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J M Smucker Co (SJM)

適正価値
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

57

株価

$115.46

時価総額

$12.89B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. The company operates through five segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, Sweet Baked Snacks, and Away From Home. It offers coffee, sweet baked goods, pet snacks, frozen handheld products, peanut butter, cat and dog food, fruit and specialty spreads, cookies, frozen sandwiches and snacks, hot beverages, portion control products, toppings and syrups, baking mixes and ingredients, and flour. The company provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin', Jif, Smucker's, Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Canine Carry Outs, Hostess, and 1850 brand names. It sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers, club stores, discount and dollar stores, online retailers, pet specialty stores, distributors, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, supermarket chains, national mass retailers, convenience stores, vending channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$9.16B

直近12か月(2026/7/31まで)

純利益

$230M

直近12か月(2026/7/31まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.16B

自己資本合計

$5.54B

負債合計

$10.68B

流動比率

0.87

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

3.07

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$138.07

現在株価

$115.46

安全マージン

+16.4%

適正価値レンジ

$89.75 - $186.40

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$142.13
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$301.93
利益倍率(P/E):$23.81
グレアムの成長公式:$34.84
収益力価値(EPV):$76.29
正当化されたP/B:$14.74
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$81.28
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:$202.82
売上高倍率:$101.57
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (14B / 8H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+7.21%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

55.57

ROE

-2.5%

P/B レシオ

2.21

P/FCF

8.00

粗利益率

38.7%

ROIC

4.7%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

5.2%

ROIC − WACC

-0.5 pp

ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(16)

  • Gross Margin 38.7%
  • P/FCF 8.00
  • P/B Ratio 2.21
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 9.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Analyst Consensus 64% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.4%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 8.32
  • Share Dilution 0.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.5% vs -16.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

不合格(8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR -0.55%
  • ROIC 4.7%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 4.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.5%

データなし(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

5/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

8.32

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

0.3%

株式数は安定している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Captain Mark T. SmuckerCEO, President & Chairman55
Mr. Tucker H. MarshallCFO and Executive VP of Frozen Handheld & Spreads and Sweet Baked Snacks48
Ms. Jill R. PenroseChief People & Administrative Officer and Chief of Staff52
Ms. Jeannette L. Knudsen J.D.Chief Legal & Governance Officer55
Mr. Robert D. FergusonChief Product Supply Officer and Executive VP of Coffee, Pet & Away from Home51
Mr. Douglas GuilhermeSenior Vice President of Operations and Supply Chain-
Mr. Bryan HutsonSenior Vice President of Information Services & Supply Chain-
Mr. Jeffrey Varcoe Ph.D.Senior Vice President of Science & Technical Excellence-
Crystal BeitingVice President of Investor Relations and FP&A-
Abbey LinvilleVice President of Corporate Communications-

監査リスク

7

取締役会リスク

4

報酬リスク

8

株主権利リスク

8

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-06-09

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-26

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-26

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for SJM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/26/2026POSITIVE
    JM Smucker Rises on Outlook; Intuit Down on Full-Year Forecast | Stock Movers

    JM Smucker (SJM) experienced a stock price increase following the company's decision to raise its full-year outlook for both sales and profit. This upward revision is primarily attributed to robust growth observed in its popular Uncrustables sandwiches and coffee product lines. The positive momentum suggests strong consumer demand and effective brand management, providing a favorable outlook for investors.

  • 6/11/2026NEGATIVE
    Stock Of The Day: Is This The Top For J. M. Smucker?

    J.M. Smucker shares are exhibiting overbought conditions and have reached a significant resistance level, according to technical analysis. These bearish technical indicators suggest a potential downturn in the stock's price. Investors should note that the current price action indicates that the stock may have reached a temporary peak, and a correction lower is possible in the near term. The confluence of overbought momentum and price resistance presents a cautionary signal for current holders and potential new buyers.

  • 6/9/2026POSITIVE
    Smucker Profit Tops Expectations, Buoyed by Coffee Prices

    JM Smucker Co. reported fourth-quarter profits exceeding Wall Street estimates, driven by strategic price increases for its coffee and jelly products. The packaged food company's ability to pass on costs to consumers underscores its pricing power and resilient demand. This performance suggests effective management in navigating inflationary pressures and maintaining profitability. For investors, the results indicate a company capable of delivering value even in a challenging economic environment, potentially signaling a positive outlook for future earnings and stock performance.

  • 6/9/2026POSITIVE
    Smucker Plans to Lower Coffee Prices Next Year as Costs Decline

    The J. M. Smucker Company has announced plans to reduce coffee prices in the upcoming year, a move driven by declining input costs. This strategic pricing adjustment is expected to benefit consumers and potentially boost sales volume for Smucker's coffee products. For investors, this signals effective cost management and a proactive approach to maintaining market competitiveness. The company's ability to pass on savings suggests a healthy margin structure and confidence in future demand, which could lead to increased market share and improved profitability in the coffee segment.

  • 6/8/2026POSITIVE
    How To Earn $500 A Month From JM Smucker Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

    The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) offers investors an attractive dividend yield of 4.25%, translating to $4.40 per share annually. This payout structure allows for a consistent monthly income stream, potentially generating $500 for investors who hold sufficient shares. As the company approaches its Q4 earnings report, this dividend yield provides a compelling reason for income-focused investors to consider SJM, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

  • 5/8/2026NEUTRAL
    Deal Dispatch: J.M. Smucker Considers Strategic Review, Meta Buys Assured Robot Intelligence, Buzzfeed On Brink Of Bankruptcy

    J.M. Smucker Company is reportedly considering a strategic review, a move that could signal potential divestitures or a sale of the company. This news comes amidst other significant M&A activities, including Meta's acquisition of Assured Robot Intelligence and Gamestop's proposal to acquire eBay. Buzzfeed is also reportedly on the brink of bankruptcy. The potential strategic review by Smucker introduces uncertainty for investors, as the outcome could lead to significant changes in the company's structure and future operations. Further details on the scope and intent of the review are awaited.

via Markets Gazette