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NRG Energy Inc (NRG)

合理估值
UtilitiesUtilities - Independent Power ProducersUnited States

基本面

55

价格

$95.26

市值

$20.39B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through the Texas, East, West/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities segments. The company offers retail electricity, energy management, demand response and virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, smart home security, and automation services. It also offers system power, distributed and backup generation, energy storage, energy management, renewable and low-carbon products, and carbon management solutions for large business and commercial customers; a cloud-based home platform, including hardware, software, sales, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring solutions; and generation portfolio includes fossil fuel and renewable generation assets diversified by fuel type and dispatch level, with ongoing development of new natural gas and renewable projects. In addition, the company trades in power, natural gas, and related products; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. It offers its products and services under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint. It serves residential, commercial, government, industrial, data center, and wholesale customers. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 23.3Score: 57Market cap: $46.32B

Vistra is NRG's closest mirror image: a large merchant generation fleet paired with retail electricity brands (TXU Energy, Ambit) that compete household by household against NRG's Reliant and Green Mountain in the deregulated Texas and Northeast markets.

P/E: 24.8Score: 58Market cap: $92.69B

Constellation sells unregulated power to residential, commercial and industrial customers in the same deregulated states, and after absorbing Calpine's gas fleet and retail platform in January 2026 it competes with NRG for the same large data-centre and business supply contracts.

P/E: —Score: 39Market cap: $14.37B

Talen is an independent power producer selling merchant generation into the same PJM and ERCOT wholesale markets where NRG earns its generation margin, and it courts the same large-load customers for direct power supply deals.

P/E: 14.8Score: 50Market cap: $41.13B

Outside Texas, NRG's retail arms must win customers away from incumbent regulated utilities, and Exelon's distribution companies (ComEd, PECO, BGE, Pepco) are the default supplier NRG has to displace in Illinois and the Mid-Atlantic.

Engie SANot tracked

Engie's North American retail supply business sells electricity and natural gas to commercial and industrial customers in the same deregulated states, bidding for the same business supply contracts as NRG Business.

ADT Inc.ADT

ADT competes directly with the Vivint smart-home business NRG acquired in 2023, selling monitored security and home-automation subscriptions to the same residential households.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$32.64B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$849M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$766M

股东权益合计

$1.68B

负债合计

$27.46B

流动比率

0.97

利息覆盖率

1.97

债务/EBITDA

7.22

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

受监管公用事业合理估值

公允价值

$89.82

当前价格

$95.26

安全边际

-6.1%

公允价值区间

$58.39 - $121.26

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$188.56
现金流折现法(DCF):$123.94
市盈率法(P/E):$38.42
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$65.45
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$30.51
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:不适用于此类公司
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:强力买入 (17B / 4H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-13.08%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

24.84

ROE

51.4%

市净率(P/B)

4.14

P/FCF

57.78

毛利率

-

ROIC

5.3%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

5.3%

WACC

6.6%

ROIC − WACC

-1.3 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 24.92%
  • ROIC 5.3%
  • Operating Margin 6.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 25.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 27.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.53
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.83
  • Share Dilution -4.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.6% vs 1.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(10)

  • EPS CAGR 4.06%
  • P/FCF 57.78
  • P/B Ratio 4.14
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.4%

不可用(2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.83

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-4.4%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Robert J. GaudettePresident, CEO & Director52
Mr. Bruce ChungEVP & CFO51
Mr. Brian E. Curci J.D.Executive VP of Legal & General Counsel47
Dr. Lawrence Stephen Coben Ph.D.Advisor66
Mr. Brad BentleyExecutive Vice President & President of NRG Consumer49
Mr. Gerald Alfred SpencerSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer43
Mr. Dak LiyanearachchiExecutive VP & CTO56
Ms. Virginia Kirkland KinneyExecutive VP & Chief Administrative Officer51
Mr. Brendan MulhernHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Christopher S. MoserExecutive VP and Head of Competitive Markets & Policy54

审计风险

4

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

5

股东权利风险

5

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-24

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-04

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-04

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for NRG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/3/2026POSITIVE
    Energy Companies 'Weren't Prepared' For AI Data Center Boom Says NRG's Caroline Golin

    Caroline Golin, chief growth and policy officer at NRG Energy, highlighted that the rapid expansion of AI data centers has outpaced existing energy infrastructure, catching many energy companies unprepared for the surge in demand. Despite the current strain on the grid, Golin indicated that the industry is actively working to enhance infrastructure to meet future growth requirements. This situation presents a significant opportunity for energy providers like NRG to invest in and develop the necessary capacity, potentially leading to increased revenue and strategic positioning in the evolving energy landscape.

  • 5/17/2026POSITIVE
    New NRG Energy CEO leans into growth with ‘bring your own power’ for the AI boom and affordability with ‘virtual power plants’

    NRG Energy Inc. is poised for a growth-focused strategy under new CEO Robert Gaudette, aiming to address power constraints driven by the AI boom and affordability concerns through innovative solutions. The company plans to leverage 'bring your own power' initiatives and 'virtual power plants' to meet escalating energy demands and provide cost-effective solutions for residents. This forward-looking approach signals a proactive stance in adapting to market shifts and technological advancements, potentially enhancing NRG's market position and profitability.

  • 3/24/2026NEUTRAL
    NRG CEO on Houston Power Project and Power Demand Outlook

    NRG Energy CEO Lawrence Coben provided insights into the company's strategic direction and its significant Houston power project during an interview at CERAWeek. The discussion, facilitated by Bloomberg's Julie Fine, touched upon the company's operational plans and outlook for power demand. While specific financial figures or forward-looking guidance were not detailed in this excerpt, the conversation highlights NRG's active engagement in key energy infrastructure developments and market trends. Investors will be monitoring future announcements for concrete performance indicators and strategic execution updates.

  • 3/2/2026NEGATIVE
    LS Power to Seek $2.1 Billion in NRG Energy Share Sale

    LS Power is reportedly seeking to divest a substantial stake in NRG Energy Inc., aiming to raise up to $2.1 billion. This significant share sale, according to sources familiar with the matter, is likely to put downward pressure on NRG's stock price. Such a large block sale by a major investor like LS Power is often perceived by the market as a potential supply overhang, which could negatively impact the share valuation. Investors should closely monitor the execution of this transaction and the market's reaction, particularly given the broader context where the stock market has recently shrugged off geopolitical tensions.

  • 2/25/2026POSITIVE
    Tuesday’s Runners, 5 Fresh Ideas

    Tuesday's trading session proved highly profitable for investors following options signals, with five out of six recommendations yielding significant intraday gains. Notably, call options on NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) delivered the day's top performance, underscoring strong upside potential for the underlying stock. This success highlights the effectiveness of pre-market analysis-driven trading strategies and suggests a positive sentiment for NRG, which could continue to benefit from this upward momentum. Investors should closely monitor NRG for further opportunities.

  • 2/24/2026NEGATIVE
    NRG Energy Reports Better-Than-Expected Earnings Results

    NRG Energy reported better-than-expected earnings results before the market opened, a development that typically bodes well for investor sentiment. However, shares of the company (NASDAQ: NRG) experienced a notable decline on Tuesday. This counterintuitive market reaction suggests that investors might be focusing on other underlying factors, such as cautious future guidance, potential margin pressures, or other concerns not immediately apparent from the headline earnings figures alone. Investors should closely monitor the reasons behind this negative response, as it could indicate deeper issues beyond the quarterly numbers.

  • 5/27/2025POSITIVE
    NRG CEO Larry Coben rides the power wave as the top performing stock in the S&P 500 for 2025

    NRG Energy Inc. is riding a significant growth wave, positioning itself as one of the top-performing stocks in the S&P 500 for 2025. Under the leadership of CEO Larry Coben, NRG is implementing an aggressive strategy that includes doubling its natural gas-fired power plant fleet through targeted acquisitions. This strategic move not only strengthens its production capacity but also prepares it to thrive regardless of the data center power boom. Investors should note NRG's commitment to expanding and diversifying its energy sources, signaling a robust growth outlook and operational resilience in an evolving energy market.

via Markets Gazette