (which Hershey licenses only for the United States), Aero and Smarties in the international markets Hershey is trying to grow.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$12.16B

直近12か月(2026/6/28まで)

純利益

$1.49B

直近12か月(2026/6/28まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.82B

自己資本合計

$4.64B

負債合計

$9.10B

流動比率

1.18

利払い倍率

9.51

負債/EBITDA

3.08

一株当たり利益(EPS)

EPSデータがありません

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$155.25

現在株価

$159.32

安全マージン

-2.6%

適正価値レンジ

$106.56 - $203.94

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$205.52
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$171.83
利益倍率(P/E):$129.75
グレアムの成長公式:$54.68
収益力価値(EPV):$81.45
正当化されたP/B:$89.44
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$109.40
中間サイクル利益:$214.20
売上高倍率:$56.75
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (11B / 16H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+32.02%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

28.28

ROE

19.0%

P/B レシオ

7.08

P/FCF

14.50

粗利益率

38.4%

ROIC

16.1%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

16.1%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

+8.9 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(16)

  • Price CAGR 5.30%
  • ROIC 16.1%
  • Gross Margin 38.4%
  • P/FCF 14.50
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 31.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.5%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 21.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.78

不合格(6)

  • P/B Ratio 7.08
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 12.2% vs 13.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

データなし(5)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

4/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.78

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Kirk C. TannerPresident, CEO & Director56
Mr. Deepak BhatiaChief Technology Officer51
Mr. Steven E. VoskuilSenior Vice President of Strategic Projects57
Mr. Jason R. ReimanSenior Vice President of Supply Chain Modernization53
Mr. Dave HulaysSenior VP & CFO53
Ms. Jennifer L. McCalmanVP & Chief Accounting Officer46
Ms. Anoori NaughtonVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. James TuroffSenior VP, General Counsel & Secretary48
Ms. Stacy TaffetChief Growth & Marketing Officer45
Ms. Natalie Rothman S. Schechtman J.D.Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer54

監査リスク

5

取締役会リスク

7

報酬リスク

7

株主権利リスク

10

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-17

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-30

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-02

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for HSY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/29/2026POSITIVE
    Hershey Bull Sees World Cup, America 250 Lifting Sales

    The Hershey Company is poised for a sales uplift driven by upcoming summer events, including the FIFA World Cup and America's 250th anniversary. Analysts suggest these occasions will boost demand for confectionery products, presenting a strategic buying opportunity for investors in the currently undervalued stock. This positive outlook, fueled by anticipated consumer spending during these major events, indicates potential for significant revenue growth and a rebound in share price for Hershey.

  • 2/20/2026NEGATIVE
    Hershey faces scrutiny after Reese's family criticism

    The Hershey Company is facing public scrutiny following criticism from a Reese's family member. While not directly impacting financial fundamentals, negative publicity and potential brand reputation damage could negatively affect investor perception and future sales, warranting a cautious signal.

via Markets Gazette