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Progressive Corp (PGR)

被低估
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & CasualtyUnited States

基本面

81

价格

$208.85

市值

$121.58B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. The company also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, it offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provides related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 4.4Score: 81Market cap: $57.54B

Allstate is the fourth-largest US personal auto writer and competes with Progressive on both auto and homeowners policies, through agents and increasingly through its own direct brands.

P/E: 9.6Score: 79Market cap: $75.75B

Travelers is one of the largest US commercial auto and small-business insurers, competing with Progressive's Commercial Lines segment for fleet, contractor and trucking policies.

State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance CompanyNot tracked

State Farm is the other carrier at the top of the US private passenger auto market, writing roughly the same premium volume as Progressive and competing for the same household auto and home policies nationwide.

GEICO (Government Employees Insurance Company)Not tracked

GEICO is Progressive's closest rival in the direct-to-consumer auto channel, selling online and by phone to the same price-sensitive US drivers and spending heavily on the same advertising battleground.

United Services Automobile Association (USAA)Not tracked

USAA is a top-five US personal auto and property insurer that competes directly for military families and veterans, a segment Progressive also courts with dedicated pricing and bundles.

Liberty Mutual Holding Company Inc.Not tracked

Liberty Mutual writes personal auto and home insurance across the US alongside a large commercial book, overlapping with Progressive in both the personal and small-business lines.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$91.06B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$11.70B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$17.20B

股东权益合计

$30.32B

负债合计

$92.72B

流动比率

0.09

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.54

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

保险被低估

公允价值

$293.87

当前价格

$208.85

安全边际

+28.9%

公允价值区间

$196.67 - $391.06

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$231.38
现金流折现法(DCF):不适用于此类公司
市盈率法(P/E):$246.16
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):不适用于此类公司
合理市净率(P/B):$406.20
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$127.38
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:不适用于此类公司
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:持有 (12B / 18H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:-0.45%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

10.40

ROE

37.3%

市净率(P/B)

3.51

P/FCF

7.56

毛利率

-

ROIC

-

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-

WACC

7.6%

ROIC − WACC

-

基本面分析标准

通过(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 14.62%
  • Price CAGR 19.88%
  • P/FCF 7.56
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 35.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 15.5%
  • PEG Ratio 0.71
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
  • Share Dilution -0.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 12.8% vs 12.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(5)

  • P/B Ratio 3.51
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.8%

不可用(6)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.40

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.1%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Ms. Susan Patricia GriffithPresident, CEO & Director61
Mr. Patrick K. CallahanPresident of Personal Lines55
Mr. John Joseph MurphyPresident of Claims56
Ms. Karen Barone BailoPresident of Commercial Lines57
Mr. Andrew John QuiggVP & CFO46
Mr. Jonathan S. BauerChief Investment Officer47
Mr. Carl G. JoyceVP & Chief Accounting Officer43
Mr. Steven Anthony BrozChief Information Officer55
Ms. Julianna Paterra C.F.A.Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. David M. StringerVP, Secretary & Chief Legal Officer50

审计风险

7

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

3

股东权利风险

6

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-03-02

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-03

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-18

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PGR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/25/2026POSITIVE
    $100 Invested In Progressive 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Progressive Corporation five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance and growth trajectory. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, such an article typically highlights substantial capital appreciation driven by factors like increased market share, successful product launches, and favorable industry conditions. Investors would view this as a testament to Progressive's robust business model and its ability to generate wealth over the medium term, potentially encouraging further investment.

  • 4/16/2026POSITIVE
    These Analysts Increase Their Forecasts On Progressive Following Q1 Earnings

    Progressive Corporation (PGR) announced robust Q1 earnings, reporting $4.96 per share, a 6.4% increase year-over-year. Sales also saw a healthy uptick, growing 8% to reach $20.97 billion. Following this strong performance, several analysts have revised their price targets upward for the stock. This positive earnings report and subsequent analyst upgrades suggest growing investor confidence and potential for continued stock appreciation.

via Markets Gazette