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Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL)

割高
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

64

株価

$266.94

時価総額

$232.72B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Marvell designs semiconductors and licenses them out for manufacturing rather than running its own factories. Its chips move and process data inside data centres — custom silicon built for specific cloud customers' AI systems, plus networking, storage and optical components — alongside older product lines sold into telecom carrier equipment, enterprise networking gear, cars and consumer electronics.

収益の仕組み

Marvell earns money by selling chips, either as standard catalogue parts or as custom silicon designed for one customer under a multi-year program. Because it owns no fabs, its main costs are design engineering and the manufacturing capacity it buys from outside foundries; a chip win with a hyperscale cloud customer can take years to secure but then delivers volume for the life of that server generation.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

Once a custom chip is designed into a customer's server platform, both sides are locked in for that generation: redesigning around a different supplier mid-cycle is slow and expensive. But every new server generation reopens the competition, and the same large customers funding this growth are also building some of their own chips in-house, which caps how durable the advantage really is.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Data-centre demand tied to AI investment now dominates results and grew sharply in fiscal 2025 — reaching about 75% of quarterly revenue by year end, up from roughly half at the start of the year — while enterprise networking, carrier and consumer end markets all shrank double digits during an inventory correction. The business has effectively become a bet on a handful of hyperscalers' AI capital spending.

主なリスク

  • Concentration in AI data-centre customers — Growth is increasingly dependent on custom-silicon programs for a small number of very large cloud customers; a change in any one program's timeline or scope would have an outsized effect on results.
  • Sharp swings in legacy end markets — Enterprise networking, carrier infrastructure, consumer and automotive/industrial revenue all fell sharply in fiscal 2025 during an inventory correction, showing how quickly demand outside data centres can swing.
  • Dependence on external foundries — As a fabless designer, Marvell relies on third-party foundries for leading-edge manufacturing capacity; a shortage or disruption at a key supplier translates directly into missed shipments.
  • Long, winner-take-most design cycles — Custom chip programs are won years before revenue appears, and each new server generation is fully re-contested; losing a design cycle to a rival or an in-house alternative removes future revenue with little immediate warning.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Marvell has secured itself a durable seat at the table of custom AI silicon for the largest cloud providers, and that this data-centre business can keep growing fast enough to make the shrinking legacy segments increasingly irrelevant to the overall result.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that a business now overwhelmingly dependent on a handful of hyperscale customers' AI budgets is exposed to a sudden pause in that spending, and that those same customers building chips in-house could turn today's design wins into tomorrow's lost accounts.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 44.8Score: 75Market cap: $1.67T

Broadcom is Marvell's closest rival on both of its main data center businesses, bidding for the same hyperscaler custom AI accelerator (ASIC) programs and selling competing PAM4 optical DSPs and Ethernet switching silicon.

P/E: 68.6Score: 72Market cap: $36.83B

Credo sells low-power PAM4 DSPs, retimers and active electrical cables to the same hyperscale data center customers that buy Marvell's interconnect products.

P/E: 176.2Score: 70Market cap: $62.54B

Astera Labs supplies PCIe, CXL and Ethernet connectivity silicon for AI server racks, competing with Marvell's interconnect portfolio inside the same hyperscaler platforms.

P/E: 114.4Score: 55Market cap: $40.56B

Microchip competes with Marvell in storage controllers, data center infrastructure chips and automotive Ethernet, selling to the same OEM and carrier customers.

Alchip Technologies, Limited (世芯電子)Not tracked

Alchip is a Taiwanese custom-ASIC design house that competes for the same hyperscaler AI chip programs Marvell targets, and is named as a competitor in Marvell's latest annual report.

MediaTek Inc. (聯發科技)Not tracked

MediaTek runs a custom-silicon business that bids against Marvell for hyperscaler AI accelerator designs and also competes in networking and connectivity chips.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$9.45B

直近12か月(2026/8/1まで)

純利益

$2.64B

直近12か月(2026/8/1まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.40B

自己資本合計

$14.31B

負債合計

$7.98B

流動比率

3.17

利払い倍率

7.21

負債/EBITDA

1.85

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割高

適正価値

$152.11

現在株価

$266.94

安全マージン

-75.5%

適正価値レンジ

$98.87 - $205.35

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$289.11
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$14.46
利益倍率(P/E):$136.32
グレアムの成長公式:$49.33
収益力価値(EPV):$16.84
正当化されたP/B:$15.73
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$1.90
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$52.36
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (43B / 7H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-0.30%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

87.49

ROE

18.7%

P/B レシオ

12.50

P/FCF

133.91

粗利益率

52.2%

ROIC

4.9%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

4.9%

WACC

16.8%

ROIC − WACC

-11.9 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 34.11%
  • Gross Margin 52.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 16.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 16.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.83
  • Share Dilution 0.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 27.9% vs -1.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

不合格(9)

  • EPS CAGR 4.63%
  • ROIC 4.9%
  • P/FCF 133.91
  • P/B Ratio 12.50
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.1%

データなし(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

7/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

0.83

中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある

株式希薄化

0.2%

株式数は安定している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Matthew J. MurphyCEO & Chairman52
Mr. Christopher R. KoopmansPresident & COO48
Mr. Daniel J. DurnCFO, Executive VP & Principal Financial Officer59
Mr. Mark J. Casper Esq.Executive VP, Secretary & Chief Legal Officer57
Mr. Willem A. MeintjesAdvisor44
Mr. Sandeep BharathiPresident of Data Center Group54
Mr. Justin ScarpullaSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer52
Mr. Ross Clark SeymoreSenior Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Gary IgnatinExecutive Vice President of Corporate Development-
Mr. Dean E. Jarnac Jr.Executive VP & Chief Sales Officer52

監査リスク

7

取締役会リスク

8

報酬リスク

10

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-03-11

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-28

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-25

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MRVL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 10d agoPOSITIVE
    Le azioni Marvell salgono mentre la società presenta tecnologie ottiche a 2nm

    Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) shares climbed 2% on Monday following the unveiling of its next-generation 2-nanometer optical connectivity technologies at the European Conference on Optical Communication (ECOC) 2026 in Málaga, Spain. This innovation addresses the escalating demand from AI data centers for faster, more energy-efficient interconnections between accelerators, processors, and memory. Marvell's demonstrations highlight advancements in boosting bandwidth density and reducing power consumption per bit, crucial for expanding AI infrastructure. The company's focus on these cutting-edge optical solutions positions it favorably to capitalize on the significant growth in AI-driven data traffic and computing power.

  • 20d agoPOSITIVE
    Marvell is sitting on an incredibly ‘sticky’ business that could help it unlock a $30 billion opportunity

    Marvell Technology is poised to capitalize on a significant $30 billion opportunity, according to analyst insights highlighting the untapped potential in its supporting components and optical networking segments. While Marvell is recognized for its custom chip manufacturing, the company's less prominent business lines are now seen as key growth drivers. This strategic focus shift could unlock substantial value, suggesting a robust future revenue stream beyond its traditional custom silicon market. Investors should monitor Marvell's progress in expanding its market share in these high-growth areas, which promise to enhance overall profitability and shareholder returns.

  • 23d agoNEGATIVE
    Marvell Technology: altre perdite in arrivo nonostante ricavi solidi

    Marvell Technology (MRVL) has seen its stock price decline by over 31% from its year-to-date high, mirroring a broader trend in the semiconductor industry. The stock was trading around $223, down 32% from its peak. This downturn affects semiconductor-focused ETFs like the Schwab Semiconductor Index Fund (SOXX) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), which have fallen over 19% and 15% respectively from their annual highs. Despite Marvell's operational strength and key clients such as Google and Amazon, its recent guidance was weaker than anticipated, suggesting potential headwinds for future revenue despite solid current operations.

  • 8/28/2026NEGATIVE
    Marvell Technology scivola nel pre-market in scia a previsioni deludenti e nonostante conti oltre le attese

    Marvell Technology shares plunged approximately 7% in pre-market trading following the release of its latest financial report. While the company's earnings surpassed analyst expectations, its forward-looking guidance failed to meet market consensus. This discrepancy between current performance and future outlook has led to a significant sell-off, indicating investor concern over the company's growth trajectory and potential headwinds. The market's reaction highlights a strong emphasis on future projections over past results for Marvell Technology.

  • 8/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Marvell boosts its forecasts, but the stock slides as Wall Street wonders if there’s more to the story

    Marvell Technology Inc. has raised its financial forecasts, signaling a positive outlook for the company. However, the stock experienced a decline as Wall Street analysts scrutinize a recently announced deal with Google. Investors and analysts are seeking clarity on the long-term implications and the true extent of the upside potential from this partnership. The market's reaction suggests a wait-and-see approach, with a focus on whether the deal's benefits will outweigh any perceived risks or uncertainties.

  • 8/27/2026POSITIVE
    Cosa aspettarsi dai risultati di Marvell dopo il trimestre stellare di Nvidia

    Marvell Technology (MRVL) is under scrutiny as it prepares to report its fiscal Q2 2027 results. Following Nvidia's stellar performance and a strong outlook, investor focus is on Marvell's ability to capture AI infrastructure spending, particularly in networking, optical, and custom chips. The stock has surged over 150% since early 2026, reflecting high expectations. Analysts will be looking for Marvell's revenue and earnings figures to confirm its growth trajectory within the booming AI market, potentially signaling continued upside for the semiconductor sector.

via Markets Gazette