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Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP)

被高估
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

基本面

49

价格

$77.78

市值

$40.56B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Microchip Technology designs and manufactures the small, low-cost chips that give everyday electronics their basic intelligence and connectivity: microcontrollers, analog chips, memory and programmable logic used inside cars, industrial equipment, appliances and data centre hardware. Unlike fabless chip designers, it still owns and runs some of its own factories, alongside outside foundries. Its catalogue spans tens of thousands of parts sold in modest volumes to a very broad base of industrial and automotive customers rather than a handful of large buyers.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling physical chips, mostly through distributors who hold inventory and resell to thousands of smaller customers, with the rest sold directly to larger accounts. Engineers design a specific Microchip part into a product years before it ships, and once that design is locked in, they rarely switch supplier for the life of that product, which gives revenue a slow-moving, order-book character rather than one driven by short-term demand shifts.

分部营收

Mixed-signal microcontrollers51.1%

The programmable chips that act as the 'brain' inside a huge range of electronic products, Microchip's largest product line.

Analog26.3%

Chips that manage power, signal conversion and interfacing between the physical world and digital electronics.

Other (FPGA and memory)22.6%

Programmable logic chips and memory products sold alongside the core microcontroller and analog lines, plus a small technology licensing business.

护城河

转换成本 · 狭窄

Once an engineer designs a Microchip part into a product, replacing it means re-qualifying a new chip across the whole design, a costly step most customers avoid once a product is in production. That stickiness is real but not unique to Microchip: rivals such as Texas Instruments, STMicroelectronics and NXP compete for the same design-in decisions on the next product generation, so the advantage resets with every new product cycle.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Microchip sells into a huge range of industrial, automotive and consumer end markets, which smooths out any single customer's ups and downs, but the semiconductor industry as a whole still moves through pronounced boom-and-bust inventory cycles: distributors and customers over-order when supply is tight and work down stockpiles when it eases, amplifying the swing in Microchip's own order book beyond the swing in end demand.

主要风险

  • Distributor concentration — Arrow Electronics alone represented 12% of fiscal 2026 net sales; a disruption at this distributor, or a change in its relationship with Microchip, would affect a meaningful share of revenue.
  • Dependence on outside foundries — About 65% of fiscal 2026 sales came from products made at outside wafer foundries; capacity shortfalls or disruption at those foundries limit how much Microchip can ship, regardless of demand.
  • Unabsorbed manufacturing capacity — Microchip paused expansion at two of its own fabs and recorded $200.8 million of unabsorbed capacity charges in fiscal 2026, a cost of owning factories that run below full utilisation during a downturn.
  • Export controls and geopolitical restrictions — Roughly three-quarters of sales go to customers outside the United States; export controls, tariffs and an active investigation by Chinese authorities into US analog semiconductor makers could restrict where Microchip can sell.
  • Intense price competition — Microchip competes against several large, well-funded semiconductor makers on price and technical performance, and states that intense competition in its markets creates ongoing pressure on margins.

客户集中度

主要客户占营收的12%

Arrow Electronics, its largest distributor, accounted for 12% of net sales in fiscal 2026; no other distributor or direct customer exceeded 10%, so concentration sits with the distribution channel rather than any single end customer.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Microchip's tens of thousands of design-ins across industrial and automotive customers give it revenue that is hard for any single customer loss to dent, and that the current inventory correction is cyclical rather than a sign of lost competitive position.

看空理由

Sellers fear that unabsorbed factory costs will keep weighing on margins until the industry cycle turns, that heavy reliance on outside foundries and a concentrated distributor leaves supply exposed to disruption, and that Chinese scrutiny of US analog chipmakers could restrict a market Microchip depends on.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 22.7Score: 69Market cap: $58.11B

NXP sells microcontrollers, connectivity and analog parts to the same automotive and industrial customers, and names Microchip among its own primary competitors in its annual report.

P/E: 68.6Score: 61Market cap: $73.11B

Infineon leads the microcontroller market Microchip competes in and pushes the same combination of embedded control plus power and security devices into automotive and industrial systems.

P/E: 42.6Score: 73Market cap: $247.17B

Texas Instruments competes for the same industrial and automotive sockets with its embedded processors and, above all, with the broad catalogue of analog and power-management parts that make up roughly half of Microchip's revenue.

P/E: 47.1Score: 73Market cap: $185.40B

Analog Devices is the direct rival on the analog and mixed-signal side of Microchip's catalogue — signal chain, power, interface and timing parts sold to the same industrial, medical and automotive designers.

STMicroelectronics N.V.STM

Its STM32 family competes head-on with Microchip's PIC, AVR and SAM microcontrollers for the same industrial, automotive and IoT design wins, and it sells a comparable surrounding range of analog and power products.

Renesas Electronics Corporation (ルネサスエレクトロニクス株式会社)6723

Renesas is one of the five suppliers that share most of the microcontroller market with Microchip, and after its Dialog and Intersil deals it also overlaps on analog, power and wireless connectivity.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$5.12B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$478M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$871M

股东权益合计

$6.43B

负债合计

$7.94B

流动比率

1.92

利息覆盖率

3.74

债务/EBITDA

4.58

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$52.09

当前价格

$77.78

安全边际

-49.3%

公允价值区间

$33.86 - $70.33

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$107.84
现金流折现法(DCF):$47.40
市盈率法(P/E):$12.88
格雷厄姆成长公式:$5.16
盈利能力价值(EPV):$7.77
合理市净率(P/B):$5.92
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):$27.09
周期中段收益:$54.31
市销率法(P/S):$47.49
分析师共识:强力买入 (26B / 7H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+7.39%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

114.37

ROE

3.6%

市净率(P/B)

6.55

P/FCF

38.01

毛利率

60.2%

ROIC

4.8%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

13.3%

ROIC − WACC

-8.5 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • Price CAGR 8.94%
  • Gross Margin 60.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 15.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Analyst Consensus 79% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.50
  • Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs -3.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -9.77%
  • ROIC 4.8%
  • P/FCF 38.01
  • P/B Ratio 6.55
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 7.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -2.8%
  • Share Dilution 1990.9%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.50

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

1990.9%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Stephen SanghiCEO, President & Chair of the Board69
Mr. James Eric BjornholtSenior Corporate Vice President & CFO54
Mr. Mathew B. BunkerSenior Corporate Vice President of Operations55
Mr. Joseph R. Krawczyk IISenior Corporate Vice President of Worldwide Client Engagement65
Mr. Sajid DaudiHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Lauren A. CarrSenior Corporate Vice President of Global Human Resources-
Mr. Mark W. ReitenSenior Corporate Vice President of Licensing, Memory Products and Edge AI Business Units-
Mr. Patrick F. JohnsonSenior Corporate Vice President, FPGA & Timing Business Units-
Mr. Fanie DuvenhageSenior Corporate Vice President of Analog Business Units-
Mr. Matthias KaestnerCorporate Vice President, Automotive, Data Center & Networking Business Units-

审计风险

6

董事会风险

9

薪酬风险

9

股东权利风险

2

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-05-21

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-06

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-19

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MCHP, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/12/2026POSITIVE
    Jim Cramer: This Tech Stock Is 'Terrific,' Fluence Faces Profit Test

    Jim Cramer, host of 'Mad Money,' has identified Microchip Technology as a 'terrific' investment opportunity. The recommendation is underpinned by the company's robust financial performance and promising growth prospects. Cramer's endorsement suggests that Microchip Technology is well-positioned for future success, potentially attracting increased investor interest and driving its stock price higher. Investors should monitor the company's upcoming earnings reports and strategic initiatives for further validation of this positive outlook.

  • 6/1/2026POSITIVE
    Microchip Technology Stock Climbs On Data Center Revenue Growth

    Microchip Technology's stock experienced a notable increase following the company's announcement of robust revenue growth within its Data Center Solutions Business Unit. The company also provided positive forward guidance for this key segment. This performance indicates strong demand for Microchip's products in the rapidly expanding data center market, a sector critical for cloud computing, AI, and high-performance computing. Investors are likely reacting to the company's ability to capitalize on this trend, suggesting potential for continued market share gains and improved financial results.

via Markets Gazette