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Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM)

割安
EnergyOil & Gas MidstreamUnited States

ファンダメンタル

50

株価

$40.41

時価総額

$14.96B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Viper Energy owns mineral and royalty interests under oil and gas acreage in the Permian Basin, mostly operated by its controlling shareholder Diamondback Energy. It does not drill or operate wells itself: it collects a royalty percentage of the oil, gas and natural gas liquids produced by whoever operates the land, without paying any of the drilling or operating costs.

収益の仕組み

Revenue is royalty income: a contractual share of the value of oil, gas and natural gas liquids extracted from the acreage underlying its mineral interests, paid by the well operator regardless of who drills. Because it funds none of the drilling, completion or lease operating costs, almost all of that royalty income flows through to cash flow, and the main variables are commodity prices and how fast operators — chiefly Diamondback — drill the acreage.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

Oil, gas and natural gas liquids are commodities sold at prevailing market prices Viper does not control. Its advantage is a low-cost structure — no drilling or operating capital at risk — rather than pricing power or a durable barrier competitors cannot replicate by buying comparable acreage.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Royalty income moves with oil and gas prices and with the pace at which operators drill the underlying acreage — both of which swing with the broader commodity cycle and operators' own capital budgets. A slowdown in drilling by Diamondback or other operators reduces future production without Viper being able to do anything about it.

主なリスク

  • Dependence on operators it does not control — Viper earns nothing from acreage that is not drilled, and it has no say over an operator's pace of drilling, well design or capital budget — including Diamondback's own.
  • Conflicts of interest with the controlling shareholder — Diamondback is simultaneously Viper's largest operator, its controlling shareholder and the counterparty in acreage drop-down acquisitions, creating potential conflicts in how those transactions and operating decisions are priced and timed.
  • Commodity price volatility — Royalty income moves directly with oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids prices, which are set by global supply and demand outside the company's control and can fall sharply and quickly.
  • Geographic concentration in the Permian Basin — Substantially all of Viper's acreage sits in a single basin, so a regional problem — pipeline bottlenecks, water disposal limits, or a local regulatory change — affects nearly the entire portfolio at once.

顧客集中度

Diamondback Energy, Viper's controlling shareholder, operates roughly 35% of Viper's net royalty acreage, making it by far the largest single operator whose drilling pace determines revenue; the company does not disclose the exact percentage of royalty income tied to Diamondback.

強気材料

Buyers argue that a royalty-only model with no drilling or operating costs converts an unusually high share of revenue into free cash flow, that being tied to Diamondback gives Viper visibility into a disciplined operator's development plans, and that further mineral acquisitions can keep growing the acreage base without diluting the cost structure.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that dependence on Diamondback's drilling pace and on transactions with the same controlling shareholder concentrates risk in one counterparty, that a sustained drop in oil and gas prices hits royalty income directly with no operating cost buffer to absorb it, and that geographic concentration in a single basin leaves no diversification if a regional bottleneck appears.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$1.97B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$59M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$4.45B

負債合計

$2.31B

流動比率

6.37

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.89

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

景気循環株割安

適正価値

$55.15

現在株価

$40.41

安全マージン

+26.7%

適正価値レンジ

$52.39 - $57.91

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$55.15
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):この種の企業には適用されません
利益倍率(P/E):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$11.06
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):この種の企業には適用されません
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (25B / 1H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-8.06%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

257.95

ROE

-1.5%

P/B レシオ

1.54

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

-

ROIC

1.7%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

1.7%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

-5.5 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(11)

  • Price CAGR 9.85%
  • P/B Ratio 1.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.7%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 41.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 96% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 25.34

不合格(7)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 1.7%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 1.2%
  • Share Dilution 50.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

データなし(9)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-スコア

3/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

25.34

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

50.7%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Matthew Kaes Van't HofCEO & Director38
Mr. Austen GilfillianPresident32
Ms. Teresa L. Dick CPAExecutive VP, CFO & Assistant Secretary55
Mr. Albert BarkmannExecutive VP & Chief Engineer44
Mr. Chip SealeDirector of Investor Relations-
Mr. Will KruegerVP, General Counsel and Secretary-

監査リスク

3

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

9

株主権利リスク

3

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-25

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-05

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-16

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for VNOM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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