Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON)
適正価値ファンダメンタル
61
株価
$4.99
時価総額
$2.19B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Peloton Interactive, Inc. provides fitness and wellness products and services in North America and internationally. It offers connected fitness products, such as the Original Bike and Original Bike+; Cross Training Bike, Bike+, Tread, Tread+, and Row+; Peloton Bike+ Pro, Tread+ Pro, and Row+ Pro; and Precor Cardio, Precor Strength, Connected Fitness Solutions, and Wellness Solutions. The company also provides all-access, rental, and Peloton App memberships. In addition, the company leases Peloton Bike products. The company sells its products through e-commerce, third-party retail partners, owned micro-store showrooms, and its commercial business unit. Peloton Interactive, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$2.45B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$63M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$378M
自己資本合計
$-140M
負債合計
$2.20B
流動比率
2.84
利払い倍率
1.30
負債/EBITDA
8.03
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$4.65
現在株価
$4.99
安全マージン
-7.3%
適正価値レンジ
$3.02 - $6.28
使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
35.64
ROE
-45.2%
P/B レシオ
-
P/FCF
-
粗利益率
52.6%
ROIC
8.3%
収益性レーダー
価値創造(経済的モート)
ROIC
8.3%
WACC
12.5%
ROIC − WACC
-4.2 pp
ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(14)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC 8.3%
- Gross Margin 52.6%
- Operating Margin 6.6%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Analyst Consensus 52% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 111.7%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.13
- Net Margin Trend 2.6% vs -4.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
不合格(7)
- Price CAGR -22.43%
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE -418.4%
- Revenue Growth 5Y -9.5%
- Share Dilution 13.9%
データなし(6)
- P/FCF NaN
- P/B Ratio NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-スコア
財務健全性が高い
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している
機関投資家の保有
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Peter C. Stern | CEO, President & Director | 53 |
| Mr. Dion Camp Sanders | Chief Commercial Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Nick V. Caldwell | Chief Product Officer | 43 |
| Mr. Siddharth B. Thacker | Chief Financial Officer | 48 |
| Mr. Charles Kirol | Chief Operating Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Saqib Baig | Chief Accounting Officer | 47 |
| Mr. Francis Shanahan | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. James Milton Marsh Jr., CFA, CPA | Senior VP & Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Tammy Albarran J.D. | Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | - |
| Ms. Dianna Kraus | Chief Communications Officer | - |
監査リスク
5
取締役会リスク
5
報酬リスク
8
株主権利リスク
10
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
業績推移
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for PTON, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 8d agoNEUTRALPeloton Holds Talks for Potential $800 Million Debut Bond Deal
Peloton Interactive Inc. is reportedly exploring its first-ever corporate bond issuance, aiming to raise approximately $800 million. This move signals a potential shift in the company's financing strategy, moving towards debt markets to fund operations or strategic initiatives. While the specifics of the bond's terms and use of proceeds are not yet public, such a deal could provide Peloton with significant capital. Investors will be watching closely for details on the bond's yield and maturity, which will indicate the market's perception of Peloton's creditworthiness and future prospects.
- 8/6/2026NEGATIVEPeloton Slides on Subscription Lag; Six Flags Falls on Revenue Miss | Stock Movers
Peloton Interactive, Inc. experienced a significant decline as its fourth-quarter report revealed an accelerated rate of subscription cancellations, commonly referred to as 'churn.' Furthermore, the exercise equipment manufacturer issued revenue guidance for the upcoming first quarter and the entirety of fiscal year 2027 that fell short of Wall Street's projections. This dual disappointment in subscriber retention and future revenue outlook signals considerable headwinds for the company, likely impacting investor sentiment and future stock performance.
- 5/7/2026POSITIVEPeloton Stock Rallies After Better-Than-Expected Q3 Revenue Results
Peloton Interactive Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) experienced a significant stock rally following the release of its Q3 financial results, which surpassed revenue expectations. While specific figures were not detailed in the initial report, the positive market reaction suggests investors are encouraged by the company's performance in a competitive fitness technology market. This uptick in share price may indicate a renewed confidence in Peloton's business strategy and its ability to navigate current economic conditions, potentially signaling a turning point for the company.
- 3/17/2026POSITIVEWhy Peloton Stock Skyrocketed Tuesday Morning
Peloton Interactive Inc. saw its stock surge Tuesday morning following a dual announcement that is likely to be viewed favorably by investors. While specific details of the "double dose of good news" are not provided in the summary, such positive catalysts typically involve significant operational improvements, strategic partnerships, or favorable financial updates. Investors will be closely watching for further disclosures to understand the long-term implications of these developments on Peloton's market position and profitability.
- 3/14/2026NEUTRALIs the Sell-Off in Peloton Overblown?
Peloton's stock has experienced a dramatic decline, trading 98% below its all-time highs. This significant depreciation reflects extreme investor pessimism surrounding the connected fitness company. While the article questions if the sell-off is overblown, it does not provide new financial data or forward-looking statements to suggest an immediate reversal. The current sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, but the question posed implies potential for a turnaround, leaving the immediate outlook uncertain without further catalysts.
- 3/5/2026NEGATIVE1 Reason I Haven't Bought Peloton -- and Probably Never Will
Peloton Interactive's shares have plummeted 98% from their all-time highs, reflecting deep market skepticism about its recovery prospects and long-term viability. This collapse highlights structural issues within its business model, potentially stemming from increasing competition, high operating costs, or an ineffective market strategy. For investors, this figure serves as a strong warning sign, suggesting avoidance of the stock as a significant recovery appears unlikely given the accumulated losses and negative market perception.
- 3/3/2026NEGATIVEWhy Peloton Stock Plummeted by Over 28% Last Month
Peloton Interactive experienced a significantly disappointing fiscal second quarter, with its stock plummeting over 28% last month. The company missed consensus analyst estimates for both revenue and earnings, a "double miss" that severely impacted investor confidence. This negative performance raises questions about Peloton's ability to navigate a post-pandemic market and retain its user base. Investors should closely monitor the company's upcoming strategic moves to assess potential recovery or further pressure on the stock.
- 3/2/2026NEUTRALBetter Stock to Buy Right Now: Peloton vs. Uber
Markets Gazette delves into a comparison between two digital era giants: Peloton Interactive and Uber Technologies. Both companies, born and grown in the internet age, represent innovative and technology-driven business models. This type of comparative analysis is crucial for investors seeking to identify growth opportunities within the tech sector, evaluating factors such as scalability, market penetration, and business model sustainability. While the article does not provide a direct recommendation, it lays the groundwork for an in-depth assessment of these two companies' future prospects, highlighting their nature as forward-thinking enterprises.
- 2/25/2026NEGATIVEWhat to Know Before Buying Peloton Stock in 2026
Peloton Interactive's management team has issued a significant warning to investors, projecting another decline in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This direct statement from leadership suggests persistent weakness in demand or an ongoing struggle to reverse current negative trends. For those considering an investment in Peloton stock, this forecast presents a considerable hurdle, indicating that the path to profitability and sustainable growth may be longer and more challenging than anticipated. Investors should carefully weigh the implications of these projections on future earnings and the stock's valuation, as a revenue decline often translates into downward pressure on share prices.
via Markets Gazette