ランキングに戻る

Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)

適正価値
Consumer CyclicalResidential ConstructionUnited States

ファンダメンタル

80

株価

$136.07

時価総額

$12.58B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$10.97B

2025/10/31に終了した会計年度

純利益

$1.35B

2025/10/31に終了した会計年度

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.03B

自己資本合計

$8.27B

負債合計

$6.23B

流動比率

3.90

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.58

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

景気循環株適正価値

適正価値

$160.85

現在株価

$136.07

安全マージン

+15.4%

適正価値レンジ

$127.08 - $194.61

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$171.40
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):この種の企業には適用されません
利益倍率(P/E):$123.28
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$106.60
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):この種の企業には適用されません
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:$189.15
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (17B / 5H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+0.32%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

10.81

ROE

16.3%

P/B レシオ

1.46

P/FCF

11.39

粗利益率

25.1%

ROIC

-

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

-

WACC

10.8%

ROIC − WACC

-

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 15.85%
  • P/FCF 11.39
  • P/B Ratio 1.46
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 15.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 14.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 74% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.33
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.99
  • Share Dilution -4.6%

不合格(4)

  • Gross Margin 25.1%
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

データなし(5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-スコア

3/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

0.99

中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある

株式希薄化

-4.6%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Douglas C. Yearley Jr.Executive Chairman65
Mr. Martin P. Connor CPASenior Advisor61
Mr. Karl K. MistryCEO & Director44
Mr. Seth J. RingCOO & President44
Mr. Gregg L. ZieglerExecutive VP & CFO52
Ms. Erica J. MainardiSVP & Chief Accounting Officer43
Mr. John CritikosChief Information Officer & Senior VP-
Mr. Timothy J. Hoban J.D.Chief Compliance Officer, General Counsel & Senior VP-
Ms. Wendy L. MarlettExecutive VP & Chief Marketing Officer61
Ms. Kellie HallChief Human Resources Officer-

監査リスク

3

取締役会リスク

5

報酬リスク

3

株主権利リスク

2

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2025-12-19

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-28

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-18

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TOL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/12/2026POSITIVE
    Buy Toll, Sell Lennar as Rich Homebuyers Outpace First-Timers

    Toll Brothers Inc. is favored over Lennar Corp. by one Wall Street analyst, who suggests that a strong economy benefiting wealthy buyers makes high-end homebuilders a more attractive investment. This perspective implies that Toll Brothers, which caters to a more affluent demographic, is better positioned to capitalize on current economic conditions than entry-level focused builders like Lennar. Investors looking to gain exposure to the housing market may consider this divergence, with the analyst's view pointing towards potential outperformance for luxury segment developers.

  • 5/20/2026NEUTRAL
    Toll Brothers Q2 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript

    Toll Brothers Inc. released its Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript on May 20, 2026. The transcript provides a detailed account of the company's financial performance, strategic initiatives, and outlook for the upcoming quarters. Investors can analyze management's commentary on market conditions, housing demand, construction costs, and future guidance. While the transcript itself is informational, its value lies in the insights it offers for assessing the company's operational efficiency and potential for future profitability in the homebuilding sector.

  • 5/19/2026POSITIVE
    Toll Brothers Up As Luxury-Home Orders Hit Highest in Two Years

    Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) saw its shares climb in post-market trading following a strong second-quarter earnings report. The luxury homebuilder surpassed analyst profit expectations and consequently elevated its full-year financial outlook. This positive performance is underpinned by a significant increase in luxury-home orders, reaching the highest level in two years. Investors are likely encouraged by the company's robust demand in the high-end housing market and its improved forward-looking guidance, suggesting resilience and potential for continued growth.

  • 5/19/2026NEUTRAL
    Toll Brothers Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call

    Toll Brothers is set to report its Q2 earnings on May 19th, with analysts forecasting $2.58 earnings per share and $2.42 billion in revenue. The company's stock experienced a 4.4% decline on Monday, preceding the earnings announcement. Recent analyst ratings show mixed sentiment, with JP Morgan upgrading from Underweight to Neutral in March 2022 and B of A Securities moving from Underperform to Buy in February 2022, while Barclays maintained an Underweight rating. Investors will be closely watching the earnings report for guidance on future performance and the housing market outlook.

via Markets Gazette