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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR)

被高估
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

基本面

67

价格

$1436.45

市值

$65.63B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Monolithic Power Systems designs power-management chips: the small components that convert and regulate electricity inside servers, cars, phones and industrial equipment. Like NVIDIA, it is fabless — it designs the chips and has outside foundries manufacture them — so its edge comes from engineering rather than factories. What began as a supplier of chips for laptop and monitor power circuits now sells increasingly into AI data-center power delivery, the fastest-growing part of its business.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling chips to equipment makers, either directly or through distributors, recognized when the customer takes delivery — there are no subscriptions. Because MPS designs rather than manufactures, and its chips replace several older components with one, it can charge a premium over commodity power parts while keeping costs mostly to research and foundry capacity. The heaviest growth driver is the amount of power-delivery silicon each AI server rack now requires, far higher than in a conventional server.

分部营收

Storage and Computing26.3%

Power chips for memory, storage drives, notebooks and graphics cards — the largest end market.

Enterprise Data25.2%

Power-delivery chips sold directly into AI servers and data-center racks — the segment tied most closely to AI infrastructure spending.

Automotive21.2%

Power management for infotainment, lighting and driver-assistance systems sold to carmakers and their suppliers.

Communications11.1%

Power solutions for optical modules, routers and networking equipment used to build communications infrastructure.

Consumer9.1%

Chips used in televisions, home appliances and other consumer electronics.

Industrial7.1%

Power components sold into industrial and instrumentation equipment, the smallest end market.

护城河

转换成本 · 狭窄

Once an engineer designs an MPS chip into a car, server or phone, replacing it means re-qualifying a new part through months of testing — a cost few customers take on for a component that is a small fraction of the total bill of materials. That gives MPS pricing power on existing designs, but it must still win the next design cycle against larger rivals like Texas Instruments and Analog Devices from scratch.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Demand mixes a cyclical core — automotive, industrial and consumer electronics production rise and fall with the broader economy — with a newer, even more concentrated driver: how much AI server capacity a handful of hyperscalers decide to build. That second driver has been the main source of recent growth, which makes results more dependent on a few large customers' capital budgets than the older, more diversified business was.

主要风险

  • Concentration in a few AI infrastructure customers — Growth in the largest and fastest-growing segment depends on continued capital spending by a small number of very large data-center operators, whose plans can change without warning.
  • Design-win competition from larger rivals — Texas Instruments, Analog Devices and other larger analog chipmakers compete for the same design sockets, and losing a design cycle can mean years without that customer's business.
  • Dependence on outside foundries — MPS owns no fabrication plants and relies on contract manufacturers for wafers and packaging, so capacity shortages or supplier disruption limit how much it can ship.
  • Cyclical end markets — Automotive, industrial and consumer electronics production all slow in a weaker economy, and inventory corrections at customers have caused sharp swings in orders before.

客户集中度

MPS does not disclose individual customer names or percentages, but the Enterprise Data segment — its fastest-growing — is concentrated around a small number of AI computing customers, making that growth more fragile than the automotive or industrial businesses.

看多理由

Buyers argue that each new generation of AI servers needs more power-delivery silicon than the last, that MPS's design-win model locks in revenue once a chip is chosen, and that Storage/Computing and Enterprise Data growth show the company capturing a disproportionate share of that buildout.

看空理由

Sellers fear that the AI-driven growth rests on a handful of customers who could qualify a competing chip or slow their own capital spending, that automotive and industrial end markets remain cyclical, and that larger rivals with deeper resources will eventually contest the design wins MPS has won.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 42.8Score: 70Market cap: $247.17B

The largest supplier of analog power-management chips, competing with Monolithic Power for the same DC/DC converter and voltage-regulator sockets in industrial, automotive, computing and consumer boards.

P/E: 48.0Score: 70Market cap: $185.40B

Through its Linear Technology and Maxim power lines it sells high-performance regulators and power modules to the same industrial, automotive and data-centre customers Monolithic Power targets.

P/E: 68.6Score: 61Market cap: $73.11B

Competes head-on in power conversion for automotive and for AI-server power delivery, the fastest-growing part of Monolithic Power's business.

P/E: 53.0Score: 65Market cap: $28.48B

Sells power-conversion and motor-drive silicon into the same automotive and industrial customers, competing for the same design wins as Monolithic Power.

P/E: 114.4Score: 59Market cap: $2.89B

A pure-play in highly integrated power-conversion ICs, overlapping directly with Monolithic Power in AC/DC and DC/DC supplies for appliances, industrial and consumer equipment.

Renesas Electronics Corporation (ルネサスエレクトロニクス株式会社)6723

Its Intersil-derived power-management portfolio bids for the same multiphase controllers and point-of-load regulators in computing, communications and automotive designs.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$3.27B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$802M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$666M

股东权益合计

$3.53B

负债合计

$663M

流动比率

4.98

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.02

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$1106.97

当前价格

$1436.45

安全边际

-29.8%

公允价值区间

$719.53 - $1494.40

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$1839.80
现金流折现法(DCF):$464.85
市盈率法(P/E):$689.42
格雷厄姆成长公式:$846.33
盈利能力价值(EPV):$107.91
合理市净率(P/B):$130.37
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$61.54
P/FFO(运营资金):$219.44
周期中段收益:$265.91
市销率法(P/S):$326.98
分析师共识:强力买入 (19B / 4H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+8.63%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

83.09

ROE

17.6%

市净率(P/B)

17.17

P/FCF

114.22

毛利率

55.2%

ROIC

17.7%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

17.7%

WACC

14.0%

ROIC − WACC

+3.8 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 21.91%
  • Price CAGR 32.40%
  • ROIC 17.7%
  • Gross Margin 55.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 28.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 21.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 27.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.03
  • Share Dilution -1.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(7)

  • P/FCF 114.22
  • P/B Ratio 17.17
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG Ratio 2.71
  • Net Margin Trend 24.5% vs 65.6%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.03

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-1.0%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Michael R. HsingFounder, Chairman, President & CEO65
Mr. Deming XiaoExecutive Vice President of Global Operations62
Ms. Saria TsengEVP of Strategic Corporate Development, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary54
Mr. Maurice SciammasExecutive Vice President of Worldwide Sales & Marketing65
Mr. Robert W. Dean IIInterim Chief Financial Officer60
Ms. Genevieve CunninghamSenior Manager of Marketing Communications-
Mr. Tony BalowVice President of Finance-
Arthur LeeFinance Manager-

审计风险

10

董事会风险

8

薪酬风险

4

股东权利风险

9

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-27

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-10

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MPWR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/15/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Monolithic Power Systems 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $1000 in Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) five years ago would have grown to approximately $4,790 today, representing a significant return of 379%. This performance outpaces the broader market and highlights the company's strong growth trajectory and investor appeal. MPWR's consistent revenue increases and expanding market share in the power management semiconductor sector have been key drivers. Investors considering the stock should note its historical performance as an indicator of potential future gains, though past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

via Markets Gazette