Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp (BAH)
被低估基本面
72
价格
$71.59
市值
$8.45B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
Booz Allen Hamilton is a US consulting and advanced-technology firm that sells expert labour to the American federal government. Founded over 110 years ago, it places teams of engineers, analysts, data scientists and cyber specialists inside government agencies to run and modernise their missions: weapons and logistics programmes for the Department of Defense, benefits and health systems for civil agencies, and classified analytics for the intelligence community. At 31 March 2026 it employed roughly 31,500 people, of whom about 28,800 were client-facing staff and roughly 77% held US security clearances. It does not manufacture or sell a product; its inventory is cleared, specialised people and the software and systems they build around government missions. Fiscal 2026 revenue was $11,217 million, down 6.4% from $11,980 million, and headcount fell from 35,800 to 31,500 as federal procurement slowed.
盈利方式
Revenue comes from government contracts and task orders, billed mostly as hours worked plus reimbursed expenses. The 10-K describes three contract structures: cost-reimbursable (Booz Allen is repaid allowable costs up to a ceiling plus a fee), time-and-materials (negotiated hourly rates plus expenses), and fixed-price (a set price for a defined outcome, with higher margin potential but the full risk of cost overruns). Work is won mainly through large multi-award vehicles known as IDIQ contracts: in fiscal 2026 roughly 84% of revenue came from 2,426 active task orders under such vehicles, and the single largest vehicle accounted for about 17% of revenue. The 10-K notes the US government is directing agencies to use firm-fixed-price contracts more often for new awards, which shifts cost risk onto the contractor. Total backlog at 31 March 2026 was $38.2 billion, of which only $4.3 billion was funded.
分部营收
Work for the Department of Defense and the military services: systems engineering, logistics, cyber operations, artificial intelligence and digital modernisation programmes. It grew from $5,943 million in fiscal 2025 to $6,069 million in fiscal 2026 and is the company's largest and steadiest market.
Services to non-defence federal agencies — veterans' benefits and health, homeland security, energy, transport and other civil missions. It fell sharply, from $4,170 million in fiscal 2025 to $3,248 million in fiscal 2026, and accounts for essentially all of the group's revenue decline.
Classified work for the US intelligence community and national security agencies: data analytics, cyber and mission systems delivered largely by cleared staff. Revenue was $1,900 million in fiscal 2026 against $1,867 million in fiscal 2025.
护城河
专利与许可 · 狭窄Booz Allen's advantage is regulatory and relational rather than technological. About 77% of its staff hold US security clearances, which take time and government sponsorship to obtain and cannot be bought or replicated quickly by a new entrant. Roughly 84% of revenue runs through IDIQ contract vehicles, and simply being on a vehicle is a precondition for bidding on the work underneath it, so incumbency compounds. Against that, the customer is a single, price-conscious buyer that recompetes work, can protest or be protested against, and is pushing fixed-price terms; fiscal 2026 showed how fast revenue can fall when that buyer changes its priorities. The advantage is real but bounded — narrow, not wide.
需求驱动因素
中度周期性Demand does not follow the consumer or industrial economy — it follows the federal budget. That makes Booz Allen largely indifferent to recessions, but exposed to a political cycle of its own: appropriations, continuing resolutions, administration priorities and procurement pace. Fiscal 2026 is the demonstration. Group revenue fell 6.4% and headcount dropped by 4,300 people, which the company attributes to a slowed procurement and funding environment. The damage was concentrated: Civil revenue fell from $4,170 million to $3,248 million, while Defense and Intelligence both grew slightly. So national-security work behaves defensively, and civil-agency work can swing hard when Washington changes its mind.
主要风险
- Dependence on US government spending and mission priorities — The company expects to keep deriving the vast majority of its revenue from US Government contracts. Changes in the level of federal spending, in budget priorities, in appropriations timing or in the missions agencies choose to fund can reduce or delay work already won.
- Backlog may not turn into revenue — The 10-K warns that backlog may not convert into actual revenue because of congressional appropriations, programme changes or contract cancellations. Only $4.3 billion of the $38.2 billion backlog at 31 March 2026 was funded; the rest depends on future funding decisions and on options the government is free not to exercise.
- Competitive bidding, recompetes and protests — Contracts are periodically recompeted. The company lists as risks its ability to compete effectively for new work, protests filed by competitors against awards it wins, and the loss of GSA schedules or positions on government-wide acquisition contracts, any of which can remove a revenue stream at a stroke.
- Shift in contract mix toward fixed price — The 10-K notes the US government is directing agencies to increase the use of firm-fixed-price contracts for new awards. Under fixed price Booz Allen bears the full impact of cost overruns, so errors in estimating costs translate directly into lost margin.
- Attracting and keeping cleared people — The business is its workforce. The company lists the ability to attract and retain employees, and to obtain and maintain their security clearances, among its principal risks, along with the loss of senior management and gaps in leadership development.
- Government contracting rules, audits and False Claims Act exposure — Booz Allen must comply with the Federal Acquisition Regulation, DFARS, the Cost Accounting Standards and the False Claims Act, and with limits on which compensation costs can be reimbursed. Non-compliance, misconduct by an employee, subcontractor or supplier, or an adverse legal or regulatory proceeding can lead to penalties, disallowed costs or suspension from government work.
- Cybersecurity and internal systems — The company identifies failures of its internal systems and breaches of its information security — including of its financial management system — as risks, alongside compliance with data privacy and cybersecurity laws and the risks of developing and deploying artificial intelligence.
- Substantial indebtedness — Item 1A flags the company's substantial debt, its ability to refinance it, and the restrictions its debt agreements place on how it can operate and deploy capital.
客户集中度
主要客户占营收的10%
The figure is the single largest customer, not a top-ten total: the 10-K states that the Department of Veterans Affairs was the largest customer in fiscal 2026, accounting for 10% of revenue. The filing does not give a combined share for the top customers. The deeper concentration is on the buyer itself — the company expects to keep deriving the vast majority of revenue from the US Government, so its many agency relationships ultimately depend on one payer. Concentration also shows up through contract vehicles: about 84% of revenue came through IDIQ vehicles, the largest of which represented roughly 17% of revenue, while the largest individual task order was about 4% and the largest definite contract about 1%.
看多理由
Buyers argue that the fiscal 2026 decline was a procurement pause, not a loss of position: backlog still rose 3.1% to $38.2 billion with a 1.1x book-to-bill, Defense and Intelligence revenue both grew, and management guides fiscal 2027 revenue to $11.2–11.7 billion, that is flat to modestly higher. They point to the cleared workforce — roughly 77% of staff hold security clearances — and to presence on the IDIQ vehicles that carry 84% of revenue as assets a competitor cannot assemble quickly. They also note that the company cut headcount by 4,300 while still generating $951 million of free cash flow in the year, and that national-security and AI-related missions are the part of the federal budget least likely to be cut.
看空理由
Sellers fear that fiscal 2026 showed the model's fragility rather than a one-off. Revenue fell 6.4% and Civil revenue dropped from $4,170 million to $3,248 million in a single year, with headcount down from 35,800 to 31,500 — a business whose only input is people cannot shrink that fast without losing capability. They point out that only $4.3 billion of the $38.2 billion backlog is funded, so the order book is largely a statement of intent by a customer that can change its mind. They also note the government's push toward firm-fixed-price contracts, which transfers cost-overrun risk from the payer to Booz Allen, that the same single buyer supplies the vast majority of revenue, and that Item 1A lists substantial indebtedness and refinancing ability among the company's own risks.
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
CACI bids for the same U.S. defense, intelligence and homeland-security technology and mission-support contracts that generate most of Booz Allen's revenue.
Leidos is the largest federal systems integrator and competes head-on with Booz Allen for IT modernization, analytics and engineering work at the same military and civilian agencies.
SAIC sells digital transformation, cloud and mission-support services to the same Department of Defense and civilian agency buyers Booz Allen serves.
Through Accenture Federal Services it competes for the large federal consulting and technology-transformation programs Booz Allen targets, and abroad for the same commercial and government clients.
ICF is a Washington-area management consultancy selling advisory, analytics and programme-implementation services to the same federal civilian agencies.
Deloitte's public-sector practice bids against Booz Allen for federal strategy, digital and mission-consulting engagements; it is private, so no ticker applies.
资产负债表与流动性
营收
$11.09B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
净利润
$778M
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
自由现金流
$951M
股东权益合计
$1.10B
负债合计
$6.01B
流动比率
1.59
利息覆盖率
4.87
债务/EBITDA
3.33
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$122.57
当前价格
$71.59
安全边际
+41.6%
公允价值区间
$79.67 - $165.47
所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
10.90
ROE
77.0%
市净率(P/B)
6.95
P/FCF
7.48
毛利率
53.0%
ROIC
14.6%
盈利能力雷达图
价值创造(经济护城河)
ROIC
14.6%
WACC
6.8%
ROIC − WACC
+7.8 pp
ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。
基本面分析标准
通过(20)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 24.03%
- Price CAGR 7.72%
- ROIC 14.6%
- Gross Margin 53.0%
- P/FCF 7.48
- Operating Margin 9.5%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 71.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 7.4%
- Earnings Surprise avg 21.3%
- PEG Ratio 1.17
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.55
- Share Dilution -4.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
未通过(7)
- P/B Ratio 6.95
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- Analyst Consensus 13% Buy
- Net Margin Trend 7.0% vs 8.7%
不可用(1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-评分
信号混杂:部分领域需关注
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
机构持股
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Horacio D. Rozanski | CEO & Chair | 57 |
| Ms. Kristine Martin Anderson | COO & President | 56 |
| Ms. Andrea Inserra | Executive VP & Global Defense Sector President | 55 |
| Mr. Richard C. Crowe | Chief Growth Officer | 57 |
| Mr. Thomas Pfeifer | Executive VP & President of National Security Sector | 65 |
| Mr. Troy J. Lahr | Executive VP & CFO | 51 |
| Mr. Dennis Metzfield | VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 44 |
| Mr. William J. Vass | Chief Technology Officer | 63 |
| Ms. Jennifer Wagner | Chief Administrative Officer | - |
| Dustin T. Darensbourg | Director & Head of Investor Relations | - |
审计风险
3
董事会风险
3
薪酬风险
2
股东权利风险
3
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
损益历史
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for BAH, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/22/2026NEUTRALRoss Stores, BJ's Wholesale Club And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Friday
US stock futures are trending higher as traders gear up for Friday's trading session. The market's attention is divided among several key companies, including Booz Allen Hamilton, Ross Stores, BJ's Wholesale Club, Take-Two Interactive, and Zoom Communications. Investors will be closely monitoring any pre-market news or developments related to these firms for potential trading opportunities. The overall sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with a focus on individual stock performance rather than broad market movements.
via Markets Gazette