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PTC Inc. (PTC)

割安
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

ファンダメンタル

80

株価

$146.49

時価総額

$14.91B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

PTC sells software that engineers use to design products and manage everything about them over their lifetime: CAD tools such as Creo and Onshape for drawing parts, Windchill for tracking product data through design and manufacturing, and add-on tools for managing software content and service operations in complex machines. Customers are mostly industrial manufacturers — makers of vehicles, machinery and electronics — who build the software into how their engineering teams work every day.

収益の仕組み

About 95% of PTC's revenue is recurring, coming from subscription fees for its cloud products and annual support and maintenance fees on software still licensed on-premise. Because engineering teams design around a specific CAD or product-data system for years, contracts tend to renew and grow in value as customers add more users or modules rather than switch providers.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

Years of product designs, engineering workflows and integrations with manufacturing systems accumulate inside PTC's software, so replacing it would mean re-doing that work and retraining engineers, which discourages switching. The advantage is narrow because Siemens, Dassault Systèmes and Autodesk are larger, better-capitalized rivals fighting for the same enterprise contracts.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

New licenses and expansion of existing contracts follow manufacturers' engineering and IT budgets, which contract when industrial production slows. The large recurring subscription and maintenance base cushions the effect, since existing customers keep paying even as new spending is deferred.

主なリスク

  • Larger, better-capitalized competitors — Siemens and Dassault Systèmes are significantly larger and can outspend PTC on cloud infrastructure and product development, while Microsoft and SAP are expanding into adjacent industrial software.
  • Cybersecurity exposure — PTC's software holds customers' proprietary product designs; a successful cyberattack could compromise that data, damage its reputation and trigger significant remediation costs.
  • Reliance on partners and cloud providers — PTC depends on a network of resellers and third-party cloud infrastructure to deliver and support its products; disruption at those partners can affect service and sales.
  • Sensitivity to manufacturing capital spending — New software sales and contract expansions depend on industrial customers' willingness to invest in engineering tools, which they cut back first when production slows.

強気材料

Buyers argue that a 95%-recurring revenue base, growing annual recurring revenue and deep entrenchment inside customers' engineering workflows give PTC a durable, high-margin business even in a market with larger rivals.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that Siemens and Dassault Systèmes can invest far more in cloud infrastructure and next-generation features, and that a slowdown in industrial capital spending would still weigh on new sales even with a large recurring base.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 27.1Score: 69Market cap: $44.17B

Listed by PTC among its CAD and PLM competitors: Inventor, Fusion and Autodesk's cloud product-data tools target the same design engineers, with particular overlap in small and mid-sized manufacturers.

SAP SESAPGF
P/E: 27.6Score: 64Market cap: $212.58B

PTC names SAP as a competitor in service lifecycle management, and SAP's PLM and asset/service modules are sold to the same industrial customers as an extension of the ERP they already run.

Dassault Systèmes SEDSY

Named by PTC in its 10-K as a CAD and PLM rival: its CATIA and SOLIDWORKS design tools and its 3DEXPERIENCE/ENOVIA platform chase the same manufacturing engineering departments that buy Creo and Windchill.

Siemens AGSIE

Its Digital Industries Software arm sells NX and Teamcenter, the head-to-head alternatives to Creo and Windchill in automotive, aerospace and industrial machinery accounts, and PTC also names it as an ALM competitor.

Aras CorporationNot tracked

A privately held PLM vendor whose Aras Innovator platform is pitched directly against Windchill as a more openly customizable system for managing product data across a manufacturer's lifecycle.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.95B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$1.22B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$857M

自己資本合計

$3.83B

負債合計

$2.79B

流動比率

1.03

利払い倍率

17.10

負債/EBITDA

1.48

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$238.33

現在株価

$146.49

安全マージン

+38.5%

適正価値レンジ

$154.92 - $321.75

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$173.35
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$357.61
利益倍率(P/E):$162.19
グレアムの成長公式:$530.76
収益力価値(EPV):$76.42
正当化されたP/B:$127.91
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$123.35
中間サイクル利益:$67.43
売上高倍率:$131.14
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (17B / 8H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-0.16%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

13.65

ROE

19.2%

P/B レシオ

4.39

P/FCF

16.27

粗利益率

84.5%

ROIC

17.1%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

17.1%

WACC

9.4%

ROIC − WACC

+7.6 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(23)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 13.75%
  • Price CAGR 11.74%
  • ROIC 17.1%
  • Gross Margin 84.5%
  • P/FCF 16.27
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 37.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 32.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 65% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 24.8%
  • PEG Ratio 0.30
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.78
  • Share Dilution 0.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 41.4% vs 20.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

不合格(4)

  • P/B Ratio 4.39
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

データなし(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

9/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

0.78

中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある

株式希薄化

0.1%

株式数は安定している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Neil BaruaPresident, CEO & Director47
Mr. Aaron C. Von Staats Esq.Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary59
Ms. Catherine A. KnikerEVP, Chief Marketing & Sustainability Officer59
Mr. Robert DahdahExecutive VP & Chief Revenue Officer57
Ms. Jennifer DiRicoExecutive VP & CFO40
Ms. Alice ChristensonChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Michael Donald MaguireHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Beth ConwayExecutive VP & Chief People Officer-
Catherine GoreckiSenior VP of Corporate & Securities Counsel and Assistant Secretary-
Mr. Amit JainChief Strategy Officer-

監査リスク

8

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

3

株主権利リスク

9

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2025-11-21

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-31

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-07-29

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PTC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/7/2026POSITIVE
    PTC Stock Surges Over 7% Overnight: Why Is It Moving?

    PTC Inc. shares experienced a significant surge of 7.53% in after-hours trading following its Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings report. The company surpassed revenue estimates by 8.63% and earnings per share (EPS) expectations by a substantial 33.83%. This strong performance indicates robust operational execution and better-than-anticipated market reception for its products or services. For investors, these results suggest a positive trajectory and potential for continued growth, likely leading to upward price target adjustments from analysts.

via Markets Gazette