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Teradata Corporation (TDC)

割安
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

ファンダメンタル

66

株価

$30.16

時価総額

$2.74B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Teradata sells software that large companies use to store, organize and analyze their data, plus the consulting work needed to set it up. It began as a maker of specialized database hardware and has been converting that installed base into a subscription business that runs on the cloud or on a customer's own servers. Customers are mostly large enterprises — banks, retailers, telecoms — with data volumes too big and complex for off-the-shelf tools.

収益の仕組み

The company is mid-transition from one-time hardware and perpetual license sales to recurring subscriptions billed monthly to multi-year, whether run in the cloud or on-premises. Recurring revenue reached 87% of the total in fiscal 2025, up from 84% a year earlier, so most revenue now renews automatically rather than being re-sold each cycle. Consulting services, billed for implementation and migration work, make up the rest alongside a shrinking sliver of upfront hardware and perpetual-license sales.

セグメント別売上高

Product Sales87.9%

Recurring subscription revenue from cloud and on-premises data platforms, plus the remaining perpetual software licenses and hardware sold upfront.

Consulting Services12.1%

Implementation, migration and advisory services billed to help customers set up and run the platform.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

Once a large enterprise has built years of reporting, pipelines and analytics on top of Teradata, ripping it out is a multi-year, high-risk project, which keeps existing customers paying subscriptions. The moat is narrower than it looks because cloud-native rivals now win most new workloads outright, so the switching cost protects the installed base rather than growing it.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Subscription revenue renews on multi-year terms, which smooths results compared to a pure license business, but new bookings depend on enterprise IT budgets that tighten in a downturn and on customers actually completing their migration to the cloud platform rather than delaying it.

主なリスク

  • Late and lagging cloud transition — Teradata entered the cloud data-platform market later than rivals such as Snowflake and Databricks, which have taken significant market share. Cloud net expansion has slowed year over year, evidence the transition has not fully offset the erosion of the legacy on-premises business.
  • Intense competition and pricing pressure — The company describes the data-platform market as intensely competitive, with rapid technology change and frequent price reductions from rivals, which can force Teradata to cut prices or lose deals to newer entrants.
  • Uncertain AI/ML regulatory environment — As Teradata adds AI and machine-learning capabilities to its platform, it is exposed to an emerging and evolving regulatory environment whose eventual impact on the business is, by its own account, difficult to predict.

強気材料

Buyers argue that recurring revenue at 87% of the total gives the business a stable, predictable base, that switching costs slow customer losses while the cloud transition catches up, and that AI-driven demand for enterprise data platforms gives Teradata a new growth vector on top of its installed base.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that cloud-native competitors have already captured the growth end of the market, that Teradata's own cloud expansion is slowing rather than accelerating, and that the shrinking legacy on-premises business will keep dragging on total revenue faster than subscriptions can replace it.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$1.69B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$458M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$286M

自己資本合計

$230M

負債合計

$1.55B

流動比率

0.91

利払い倍率

5.08

負債/EBITDA

0.34

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$63.47

現在株価

$30.16

安全マージン

+52.5%

適正価値レンジ

$41.26 - $85.69

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$33.50
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$129.51
利益倍率(P/E):$51.66
グレアムの成長公式:$61.36
収益力価値(EPV):$62.21
正当化されたP/B:$50.54
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$37.85
中間サイクル利益:$53.32
売上高倍率:$86.50
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (6B / 6H / 2S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+22.43%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

6.29

ROE

56.5%

P/B レシオ

4.69

P/FCF

3.78

粗利益率

60.8%

ROIC

12.3%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

12.3%

WACC

8.3%

ROIC − WACC

+4.1 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(18)

  • ROIC 12.3%
  • Gross Margin 60.8%
  • P/FCF 3.78
  • Operating Margin 7.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 114.6%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 25.8%
  • PEG Ratio 1.91
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.66
  • Share Dilution -2.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 27.1% vs 6.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

不合格(9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -0.17%
  • Price CAGR 0.73%
  • P/B Ratio 4.69
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -2.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 43% Buy

データなし(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

7/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

1.66

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-2.0%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Stephen McMillanPresident, CEO & Director54
Mr. John EdererChief Financial Officer55
Mr. Charles SmothermanSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Scot Frazier Rogers J.D.Chief Administrative Officer & Corporate Secretary58
Mr. Richard PetleyChief Revenue Officer58
Mr. Sumeet AroraChief Product Officer50
Mr. Michael D. HutchinsonChief Operating Officer59
Mr. Louis LandryChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Josh FecteauChief Data & AI Officer and Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Chad Michael BennettSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Development-

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

5

株主権利リスク

4

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-27

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-05

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-17

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

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