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Intel Corporation (INTC)

割高
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

29

株価

$120.07

時価総額

$673.40B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Intel designs and, unlike most of its chip rivals, still largely manufactures its own processors for PCs and servers. It is trying to run two businesses at once: selling chips under its own brand, and rebuilding Intel Foundry into a manufacturing service that makes chips designed by other companies, in an attempt to catch up with TSMC's lead in advanced manufacturing.

収益の仕組み

Product revenue is booked when a chip ships, and depends on PC replacement cycles and server upgrade budgets that Intel is no longer the automatic default winner of. Intel Foundry's reported revenue is mostly internal — wafers it manufactures for Intel's own product divisions — so it does not yet represent a large, separate stream of revenue from outside customers; foundry only becomes a real second growth engine once external customers commit to manufacturing there in volume.

セグメント別売上高

Intel Products92.8%

PC processors (Client Computing Group) and server processors (Data Center and AI), sold externally under the Intel brand. Effectively the whole of Intel's external revenue.

All Other6.8%

Mobileye's driver-assistance chips and remaining minority stakes in businesses being wound down or divested, such as the stake retained in Altera.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

Intel's historical advantage was owning the best chip factories in the world; it has lost that lead to TSMC over the past decade, and its x86 processors now compete on largely even software terms with AMD's. Intel Foundry is a bid to rebuild a manufacturing-scale advantage, but it has not yet proven it can attract enough outside customers to become one.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

PC and server chip demand follows corporate refresh budgets and consumer replacement cycles, which move in multi-year waves and are sensitive to the broader economy. Foundry demand, once it exists at scale, will follow the even longer capital-commitment cycles of chip design customers deciding years in advance where to manufacture.

主なリスク

  • Uncertain foundry turnaround — Intel is investing very heavily to build advanced manufacturing capacity for Intel Foundry, but it has not yet secured external customer commitments at a scale that justifies that spending, and may not.
  • Competitive pressure in core products — AMD has taken share in PC and server processors, and NVIDIA dominates the AI accelerator market Intel has struggled to enter. Losing further ground in either core market pressures both volume and price.
  • Heavy, long-payback capital spending — New fabrication plants cost tens of billions of dollars and take years to become productive. If demand or foundry customer wins fall short, Intel carries the fixed costs of capacity it cannot fill.
  • Execution risk on manufacturing roadmap — Intel's plan depends on hitting a series of new manufacturing process milestones on schedule after years of past delays; another slip would extend the gap with TSMC and further discourage outside foundry customers.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Intel Foundry, once its newest manufacturing process matures, gives Intel a path back to competing with TSMC and a second growth engine beyond its own chips, backed by government support for domestic semiconductor manufacturing.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that Intel is funding an extremely expensive foundry turnaround with a core products business that keeps losing share to AMD and NVIDIA, and that without outside foundry customers the enormous capital spending underway may never earn an adequate return.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 157.3Score: 71Market cap: $1.03T

AMD is the only other large supplier of x86 processors and sells directly against Intel in PC chips, server CPUs and discrete graphics, to the same PC makers and cloud operators.

P/E: 28.9Score: 77Market cap: $5.41T

NVIDIA takes the data-center budget Intel is trying to win with its accelerators and Xeon platforms, and also competes with Intel in graphics for PCs.

P/E: 21.0Score: 66Market cap: $203.97B

Qualcomm's Arm-based Snapdragon X processors are sold to the same Windows notebook manufacturers that Intel supplies, competing design win by design win.

P/E: 33.2Score: 80Market cap: $2.34T

TSMC is the company Intel Foundry must take manufacturing contracts from, since both sell advanced chip production to the same fabless customers such as Apple, NVIDIA and AMD.

P/E: 36.8Score: 60Market cap: $26.23B

GlobalFoundries competes with Intel Foundry for outsourced chip manufacturing on mature process nodes, serving the same customers who need capacity outside Asia.

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (삼성전자)Not tracked

Samsung's foundry division bids for the same leading-edge manufacturing orders as Intel Foundry and is named by Intel itself as a direct foundry competitor.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$57.03B

直近12か月(2026/6/27まで)

純利益

$-11.29B

直近12か月(2026/6/27まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$-4.95B

自己資本合計

$114.28B

負債合計

$85.07B

流動比率

1.60

利払い倍率

0.07

負債/EBITDA

3.00

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割高

適正価値

$72.93

現在株価

$120.07

安全マージン

-64.6%

適正価値レンジ

$47.41 - $98.46

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$116.37
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$37.75
利益倍率(P/E):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
グレアムの成長公式:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
収益力価値(EPV):$4.71
正当化されたP/B:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:$68.14
売上高倍率:$57.03
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (19B / 34H / 2S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+92.93%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

-

ROE

-0.2%

P/B レシオ

6.93

P/FCF

214.21

粗利益率

38.6%

ROIC

-0.0%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

-0.0%

WACC

16.4%

ROIC − WACC

-16.4 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(9)

  • Price CAGR 12.95%
  • Gross Margin 38.6%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1086.3%
  • Net Margin Trend -19.8% vs -38.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC -0.0%
  • P/FCF 214.21
  • P/B Ratio 6.93
  • Operating Margin -0.1%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -10.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -7.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 35% Buy
  • Share Dilution 3.9%

データなし(4)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

3.9%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Lip-Bu TanCEO & Director66
Mr. David A. ZinsnerExecutive VP, CFO and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer56
Mr. Nagasubramaniyan ChandrasekaranExecutive VP, Chief Technology and Operations Officer & GM of Intel Foundry50
Ms. Cynthia A. StoddardSenior VP & Chief Information Officer68
Mr. John William PitzerCorporate Vice President of Corporate Planning & Investor Relations-
Ms. Aparna Bawa Esq.Executive VP and Chief Legal & People Officer46
Ms. Annie Shea WeckesserSenior VP and Chief Marketing & Communications Officer-

監査リスク

8

取締役会リスク

4

報酬リスク

9

株主権利リスク

2

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-01-23

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-24

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-12

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for INTC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2d agoNEGATIVE
    Le azioni Intel hanno perso quasi il 10% in due giorni: il grande rimbalzo è finito?

    Intel shares have experienced a significant decline, shedding nearly 10% over two trading days. The stock closed Monday around $116.03, following a 5.67% drop and a 3.5% fall on Friday. This retracement occurs amidst rising Treasury yields, elevated oil prices, and renewed pressure on tech stocks, triggering profit-taking after Intel's rally. Despite the pullback, core operational fundamentals remain robust, with strong demand for server processors, improved pricing power, and analyst optimism regarding Intel's foundry ambitions. However, the recent price action suggests a potential end to the immediate recovery trade for semiconductor stocks.

  • 3d agoNEGATIVE
    Perché le azioni di Intel e AMD scendono lunedì?

    Intel Corporation (INTC) shares plummeted over 6% on Monday, alongside a more than 5% drop in AMD, as rising oil prices and Treasury yields pressured broader markets. The sell-off disproportionately affected chip and AI-related stocks. Brent crude surged past $108 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate futures climbed to $95.64 following geopolitical tensions. Simultaneously, Treasury yields continued their significant upward trend from the previous week. This confluence of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors is creating headwinds for technology stocks, impacting investor sentiment and potentially leading to further price corrections.

  • 7d agoPOSITIVE
    Perché le azioni di Intel e AMD sono in rialzo giovedì?

    Intel (INTC) and AMD shares experienced a notable rise on Thursday, defying broader market and semiconductor sector weakness. This surge is attributed to renewed enthusiasm surrounding Meta Platforms' AI assistant, Muse, which has reignited investor interest in CPU manufacturers. While major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite saw minimal movement, and Treasury yields climbed to multi-year highs, the positive sentiment around AI's potential is directly benefiting Intel and AMD. This suggests that company-specific catalysts, particularly in the burgeoning AI space, can override general market headwinds, presenting a bullish outlook for these chipmakers.

  • 8d agoNEGATIVE
    Perché le azioni di Intel, AMD e Broadcom (AVGO) sono in calo mercoledì?

    Intel (INTC), AMD, and Broadcom (AVGO) shares saw declines of approximately 2% on Wednesday. This dip occurred as global stock markets paused after a four-day rally, influenced by rising oil prices and increasing Treasury yields. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also fell by about 1.4%. Investors are closely monitoring developments in Middle East peace talks, with Brent crude futures trading around $101 per barrel. The broader market sentiment is being affected by these macroeconomic factors, leading to a sell-off in major semiconductor stocks.

  • 10d agoPOSITIVE
    Perché le azioni di Intel e AMD sono in forte rialzo lunedì?

    Intel (INTC) and AMD shares surged approximately 8% on Monday, driven by a broader market uplift fueled by falling crude oil prices and Treasury yields. This rally provides a much-needed boost to AI-linked semiconductor stocks, recovering from last week's sell-off. AMD's stock reached a 52-week high of $609.5, nearing a $1 trillion valuation. The recovery alleviates investor concerns about a potential slowdown in AI development impacting demand for processors and memory products. This positive market sentiment suggests renewed confidence in the AI sector's growth prospects.

  • 14d agoNEUTRAL
    Intel and SK Hynix Consider Joint US Memory Chip Venture

    Intel Corporation is reportedly in discussions with South Korea's SK Hynix regarding a potential joint venture or lease agreement for memory chip manufacturing in the United States. The collaboration could involve SK Hynix utilizing a portion of Intel's delayed semiconductor facility in Ohio. This move aims to address US government pressure for increased domestic chip production and secure long-term supplies for cloud providers. For Intel, it could alleviate financial strain on its ambitious Ohio project, which has faced construction delays. For SK Hynix, it represents an opportunity to establish a US manufacturing presence amid growing demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and pressure from American clients and officials. However, both companies have stated that no definitive decisions have been made.

  • 15d agoPOSITIVE
    Perché i titoli Intel e AMD sono in rialzo mercoledì?

    Intel Corporation (INTC) shares surged approximately 4.5% on Wednesday following reports of potential strategic partnerships in the semiconductor industry. Reuters indicated that South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix is in discussions with Intel for a significant memory chip manufacturing deal within the United States. This development, coupled with positive long-term chip demand forecasts and favorable product advancement updates for AMD, has boosted investor sentiment. The news suggests a potential strengthening of Intel's domestic manufacturing capabilities and its role in the critical memory chip sector, which could translate to increased revenue and market share.

  • 15d agoNEUTRAL
    Intel-SK Hynix Potential Tie Up; JB Hunt Lower on Costs | Stock Movers

    Intel Corporation (INTC) is seeing significant premarket activity following a Reuters report suggesting potential talks with SK Hynix regarding the latter manufacturing memory chips in the US for the first time. While SK Hynix stated no decisions have been made, the mere possibility of such a strategic manufacturing partnership in the US chip sector could influence investor sentiment. This news is balanced by other market movements, including JB Hunt's earnings warning and Reliance Worldwide's acquisition.

via Markets Gazette