CACI International Inc (CACI)
合理估值基本面
68
价格
$630.52
市值
$13.62B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
CACI International is a US professional-services and information-technology contractor that works almost entirely for the American federal government. Founded in 1962, it supplies what it calls 'technology' (its own software, hardware and mission products, such as signals-intelligence and electronic-warfare systems, secure communications and counter-drone equipment) and 'expertise' (engineers, analysts and programme staff embedded in customer missions) to defence, intelligence and civilian agencies. In fiscal 2026, ended 30 June 2026, revenue was $9.57 billion and the company employed roughly 27,000 people; 95.6% of revenue came from federal government contracts, of which 53.6% from the Department of War (the renamed Department of Defense) and 24.6% from the Intelligence Community. A much smaller UK- and Netherlands-based business sells IT services and marketing data products in Europe.
盈利方式
CACI is paid under government contracts and subcontracts, billed as work is performed. The filing says the mix spans fixed-price, cost-reimbursement and time-and-materials contracts, plus Indefinite Delivery/Indefinite Quantity vehicles and government-wide acquisition contracts on which individual task orders are competed; it does not disclose the revenue percentage of each contract type for fiscal 2026. Margins differ by type: on cost-reimbursement work the government pays allowable costs plus a fee, so risk is low and margins thin; on fixed-price work CACI keeps the difference if it delivers for less than the price, and absorbs the overrun if it does not. Revenue therefore depends on winning and holding contract vehicles and on the pace at which agencies fund task orders. Backlog is the forward indicator the company reports: total backlog was $32.0 billion at 30 June 2026, of which $5.4 billion was funded.
分部营收
Sells technology products and professional expertise to US federal agencies — the Department of War, the Intelligence Community and civilian departments such as Homeland Security, Justice, State and Health and Human Services — across command and control, cyber, digital solutions, enterprise IT, mission and engineering support, space, and electromagnetic spectrum work.
Run from London through the CACI Limited and CACI BV subsidiaries, it sells a mix of IT services and proprietary data and software products to commercial and government customers in the UK, continental Europe and elsewhere.
护城河
专利与许可 · 狭窄The advantage is regulatory and reputational rather than technological. To bid much of this work a contractor needs cleared personnel, cleared facilities and accredited systems, and the filing warns that failure to obtain or retain security clearances would directly limit what CACI can win — a barrier that keeps most firms out of the intelligence work that is a quarter of revenue. Past performance and incumbency also count in source selection, and agencies rarely disturb a programme that runs well. The limits are real: contracts are recompeted on schedule, the government owns most of the deliverables, and price often decides, so the advantage protects individual programmes more than it protects pricing.
需求驱动因素
防御型Demand does not follow the consumer or industrial cycle: it follows the federal budget. Defence, intelligence and civilian agency missions continue through recessions, and multi-year contracts with a $32.0 billion total backlog smooth revenue further, which is why this kind of business tends to hold up when the economy weakens. The cycle that matters instead is political — appropriations timing, continuing resolutions, shutdowns, and shifts of priority between programmes — and it can stall growth in a strong economy just as easily as in a weak one. A beginner should read 'defensive' here as insulated from GDP, not as free of risk.
主要风险
- Almost all revenue comes from one customer — The company states that federal government contracts accounted for 95.6% of revenue in fiscal 2026 and 95.7% in fiscal 2025. Any loss of that relationship, or a decline in its standing with contracting agencies, would hit the business with no other customer base to fall back on.
- Federal budget levels and priorities can change — Item 1A flags changes in the level of federal spending and in budgetary priorities. Appropriations delays, continuing resolutions and shifts of money between programmes can slow funding of task orders even on contracts CACI already holds.
- Contracts can be terminated or cut short — The filing lists unfavourable termination provisions among its risks: government contracts may generally be ended for convenience or not extended into option years, and backlog may not convert into revenue as expected.
- Competitive bidding and protests — Work is won through competitive procurement and is recompeted periodically. The company cites the risks of the bidding process itself and of changes in government procurement practices, which can reshape how and to whom work is awarded.
- Cleared talent is scarce — Two separate risk factors cover the ability to obtain and retain security clearances and the ability to attract and retain qualified employees. This is a people business: without cleared staff a contract cannot be staffed, whatever the award says.
- Audits, cost disallowance and misconduct — Government contracts are audited and costs already billed can be questioned and adjusted afterwards. The filing also names employee misconduct and security breaches, and the broader burden of legal and regulatory compliance, as risks that can bring penalties or suspension from bidding.
- Debt taken on for acquisitions — A dedicated group of risk factors covers indebtedness: covenant restrictions, the capacity to take on more debt, whether cash flow suffices to service it, and change-of-control effects. Related risks cover the difficulty of finding, executing and integrating acquisitions and the possible impairment of goodwill.
客户集中度
主要客户占营收的95.6%
The US federal government is effectively the single customer: 95.6% of fiscal 2026 revenue came from federal contracts, split 53.6% Department of War, 24.6% Intelligence Community, 17.4% federal civilian agencies, with 4.4% from commercial and other customers. Concentration is lower at the contract level: the ten largest revenue-producing contracts, many of them umbrella vehicles carrying several task orders, together produced $2.2 billion, or 22.5% of revenue.
看多理由
Buyers argue that national-security demand is committed years ahead and largely immune to the economic cycle, and point to fiscal 2026 as evidence the machine is working: revenue up 10.9% to $9.57 billion, $10 billion of contract awards, EBITDA margin at 12.3%, free cash flow up 66% and funded backlog up 28.6% to $5.4 billion — the part of the order book the government has actually put money behind. They argue the mix is improving, since intelligence and proprietary technology products such as electronic warfare and secure communications carry better margins and are harder to displace than staff-augmentation hours, and that a $32.0 billion total backlog plus fiscal 2027 guidance of $10.65–10.85 billion gives unusual visibility for a services company. Clearances and accredited facilities, on this view, keep the competitive field narrow.
看空理由
Sellers fear a business with one customer that can change its mind. With 95.6% of revenue federal, a slower appropriations process, a continuing resolution or a shift of priorities can push work to the right regardless of how well CACI performs, and government contracts can generally be terminated for convenience. They point out that backlog is not a contract to be paid: only $5.4 billion of the $32.0 billion was funded at year end, and total backlog grew just 1.9% year on year while revenue grew 10.9% — a gap that has to close somewhere. Recompetes are periodic and price-driven, so a single large programme lost at renewal removes revenue that took years to build. They also note that growth has leaned on acquisitions, which brings integration risk, goodwill that can be written down and debt with covenants, and that the company itself lists misconduct, security breaches and post-award cost disallowance as risks in a sector where a suspension from bidding is an existential event.
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Leidos bids against CACI for the same Department of Defense and Intelligence Community contracts in digital modernization, C4ISR, cyber and mission software.
Booz Allen sells technology consulting, data analytics and cyber services to the same U.S. defense, intelligence and federal civilian agencies that generate the bulk of CACI's revenue.
SAIC competes head-on for federal enterprise IT, systems integration and software modernization task orders on the same contract vehicles CACI pursues.
Through its GDIT division, General Dynamics competes for the same federal enterprise IT, cloud and intelligence support contracts, though the rest of its business is defense manufacturing.
Parsons targets the same national security customers in cyber, intelligence, space and electromagnetic spectrum work that CACI lists among its core markets.
Peraton, privately held by Veritas Capital, is a roughly comparable-sized provider of intelligence, cyber, space and defense mission services to the same U.S. government agencies.
资产负债表与流动性
营收
$9.57B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
净利润
$536M
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
自由现金流
$780M
股东权益合计
$4.46B
负债合计
$7.36B
流动比率
1.48
利息覆盖率
4.27
债务/EBITDA
5.40
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$626.45
当前价格
$630.52
安全边际
-0.7%
公允价值区间
$466.48 - $786.41
所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
25.21
ROE
12.0%
市净率(P/B)
3.02
P/FCF
17.26
毛利率
-
ROIC
7.1%
盈利能力雷达图
价值创造(经济护城河)
ROIC
7.1%
WACC
6.6%
ROIC − WACC
+0.4 pp
ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。
基本面分析标准
通过(20)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 13.17%
- Price CAGR 17.46%
- ROIC 7.1%
- P/FCF 17.26
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 9.6%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 12.7%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 9.6%
- Analyst Consensus 79% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 9.1%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.65
- Share Dilution -1.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
未通过(6)
- P/B Ratio 3.02
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- PEG Ratio 4.41
- Net Margin Trend 5.6% vs 5.8%
不可用(2)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-评分
信号混杂:部分领域需关注
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
机构持股
该公司暂无机构申报数据。
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. John S. Mengucci | President, CEO & Director | 63 |
| Mr. Jeffrey D. MacLauchlan | Executive VP, CFO, & Treasurer | 66 |
| Mr. J. William Koegel Jr. | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 71 |
| Ms. DeEtte Gray | Strategic Advisor | 56 |
| Ms. Tracy Weir | Chief Executive of CACI Limited & President of U.K. Operations | 61 |
| Dr. David Young | Executive VP & COO | 44 |
| Mr. Eric F. Blazer | Senior VP, Corporate Controller, Chief Accounting Officer | 44 |
| Mr. Jason Bales | Senior VP & Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. George A. Price Jr. | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Gino Bona | Executive Vice President of Corporate Communications | - |
审计风险
1
董事会风险
2
薪酬风险
3
股东权利风险
3
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
损益历史
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CACI, sourced from Markets Gazette.