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Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO)

適正価値
IndustrialsTools & AccessoriesUnited States

ファンダメンタル

70

株価

$267.85

時価総額

$14.52B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Lincoln Electric makes the equipment and consumable materials used to weld and cut metal: arc welding machines, robotic welding cells, and the wire and electrodes that get used up with every weld. Customers range from individual fabrication shops to large manufacturers building cars, ships and pipelines, and from automotive plants to oxy-fuel and plasma cutting equipment sold through its Harris Products brands.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling welding machines and cutting equipment once, and then from repeat sales of the wire, electrodes and gases those machines consume with every use — a razor-and-blades pattern where the installed base of equipment drives recurring consumable demand. Automation and robotic welding systems add a growing, higher-value equipment line on top of that base.

セグメント別売上高

Americas Welding64.3%

Welding equipment, consumables and robotic systems sold across North and South America, the company's largest and most profitable segment.

International Welding22%

The same welding equipment and consumables business run across Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific.

The Harris Products Group13.7%

Gas welding, cutting, brazing and soldering equipment and alloys, a distinct product line from arc welding.

競争優位性(moat)

ブランド · 狭い

Lincoln Electric has sold welding equipment under its own name for over a century and trains welders on it in its own educational programs, which builds habit and trust among tradespeople who choose equipment based on reliability in the field. The advantage is real but not unbreachable: welding equipment from established rivals performs comparably, and price competition is common outside premium industrial accounts.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Equipment sales follow industrial capital spending — construction, energy, shipbuilding and manufacturing capacity expansion — which slows in recessions and accelerates in upcycles. Consumables demand is steadier because welding continues on equipment already installed, but it too softens when factories run fewer shifts.

主なリスク

  • Cyclicality of industrial capital spending — Demand for welding equipment tracks broader industrial and construction activity, and a downturn in end markets such as energy, automotive or heavy fabrication reduces both equipment and consumables volumes.
  • Raw material cost volatility — Steel, copper, nickel and other metals used in welding wire and equipment are subject to price swings that the company may not always be able to pass through to customers quickly.
  • International and currency exposure — Roughly a third of revenue is generated outside the Americas, exposing results to foreign currency translation and to economic and political conditions in the countries where the company operates.
  • Competition on price and technology — The company competes against both established global welding equipment makers and lower-cost regional manufacturers, particularly in commodity consumables where differentiation is harder to sustain.

強気材料

Buyers argue that the recurring consumables business cushions the cycle, that the brand and its century of training relationships keep tradespeople loyal, and that growth in automation and robotic welding gives the company a higher-value line to sell into the same installed customer base.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that equipment sales remain tied to an industrial capital-spending cycle the company cannot control, that raw material cost swings can compress margins between price increases, and that regional low-cost competitors keep pressure on consumables pricing where brand loyalty matters least.

2025会計年度のセグメントデータ情報源: Lincoln Electric Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 23.3Score: 63Market cap: $77.99B

ITW's welding segment (Miller Electric and Hobart) competes head-on with Lincoln Electric on welding machines and consumables, above all in North American general fabrication and heavy industry.

ESAB CorporationESAB

ESAB is the other global broad-line supplier of arc welding equipment, filler metals and cutting systems, selling to the same fabrication, energy and shipbuilding customers worldwide, and it names Lincoln Electric as a competitor in its own annual report.

Fronius International GmbHNot tracked

The Austrian family-owned group builds advanced arc welding power sources and robotic welding cells, competing for the same automotive and automation customers in Europe that Lincoln Electric's International Welding segment targets.

voestalpine Böhler Welding (voestalpine AG)Not tracked

voestalpine's welding division is one of the largest producers of welding consumables and filler metals, competing directly with Lincoln Electric's consumables business in energy, pipeline and heavy-industry applications.

Kemppi OyNot tracked

The privately held Finnish manufacturer sells arc welding equipment and welding-management software to industrial fabricators, the same equipment buyers Lincoln Electric serves in Europe and Asia.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$4.48B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$554M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$534M

自己資本合計

$1.47B

負債合計

$2.31B

流動比率

1.98

利払い倍率

13.06

負債/EBITDA

1.47

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$290.39

現在株価

$267.85

安全マージン

+7.8%

適正価値レンジ

$201.18 - $379.60

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$304.91
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$351.02
利益倍率(P/E):$216.36
グレアムの成長公式:$464.53
収益力価値(EPV):$98.39
正当化されたP/B:$123.86
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$43.85
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$181.73
中間サイクル利益:$224.62
売上高倍率:$231.27
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (12B / 7H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+2.26%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

26.43

ROE

35.4%

P/B レシオ

9.28

P/FCF

26.59

粗利益率

36.0%

ROIC

20.7%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

20.7%

WACC

10.6%

ROIC − WACC

+10.1 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 13.22%
  • ROIC 20.7%
  • Gross Margin 36.0%
  • P/FCF 26.59
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 37.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 63% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.18
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.24
  • Share Dilution -2.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 12.4% vs 12.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(7)

  • EPS CAGR 3.82%
  • P/B Ratio 9.28
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.1%

データなし(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.24

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-2.3%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Steven B. HedlundPresident, CEO & Chairman58
Mr. Gabriel BrunoExecutive VP, CFO & Treasurer57
Ms. Jennifer I. Ansberry J.D.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary51
Ms. Susan C. EdwardsExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer62
Ms. Amanda H. ButlerVice President of Investor Relations & Communications-
Mr. Geoffrey P. AllmanSenior Vice President of Acquisition Integration54
Mr. Gregory D. DoriaExecutive VP & President of International48
Ms. Lisa A. DietrichExecutive VP & Chief Digital Information Officer52
Mr. Kevin J. WhaleyExecutive VP & President of Global Automation52
Ms. Lisa ShapiroVice President of Corporate Controller-

監査リスク

2

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

3

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-25

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-30

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-11

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

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