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ServiceTitan, Inc. (TTAN)

適正価値
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

ファンダメンタル

54

株価

$66.55

時価総額

$5.79B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

ServiceTitan sells cloud software that runs the day-to-day operations of trades businesses — plumbing, HVAC, electrical, roofing and similar home and commercial service companies. A contractor uses it to schedule jobs, dispatch technicians, quote and invoice customers, track inventory and marketing, and take payments, replacing the mix of paper, spreadsheets and older point tools that most trades businesses used before. It does not perform any of the trade work itself.

収益の仕組み

Most revenue is subscription fees paid under annual or multi-year contracts, priced mainly per technician using the platform and recognized evenly over the contract term. A second, faster-growing stream is usage-based: fees earned when a contractor's customers pay through ServiceTitan's embedded payment processing and financing tools, which scale with the dollar volume flowing through the platform rather than with seat count. A small remainder is one-time professional-services revenue for onboarding new customers.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

Once a trades business runs scheduling, invoicing, customer history and payments through ServiceTitan, moving to a competitor means retraining technicians and re-entering years of job and customer data, which is costly and disruptive for a small operator. The moat is still narrow: the company remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, and rival vertical-software providers keep entering the same trades.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Much of the underlying demand for trades work — a broken furnace or a leaking pipe — is not discretionary, which cushions ServiceTitan's usage-based revenue somewhat. But contractor spending on new software seats, and the volume of jobs booked, still slows when construction and home-improvement activity cools, and industry-wide pressures like tariffs or labor shortages can weigh on the trades businesses ServiceTitan depends on.

主なリスク

  • History of losses — ServiceTitan has a history of net losses and states it may not achieve or sustain profitability in future periods, which leaves less room for error if growth slows.
  • Exposure to trades-industry headwinds — The company states that factors affecting the trades industry — consolidation, contractor marketplaces, supply-chain issues, tariffs on imported goods and labor shortages — could reduce demand for its platform, since its revenue rises and falls with its customers' activity.
  • Competition from established and new entrants — ServiceTitan competes with both established software vendors and new entrants targeting the trades, and some large customers have developed or could develop their own proprietary tools instead of paying for the platform.
  • Revenue concentrated in the United States — Substantially all revenue is generated in the United States, so the company has limited geographic diversification against a US-specific downturn in construction or home-services spending.

強気材料

Buyers argue that ServiceTitan is becoming the operating system of an industry that has been slow to digitize, that the shift toward usage-based payments revenue scales faster than seat-based subscriptions alone, and that deep switching costs will let the company raise prices and cross-sell new modules as it approaches profitability.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that a company still posting net losses is priced for flawless execution, that growing reliance on payment-processing revenue ties results more tightly to the health of small trades contractors, and that a slowdown in US construction or home-services activity would hit both new-seat sales and transaction volume at once.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$1.06B

直近12か月(2026/7/31まで)

純利益

$-129M

直近12か月(2026/7/31まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$105M

自己資本合計

$1.53B

負債合計

$220M

流動比率

4.55

利払い倍率

39.42

負債/EBITDA

-

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$73.52

現在株価

$66.55

安全マージン

+9.5%

適正価値レンジ

$47.79 - $99.25

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$97.53
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$41.50
利益倍率(P/E):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
グレアムの成長公式:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
収益力価値(EPV):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
正当化されたP/B:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$56.69
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (20B / 3H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+12.26%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

-

ROE

-10.5%

P/B レシオ

1.45

P/FCF

17.03

粗利益率

71.1%

ROIC

-6.6%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

-6.6%

WACC

12.3%

ROIC − WACC

-18.9 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross Margin 71.1%
  • P/FCF 17.03
  • P/B Ratio 1.45
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Analyst Consensus 87% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 37.5%
  • Net Margin Trend -12.1% vs -26.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(8)

  • Price CAGR -22.60%
  • ROIC -6.6%
  • Operating Margin -13.0%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -8.3%
  • Share Dilution 229.7%

データなし(6)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

229.7%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Ara MahdessianCo-Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO39
Mr. Vahe KuzoyanCo-Founder, President & Director41
Mr. Dave SherryChief Financial Officer40
Mr. Chris PetrosChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Michele O'ConnorChief Accounting Officer48
Mr. Abhishek MathurChief Technology & Product Officer-
Mr. Jason RechelInvestor Relations Head-
Ms. Olive HuangGeneral Counsel & Secretary of the Board-
Mr. Rikus PretoriusSenior Vice President of Worldwide Sales-
Mr. Chris TrombettaChief People Officer-

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-03-25

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-09-08

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-08

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TTAN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/13/2026NEUTRAL
    ServiceTitan (TTAN) Q4 2026 Earnings Transcript

    ServiceTitan has released its Q4 2026 earnings transcript. While specific financial figures and forward-looking guidance are not detailed in the provided information, the release of an earnings transcript typically signals the completion of a reporting period. Investors will analyze the transcript for management's commentary on operational performance, market conditions, and strategic initiatives. The absence of immediate positive or negative indicators suggests a neutral stance pending detailed review of the transcript's content for insights into future growth prospects and profitability.

via Markets Gazette