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McCormick & Company Inc (MKC)

割安
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

67

株価

$46.40

時価総額

$13.03B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

McCormick manufactures, markets and distributes herbs, spices, seasoning mixes, condiments and other flavour products to the entire food and beverage industry — grocery retailers, food manufacturers and foodservice operators. It sells branded products to households under names such as McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's, Cholula, OLD BAY, Zatarain's, Schwartz, Ducros and Kamis, and at the same time develops custom flavour systems, coatings and compound flavours for industrial food companies and restaurant chains. Operations span North America, Europe, China, Australia, Central America, Thailand and South Africa, and roughly two-thirds of consumer sales are spices and seasonings plus condiments and sauces. Fiscal 2025 ended on 30 November 2025 with consolidated net sales of $6,840.3 million.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling physical product, not from subscriptions or licences. On the consumer side McCormick ships branded packages to grocery, mass merchandise, warehouse clubs, discount and drug chains and e-commerce, partly direct and partly through brokers, wholesalers and distributors; margins rest on brand pricing power and on the gap between commodity input cost and shelf price. On the industrial side it is paid by food manufacturers and foodservice chains for seasoning blends, coating systems and compound flavours developed to a customer's own recipe — lower margin than the branded business but stickier, because a flavour that has been written into a customer's product formulation is not swapped casually. In fiscal 2025 the consumer half produced 58% of sales but 67% of operating income, the flavour-solutions half 42% of sales and 33% of operating income.

セグメント別売上高

Consumer58%

Branded herbs, spices, seasoning mixes, condiments and sauces sold to households through grocery, mass merchandise, warehouse clubs, discount and drug stores and e-commerce, under names including McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's, Cholula, OLD BAY, Zatarain's, Schwartz, Ducros and Kamis. It generated 67% of consolidated operating income in fiscal 2025.

Flavor Solutions42%

Seasoning blends, spices and herbs, condiments, coating systems and compound flavours supplied to food and beverage manufacturers and to foodservice and restaurant customers, often formulated to the customer's own specification. It generated 33% of consolidated operating income in fiscal 2025.

競争優位性(moat)

ブランド · 広い

The 10-K describes McCormick as the global brand leader and category leader in its key markets for spices and seasonings, and one of the brand leaders globally and in the United States in condiments and sauces. Two things make that hard to attack: spices are a small line on the grocery bill but a large share of how a dish tastes, so shoppers rarely trade down for a few cents; and the shelf space a century-old brand occupies is hard for a newcomer to buy. The industrial half adds a second, quieter advantage — a flavour developed inside a customer's product formulation carries switching costs, since replacing it means reformulating and re-testing the customer's own product. The counterweight the company itself names is private label and competitive brands, which is a live pressure rather than a theoretical one.

需要を左右する要因

ディフェンシブ

People season their food in good years and bad ones, and a jar of spice is a small enough purchase that it rarely gets cut when budgets tighten — if anything, a downturn that pushes meals from restaurants back into the kitchen tends to help the consumer half. The industrial half tracks its customers' own volumes, so it moves with packaged-food and restaurant traffic and is a little more exposed to a slowdown. The real swing factor for McCormick is not the economic cycle but the cost cycle: agricultural input prices, packaging, freight and tariffs move first, and the pricing the company can pass through to retailers follows with a lag, which is what compresses or expands margin from year to year.

主なリスク

  • Weak economy and inflation reaching the shopper — The company discloses that deterioration of global economic conditions, recession or slow growth, inflation or economic uncertainty in its key markets may hurt customer and consumer spending and demand for its products.
  • Brand damage and the rise of private label — Damage to reputation or brand name, loss of brand relevance, greater use of private label or competing brands by customers or consumers, competitive pressure in marketing and technology, or product quality and safety concerns are all disclosed as able to hurt the business.
  • Dependence on a few very large customers — The filing flags both customer consolidation — and the economic and competitive pressure the retailers themselves face — and the risk of failing to maintain mutually beneficial relationships with large customers.
  • Sourcing raw materials and supply chain disruption — Issues in procuring raw materials are disclosed as able to hurt the company, as is disruption of the supply chain. McCormick buys agricultural crops grown across many countries and exposed to weather and local conditions.
  • Trade policy and tariffs — The company states that changes in global trade policies have already affected and may continue to affect its financial condition and results.
  • Prices may not fully cover rising costs — McCormick discloses that it may be unable to raise prices enough to fully offset inflation in raw and packaging materials, labour and distribution, and separately flags labour shortages, turnover and rising labour costs.
  • Competition on profitability — The filing states plainly that profitability may suffer as a result of competition in its markets.

顧客集中度

主要顧客が売上高の24%を占める

The 10-K states that Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. accounted for approximately 12% of consolidated sales in 2025, 2024 and 2023, and that PepsiCo, Inc. — a Flavor Solutions customer — also accounted for approximately 12% of consolidated sales in 2025, the two together representing roughly 24% of consolidated sales. That is meaningful concentration for a consumer-goods company: one retailer and one food-and-beverage manufacturer between them decide the terms on nearly a quarter of the revenue, which is why the company lists both customer consolidation and the loss of a large relationship among its own risk factors.

強気材料

Buyers argue that this is one of the few food businesses whose category position has not been eroded: the filing describes McCormick as global brand leader in spices and seasonings and a leader in condiments and sauces, categories where the product is cheap per purchase and decisive for how the food tastes, which historically supports passing cost increases through to the shelf. They point to fiscal 2025 organic sales growth of 2% — split between 1% volume and 1% price — as evidence that the company can grow units rather than lean only on price, and to the consumer segment delivering 67% of operating income on 58% of sales as the sign of a genuinely profitable branded core. They also argue the two halves reinforce each other: the industrial business gives early sight of where flavour trends are heading and produces relationships that are hard for a customer to unwind, while the branded business turns those trends into higher-margin packaged product.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the growth here is thin for the price the market attaches to it: 2% organic growth in fiscal 2025, with consolidated net sales of $6,840.3 million against $6,723.7 million the year before, is a company expanding barely faster than the food it sells gets more expensive. They worry about the two customers that together account for roughly 24% of consolidated sales, since a retailer of that size can demand price concessions, reset shelf space or push its own private label into the same aisle — and the company itself lists private label growth and the loss of a large relationship among its risk factors. They also point at the cost side: McCormick discloses that it may not be able to raise prices enough to fully offset inflation in raw materials, packaging, labour and distribution, and that trade policy changes have already affected results, so an agricultural or tariff shock lands on the margin before any price increase can catch up. Finally, the industrial half — 42% of sales but only 33% of operating income — is a lower-margin business whose volumes depend on what its own customers sell.

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$7.39B

直近12か月(2026/5/31まで)

純利益

$1.62B

直近12か月(2026/5/31まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$740M

自己資本合計

$5.74B

負債合計

$7.43B

流動比率

0.78

利払い倍率

5.34

負債/EBITDA

3.79

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$64.70

現在株価

$46.40

安全マージン

+28.3%

適正価値レンジ

$45.79 - $83.61

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$60.08
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
利益倍率(P/E):$91.42
グレアムの成長公式:$56.38
収益力価値(EPV):$39.88
正当化されたP/B:$112.48
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$46.02
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$32.50
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (10B / 9H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+14.43%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

7.72

ROE

13.8%

P/B レシオ

1.69

P/FCF

11.56

粗利益率

38.6%

ROIC

6.8%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

6.8%

WACC

6.7%

ROIC − WACC

+0.1 pp

ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 6.8%
  • Gross Margin 38.6%
  • P/FCF 11.56
  • P/B Ratio 1.69
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 14.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 25.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.76
  • Share Dilution -0.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 21.9% vs 11.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(6)

  • EPS CAGR 2.46%
  • Price CAGR 0.96%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.1%
  • PEG Ratio 7.34

データなし(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

0.76

中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある

株式希薄化

-0.2%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Brendan M. FoleyPresident, CEO & Chairman59
Mr. Marcos Mendes GabrielExecutive VP & CFO53
Mr. Jeffery D. SchwartzVP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary55
Ms. Sarah J. PiperChief Human Relations Officer48
Mr. Andrew FoustChief Integration Officer44
Ms. Anju RaoChief Science Officer-
Mr. Guy PeriChief Information & Digital Officer-
Ms. Faten FreihaVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Tabata L. GomezChief Growth & Marketing Officer44
Ms. Ana SanchezPresident of Europe & Middle East and Africa (EMEA)49

監査リスク

4

取締役会リスク

10

報酬リスク

4

株主権利リスク

10

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-01-22

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-06-25

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-28

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MKC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/23/2026POSITIVE
    McCormick Plans to Add a London Listing After Unilever Food Deal

    McCormick & Company, a global leader in flavor, has announced plans for a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange. This strategic move follows the company's significant acquisition of Unilever Plc's foods business earlier this year. The dual listing is expected to enhance McCormick's visibility and accessibility for European investors, potentially broadening its investor base and improving liquidity. For shareholders, this development signals a commitment to international growth and may unlock new avenues for capital appreciation as the company integrates its new assets and expands its global footprint.

  • 7/23/2026POSITIVE
    McCormick Will Add London Listing After Unilever Food Deal

    McCormick & Co. has announced its intention to pursue a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange, a move that follows its significant deal to combine with Unilever Plc's food business. This strategic decision aims to enhance its global visibility and access to European capital markets. The company's stock (MKC) has shown resilience, with analysts noting that such dual listings can often unlock shareholder value by broadening investor appeal and potentially reducing the cost of capital. The integration with Unilever's food assets is expected to create a larger, more diversified entity, and the London listing is seen as a positive step in that integration process.

  • 7/17/2026NEUTRAL
    U.S. companies have finally gotten $71 billion in tariff refunds, but they’re using it to offset inflation caused by the Iran war

    McCormick & Company, a leading spice and seasoning producer, is utilizing a significant portion of its $71 billion in tariff refunds to counteract rising inflation, primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict. The company's CFO stated that these refunds are essential for offsetting increased operational costs. While the tariff refunds provide a financial cushion, the inflationary pressures stemming from geopolitical instability present a mixed outlook for the company's profitability and investor returns in the near term.

  • 4/9/2026POSITIVE
    McCormick CEO Explains Unilever Deal

    McCormick CEO Brendan Foley detailed the strategic rationale behind the company's acquisition of Unilever's food business in a Bloomberg interview. The move is designed to create a global flavor powerhouse by enhancing scale, driving flavor innovation, and consolidating supply chain control. Foley articulated a strategy to challenge private label competitors, capitalize on wellness trends, and foster growth through both acquisitions and internal R&D. This acquisition is poised to significantly expand McCormick's market presence and product portfolio, positioning it for sustained growth in the global food industry.

  • 4/3/2026NEUTRAL
    Deal Dispatch: McCormick, Unilever Merge, Sysco Acquires Jetro Restaurant Depot For $29 Billion, QVC Considers Bankruptcy

    The M&A landscape is active with several significant transactions. McCormick and Unilever are reportedly in merger discussions, a move that could reshape the consumer staples sector. In a separate development, Sysco is set to acquire Jetro Restaurant Depot for $29 billion, a substantial deal aimed at expanding its foodservice distribution network. Meanwhile, QVC is reportedly considering bankruptcy, signaling potential distress in the retail sector. Eli Lilly has agreed to acquire Centessa Pharmaceuticals for $7.8 billion, bolstering its drug pipeline. Conversely, IO Biotech has filed for bankruptcy, highlighting challenges in the biotech industry.

  • 4/1/2026POSITIVE
    McCormick Acquires Unilever Food Arm in $44.8B Merger

    McCormick & Company is set to acquire Unilever's global food business in a landmark $44.8 billion transaction. This strategic merger will consolidate McCormick's position as a dominant force in the global seasonings, sauces, and condiments market. The deal is expected to unlock significant synergies and expand McCormick's product portfolio and geographic reach. Investors will be watching for integration progress and the realization of projected cost savings and revenue growth opportunities, which could lead to enhanced shareholder value.

  • 3/31/2026NEGATIVE
    McCormick’s stock having worst month in 46 years, as investors frown on Unilever Foods deal

    McCormick & Company's stock is experiencing its worst monthly performance in 46 years, following the announcement of its $44.8 billion deal to merge with Unilever's food division. This significant market reaction suggests investor apprehension regarding the terms or strategic implications of the acquisition. The substantial decline in share price indicates a lack of confidence in the deal's value creation potential, potentially due to concerns over valuation, integration challenges, or the long-term outlook for the combined entity. Investors are closely watching for further developments and reassurances from management.

  • 3/31/2026POSITIVE
    McCormick investors like the $44.8 billion Unilever Foods deal, even though there’s a catch

    McCormick & Company's stock experienced a significant upward trend in pre-market trading following reports of a potential $44.8 billion deal to merge with Unilever's foods division. While the specific deal was not detailed in McCormick's latest earnings report, the market's reaction suggests strong investor enthusiasm for the strategic combination. This potential merger could reshape the consumer staples landscape, offering McCormick enhanced scale and market reach. Investors are closely watching for further details and official confirmations, as the proposed transaction signals substantial strategic ambition and potential value creation.

via Markets Gazette