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Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA)

割高
TechnologyCommunication EquipmentUnited States

ファンダメンタル

65

株価

$373.31

時価総額

$17.39B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Zebra Technologies makes the hardware and software that track physical objects and people as they move through a business: barcode and RFID scanners, rugged mobile computers, label and receipt printers, machine-vision cameras, and the software that ties them together. Retailers use it to track inventory and ring up sales; warehouses and couriers scan packages with it; hospitals identify patients and medication with it. In 2025 it acquired Elo, adding self-service kiosks and payment terminals to the same customer base.

収益の仕組み

Zebra sells mostly hardware, largely through distributors rather than directly to end customers: three distributors together accounted for about 59% of 2025 net sales. Printers and scanners generate a recurring stream of supplies (labels, ribbons, batteries), while mobile computers and software increasingly carry subscription and support contracts. Demand tracks capital spending by retail, logistics and healthcare customers, so unit volumes rise and fall with those industries' own investment cycles rather than with steady end-consumer purchases.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 狭い

Warehouses and retailers standardize scanning, printing and mobile-computing hardware, supplies and management software across thousands of devices; replacing an installed fleet means re-certifying workflows and retraining staff, which discourages switching suppliers. The advantage is real but not absolute: Honeywell, Datalogic and others sell comparable hardware, and large customers negotiate hard on price, so it does not bring the pricing power seen in pure software businesses.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Customers buy scanners, printers and mobile computers as part of capital budgets for new stores, warehouses or delivery fleets, spending that gets deferred quickly when retail or logistics volumes soften. The 2023-2024 downturn, when customers worked through inventory built up during the pandemic before ordering again, showed how sharply unit volumes can swing even though the underlying use cases stay permanent.

主なリスク

  • Revenue concentrated in a few distributors — Three distributors together made up about 59% of 2025 net sales. Losing one, or a change in how it buys and stocks Zebra products, would have an outsized effect on reported sales.
  • Acquisition integration risk — Zebra has grown through acquisitions, including Elo in 2025. Retaining the customers, distributors and staff of an acquired business is not guaranteed, and integration can distract management and absorb capital.
  • Geopolitical instability — The company cites regional conflicts, terrorism and war, specifically the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, as sources of market instability that can disrupt supply chains and demand.
  • Dependence on regulated wireless spectrum — Zebra's wireless devices depend on government-allocated radio spectrum. Changes to spectrum availability or regulation in any country can force product redesigns or restrict where products can be sold.

顧客集中度

主要顧客が売上高の59%を占める

In fiscal 2025 three distributors accounted for 29%, 15% and 15% of net sales respectively, about 59% combined. A change in how any one of them buys and stocks Zebra products affects results directly.

強気材料

Buyers argue that scanning, tracking and mobile-computing hardware is becoming more embedded in retail, healthcare and logistics workflows every year, that the Elo acquisition adds a new self-service growth avenue, and that a business with this much recurring supplies revenue deserves a steadier multiple than its cyclical history suggests.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that hardware margins stay under pressure from capable competitors, that nearly six in ten dollars of revenue flow through just three distributors who can squeeze pricing, and that the next slowdown in retail or logistics capital spending will hit unit volumes as hard as the last one did.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$5.85B

直近12か月(2026/7/4まで)

純利益

$539M

直近12か月(2026/7/4まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$831M

自己資本合計

$3.59B

負債合計

$4.91B

流動比率

0.52

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

3.35

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割高

適正価値

$246.74

現在株価

$373.31

安全マージン

-51.3%

適正価値レンジ

$160.38 - $333.11

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$411.45
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$195.73
利益倍率(P/E):$180.42
グレアムの成長公式:$81.61
収益力価値(EPV):$105.08
正当化されたP/B:$83.91
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$204.27
中間サイクル利益:$414.98
売上高倍率:$620.09
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (19B / 6H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+42.86%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

34.12

ROE

11.7%

P/B レシオ

5.14

P/FCF

19.54

粗利益率

49.6%

ROIC

14.6%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

14.6%

WACC

11.4%

ROIC − WACC

+3.2 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 15.78%
  • ROIC 14.6%
  • Gross Margin 49.6%
  • P/FCF 19.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 14.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 15.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 76% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.82
  • Share Dilution -1.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

不合格(7)

  • P/B Ratio 5.14
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 10.6%

データなし(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

5/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.82

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-1.2%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. William J. BurnsCEO & Director58
Mr. Nathan Andrew WintersChief Financial Officer45
Ms. Cristen L. Kogl J.D.Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary59
Mr. Richard Edward HudsonChief Revenue Officer57
Ms. Colleen M. O'SullivanSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer58
Mr. Tom BianculliChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Matt AusmanChief Information Officer-
Mr. Michael A. Steele C.F.A., IRCVice President of Investor Relations52
Ms. Therese Van RyneSenior Director of External Communications-
Ms. Melissa Luff LoizidesChief People Officer-

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

9

報酬リスク

2

株主権利リスク

8

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-12

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-04

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-04

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ZBRA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/13/2026POSITIVE
    This Zebra Technologies Analyst Turns Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Upgrades For Wednesday

    Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) has received a bullish upgrade from a top Wall Street analyst, accompanied by an increased price target. This positive sentiment suggests renewed confidence in the company's future performance and market position. Investors should note that this upgrade is part of a broader trend of analyst reassessments, with other stocks like ST, AKAM, ITGR, and ARW also seeing positive analyst attention. The specific details of ZBRA's upgrade, including the new price target and the rationale behind the analyst's optimism, are crucial for assessing potential investment opportunities.

via Markets Gazette