Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)
割安ファンダメンタル
29
株価
$191.65
時価総額
$76.88B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; immatics N.V.; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Pfizer sells the main rival mRNA COVID-19 vaccine (Comirnaty) and the Abrysvo RSV vaccine, so it bids for the same government, pharmacy and payer contracts Moderna depends on.
BioNTech co-developed and shares the revenue of the Comirnaty mRNA COVID-19 vaccine and is advancing its own mRNA cancer immunotherapies, the two arenas where Moderna's technology competes head-on.
GSK's Arexvy leads the adult RSV vaccine market that Moderna's mResvia is trying to enter, and both compete for the same older-adult respiratory vaccination visits.
Sanofi is the largest seller of seasonal influenza vaccines and is building combination respiratory shots, competing directly with Moderna's flu and flu/COVID combination programmes.
Novavax offers the protein-based alternative to Moderna's COVID-19 shot in the United States and Europe, targeting the same seasonal vaccination demand with a non-mRNA option.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$2.23B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$-3.15B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$-2.06B
自己資本合計
$8.65B
負債合計
$3.69B
流動比率
2.29
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
-
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$301.75
現在株価
$191.65
安全マージン
+36.5%
適正価値レンジ
$196.14 - $407.37
使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
-
ROE
-32.6%
P/B レシオ
11.37
P/FCF
-
粗利益率
23.4%
ROIC
-31.1%
収益性レーダー
価値創造(経済的モート)
ROIC
-31.1%
WACC
10.8%
ROIC − WACC
-41.9 pp
ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(7)
- Price CAGR 36.32%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Revenue Growth 5Y 19.3%
- Earnings Surprise avg 30.3%
- Share Dilution 1.3%
不合格(12)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC -31.1%
- Gross Margin 23.4%
- P/B Ratio 11.37
- Operating Margin -149.0%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Return on Tangible Assets
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- ROE -39.2%
- Analyst Consensus 37% Buy
- Net Margin Trend -141.4% vs -94.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 3/9
データなし(8)
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
Piotroski F-スコア
重大な財務上の懸念
利益の質
低品質:会計処理を調査してください
株式希薄化
株式数は安定している
機関投資家の保有
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Stéphane Bancel M.B.A. | CEO & Director | 52 |
| Dr. Stephen Hoge M.D. | President | 49 |
| Mr. James M. Mock | Chief Financial Officer | 48 |
| Ms. Shannon Thyme Klinger J.D. | Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 54 |
| Dr. Jerh Collins Ph.D. | Chief Technical Operations & Quality Officer | 59 |
| Ms. Lavina Talukdar CFA | Senior VP & Head of Investor Relations | 51 |
| Chris Ridley | VP & Global Head of Communications | - |
| Ms. Tracey Franklin | Chief People & Digital Technology Officer | 45 |
| Dr. Charbel Haber M.P.H., Ph.D. | Senior VP & Head of Global Regulatory Science | - |
| Mr. Patrick Norman Bergstedt | Senior Vice President of Commercial Vaccines | 63 |
監査リスク
7
取締役会リスク
7
報酬リスク
10
株主権利リスク
9
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
業績推移
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for MRNA, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 1d agoNEGATIVEAzioni Moderna -6% nel premarket: ecco perché
Moderna shares tumbled nearly 6% in pre-market trading following a downgrade from Citi, which moved the biotech firm from 'Hold' to 'Sell'. Citi cited concerns that the recent valuation is difficult to justify, despite raising its price target to $80 from $60. The new target remains significantly below Tuesday's closing price of $203.46. This downgrade follows a near seven-fold increase in Moderna's stock this year, partly fueled by positive late-stage trial results for its personalized cancer vaccine candidate, intismeran autogene. Citi's revised assumptions on sales and operating expenses underpin the downgrade.
- 10d agoPOSITIVEModerna will reveal the data for its mRNA cancer vaccine next month. Here’s why it matters.
Moderna is set to unveil data for its mRNA cancer vaccine next month, a development keenly awaited by analysts and medical professionals. The key focus will be on the efficacy of the personalized treatment, which aims to tailor vaccines to individual tumor mutations. Positive results could validate Moderna's platform beyond infectious diseases and open a significant new revenue stream. Investors will be scrutinizing the data for robust clinical outcomes and potential market penetration, which could significantly impact the company's valuation and future growth prospects in the oncology space.
- 14d agoPOSITIVEModerna +8%: il rally del vaccino anti-cancro può proseguire?
Moderna Inc. shares surged 8% as investors reacted to positive Phase 3 trial results for its personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, intisemran autogene, developed with Merck. The treatment demonstrated a significant reduction in the risk of melanoma recurrence or death when combined with Merck's Keytruda, compared to Keytruda alone. This success has led to a strong reassessment of Moderna's future prospects, as the company aims to diversify beyond its COVID-19 vaccine business. The positive trial outcome and subsequent analyst upgrades are fueling investor optimism.
- 8/31/2026POSITIVE23 best-performing stocks of August, as the software industry continues its recovery
Moderna Inc. emerged as the top-performing stock in August, significantly outperforming other companies within the energy and technology sectors. This exceptional performance highlights a strong recovery trend within the software industry, with Moderna leading the charge. Investors are likely to view this as a positive indicator of the company's resilience and growth potential, potentially attracting further investment and driving up its market valuation. The broader tech sector's recovery also bodes well for related companies.
- 8/27/2026NEUTRALModerna Taps Stock Surge With $2 Billion Note Offering
Moderna Inc. is launching a $2 billion offering of convertible senior notes. These notes will be exchangeable into Moderna's common stock, providing a mechanism for future equity dilution. The company intends to use the proceeds to fuel its promising cancer vaccine pipeline and to manage existing debt obligations. While the investment in cancer vaccines signals a strategic focus on future growth, the issuance of debt convertible into equity introduces potential dilution for existing shareholders. Investors will monitor the success of the cancer vaccine development and the conversion rate of the notes.
- 8/27/2026NEGATIVEModerna Capitalizes on Stock Jump With $2 Billion Offering
Moderna Inc. announced plans to raise $2 billion through a convertible note offering. The company intends to use the proceeds for strategic investments in its cancer vaccine pipeline and to manage existing debt obligations. While the capital infusion could support future growth initiatives, the offering of notes convertible into shares dilutes existing shareholders' equity. This move, often seen as a sign of needing capital or a belief that the stock price is high enough to justify conversion, typically puts downward pressure on the stock price in the short term.
via Markets Gazette