Salesforce Inc (CRM)
Fair ValueFundamental
77
Price
$233.21
Market Cap
$187.04B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Salesforce sells cloud-based enterprise software that companies use to manage their relationships with customers: sales pipelines, customer service cases, marketing campaigns, e-commerce storefronts, data integration and analytics. The customer never installs anything — the software runs on Salesforce's infrastructure and is reached through a browser or an app. In fiscal 2026 (the year ended 31 January 2026) the company generated $41.5 billion of revenue, up 10% year over year, and it now markets its products under the umbrella of the AI-driven 'Agentforce 360 Platform'. Its customers range from small businesses to the largest multinationals, across essentially every industry and every major geography. Salesforce has grown as much by acquisition as organically — Slack, Tableau, MuleSoft and, in November 2025, the data-management company Informatica.
How it makes money
Almost everything is subscription revenue. Customers sign multi-year contracts for a number of user licences or a volume of usage, pay in advance (usually annually), and the revenue is recognised evenly over the life of the contract. In fiscal 2026 subscription and support brought in $39.4 billion of the $41.5 billion total — roughly 95% — and the remaining $2.1 billion came from professional services: consulting, implementation and training, a lower-margin business that mostly exists to get the subscriptions live. The model produces very visible forward revenue: the company reported approximately $72.4 billion of total remaining performance obligation at 31 January 2026, that is, contracted business not yet recognised, up 14% year over year. Growth comes from three places: new customers, more seats inside existing customers, and selling additional clouds or AI add-ons to accounts that already use one.
Revenue by segment
Customer-service software: case management, call-centre consoles, self-service portals and, increasingly, AI agents that answer customer requests. Sold to support and contact-centre organisations. $9,818 million in fiscal 2026.
The original CRM product: managing leads, opportunities, forecasts and sales-team activity. Sold to sales organisations, from a handful of reps to global sales forces. $9,028 million in fiscal 2026.
Tools for building custom applications on Salesforce's infrastructure, the Slack collaboration service, industry-specific products and, from November 2025, Informatica. Sold to IT departments and to customers who want to extend the standard products. $8,882 million in fiscal 2026, including $388 million of subscription revenue from Informatica.
MuleSoft, which connects Salesforce to the rest of a company's systems, and Tableau, which turns company data into charts and dashboards. Sold to data and IT teams. $6,232 million in fiscal 2026.
Campaign management, email and journey automation, plus software for running online storefronts. Sold to marketing departments and to retailers and brands selling direct. $5,428 million in fiscal 2026 — the slowest-growing of the offerings, up about 3% year over year.
Consulting, implementation, migration and training delivered by Salesforce's own people to get customers onto the software. $2,137 million in fiscal 2026, down from $2,216 million the year before — the only line that shrank.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · WideOnce a company runs its sales pipeline, its service cases and its custom-built applications on Salesforce, moving away means re-training every user, rebuilding integrations to the rest of the IT estate and migrating years of customer history. That cost is what keeps renewal rates high and lets the company sell additional products into accounts it already has. Two things reinforce it: the ecosystem of consultants, independent developers and third-party apps built around the platform, and the fact that MuleSoft and Slack sit in the plumbing between Salesforce and everything else a company uses. It is not an unassailable position — the company itself lists customer attrition and the possible withdrawal of third-party developers among its risk factors — but the evidence of a 14% increase in contracted, not-yet-recognised revenue points to customers who stay.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDemand is neither defensive nor sharply cyclical. The stabiliser is the contract structure: multi-year subscriptions paid in advance, with about $72.4 billion of contracted revenue already booked but not yet recognised at 31 January 2026, so a downturn cannot remove revenue quickly — it slows the rate at which new revenue is added. The cyclical part is that Salesforce sells per user. Demand tracks corporate IT budgets and, more directly, corporate headcount: when clients stop hiring or cut staff, seat counts fall at renewal even if nobody cancels. The company names weakened economic conditions among its risk factors. Fiscal 2026 growth of 10%, with Marketing and Commerce up only about 3% while Platform, Slack and Other grew sharply, also shows demand shifting between product lines rather than moving as one block.
Key risks
- Security breaches and cybersecurity incidents — Salesforce holds its customers' commercial and personal data on its own systems. The company lists breaches, unauthorised access and incidents affecting its infrastructure among its principal risks: such an event could expose customer data, trigger liability and regulatory action, and damage the brand on which sales depend.
- Intense competition, including from AI-native entrants — The filing describes a market contested by large diversified software vendors and, explicitly, by 'AI-native companies and emerging startups that leverage generative AI and large language models as core foundation of their architecture, offering specialized, autonomous, or automated solutions'. Competitors may price more aggressively or move faster.
- Social, ethical and regulatory issues around artificial intelligence — The company flags the development, deployment, use and capabilities of AI in its offerings as a risk in its own right: evolving rules, unintended outputs and public scrutiny could constrain the products it is now building its strategy around.
- Acquisition integration — Salesforce lists the challenges of integrating acquired businesses among its risks. This is not abstract: Informatica closed in November 2025 and contributed $388 million of subscription revenue in fiscal 2026, and Slack, Tableau and MuleSoft all arrived the same way.
- Privacy laws and restrictions on cross-border data transfer — As a custodian of personal data operating worldwide, the company is exposed to privacy legislation and to rules restricting where data may be stored and moved — a category of risk it lists separately, alongside industry-specific regulation of its customers.
- Customer attrition and long, complex enterprise sales cycles — The subscription model only works if customers renew. The filing lists customer attrition, disruption in the sales organisation and the length and complexity of enterprise sales cycles as distinct risks — revenue is recognised over time, so a bad selling year shows up slowly and then persists.
- Weakened economic conditions — Among its general risks the company lists weakened economic conditions, which reach it through customers' IT budgets and headcount: fewer employees at a client means fewer licences to renew.
- Service defects, outages and dependence on third parties — Because everything runs on Salesforce's own infrastructure, defects or disruptions in the service — including interruptions at the third-party providers it relies on — hit every customer at once.
Customer concentration
There is no concentration to speak of. The 10-K states plainly: 'None of our customers accounted for more than ten percent of our revenues in fiscal years 2026, 2025 or 2024.' The filing does not disclose a combined share for the largest customers, so no number can be given. The revenue base is spread across businesses of every size and essentially every industry and geography — the exposure is to the corporate spending cycle as a whole, not to any one account.
The case for
Buyers argue that the business is about as predictable as enterprise software gets: roughly 95% of fiscal 2026 revenue was recurring subscription, contracted future revenue reached about $72.4 billion (up 14%, faster than the 10% revenue growth), and no customer is worth more than ten percent of the top line. They point to profitability that keeps improving alongside growth — operating income of $8.3 billion against $7.2 billion the year before, an operating margin of about 20% versus roughly 19%, and $15.0 billion of cash from operations, up 15%. On the product side, they argue that AI is a reason to buy more Salesforce rather than less: the agents are sold into the same accounts, on top of data the customer has already put in the platform, and the Platform, Slack and Other line growing from $7.2 billion to $8.9 billion is read as early evidence. They add that Informatica strengthens the data layer these agents depend on.
The case against
Sellers fear that the same AI wave is a threat rather than a tailwind. Salesforce's own risk factors name 'AI-native companies and emerging startups' that build on generative models as competitors offering specialised, autonomous or automated solutions — and if an agent can do the work a licensed user used to do, a business priced per seat is exposed at its foundation. They point to a top line growing 10% at a company of this size, with Marketing and Commerce up only about 3% and professional services actually shrinking from $2,216 million to $2,137 million, and note that $399 million of the fiscal 2026 increase came from Informatica rather than from the existing business. That leads to the second worry: a company that has bought Slack, Tableau, MuleSoft and now Informatica carries permanent integration risk, which the filing itself lists, and each deal makes it harder to tell bought growth from earned growth. Sellers also note that the company's own risk factors include customer attrition, long enterprise sales cycles and weakened economic conditions — a per-seat model shrinks quietly when clients stop hiring.
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Microsoft sells Dynamics 365 Sales, Service and Marketing to the same enterprise buyers Salesforce targets, and bundles them with Microsoft 365, Teams and Azure that many of those customers already pay for.
Oracle's Fusion Cloud CX competes head-on for large-enterprise sales, service and marketing deployments, and is the vendor closest to Salesforce by CRM application revenue in IDC's ranking.
SAP's Customer Experience suite bids for the same front-office budget in large multinationals, where SAP can attach it to the ERP backbone those companies already run.
Adobe Experience Cloud competes directly with Salesforce Marketing Cloud and Data Cloud for enterprise marketing automation, customer data and digital commerce spending.
ServiceNow's customer service and field service workflows overlap with Salesforce Service Cloud, and both now sell AI agents on top of the same enterprise platform budget.
HubSpot targets the small and mid-market end of the same sales and marketing CRM demand, where it is the alternative most often chosen instead of Salesforce.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$43.94B
Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)
Net Income
$9.66B
Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$14.40B
Total Equity
$59.14B
Total Liabilities
$53.16B
Current Ratio
0.84
Interest Coverage
8.92
Debt/EBITDA
4.45
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$250.27
Current Price
$233.21
Margin of Safety
+6.8%
Fair Value Range
$162.97 - $337.56
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
20.95
ROE
12.6%
P/B Ratio
4.92
P/FCF
12.47
Gross Margin
77.3%
ROIC
8.3%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
8.3%
WACC
9.3%
ROIC − WACC
-1.0 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (23)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 24.55%
- Price CAGR 13.73%
- ROIC 8.3%
- Gross Margin 77.3%
- P/FCF 12.47
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 19.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 20.2%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 14.3%
- Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 34.5%
- PEG Ratio 1.55
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.63
- Share Dilution -1.9%
- Net Margin Trend 22.0% vs 16.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Failed (4)
- P/B Ratio 4.92
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Unavailable (1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Marc R. Benioff | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | 60 |
| Mr. Miguel Milano | President & COO | 56 |
| Mr. Parker Harris | Co-Founder, Advisor to the CEO & Director | 58 |
| Mr. Srinivas Tallapragada | Special Advisor to the Chief Executive Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Sabastian V. Niles | President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 45 |
| Ms. Nathalie Scardino | President & Chief People Officer | - |
| Ms. Alexa Vignone | President & Chief Revenue Officer | - |
| Ms. Erin Oles | President & Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Mr. Rohan Kumar | President & Chief Platform and Engineering Officer | - |
| Mr. Guy Wanger | Chief Accounting Officer | 62 |
Audit Risk
2
Board Risk
7
Compensation Risk
9
Shareholder Rights Risk
2
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-03-02
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-27
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-17
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CRM, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 15d agoNEGATIVEAzioni Salesforce in calo per interruzione di servizio durante la conferenza
Salesforce shares experienced a 2% decline on Tuesday as its annual Dreamforce conference commenced. The stock faced further scrutiny on Wednesday due to a widespread service outage affecting customer access to parts of its cloud suite. The disruption, which began around 7:50 UTC, occurred on the second day of the flagship event. The company indicated that customers across its three operating regions, primarily in the US, might encounter significant delays, intermittent errors, or complete inaccessibility. This incident raises concerns about service reliability during a critical customer engagement period.
- 20d agoNEUTRALSalesforce’s stock has been riding a wave of AI optimism. Here’s what Wall Street wants to see next.
Salesforce's stock has been buoyed by AI enthusiasm, with investors now keenly awaiting developments from the upcoming Dreamforce conference. A key focus will be the practical integration and impact of the Claude AI partnership with Anthropic. Analysts are looking for tangible evidence of how this collaboration will translate into product innovation and enhanced customer value, which could solidify the company's position in the competitive AI landscape and justify current valuations. The market's reaction will hinge on concrete demonstrations of AI-driven growth strategies.
- 8/27/2026POSITIVESalesforce’s stock rockets 20% and gives the software sector a major lift
Salesforce Inc. experienced a significant surge, with its stock price climbing 20% following its latest earnings report. The results indicate that the rise of Artificial Intelligence is not diminishing the demand for traditional software solutions. Furthermore, the report highlighted a willingness from major AI model operators to form strategic partnerships with established vendors like Salesforce. This development suggests a synergistic future where AI and legacy software can coexist and even enhance each other, providing a strong positive outlook for the company and the broader software sector.
- 8/27/2026POSITIVEThe SaaSpocalypse that wasn’t – how Salesforce, Booking and IBM are thriving with AI
Contrary to widespread fears of a 'SaaSpocalypse,' major players like Salesforce, Booking Holdings, and IBM are demonstrating robust growth, particularly by integrating AI technologies. Salesforce, a leader in cloud-based CRM, has seen its stock perform well, indicating that its strategic AI investments are resonating with the market. This resilience suggests that companies effectively leveraging AI are not only surviving but thriving, defying sector-wide anxieties and presenting a positive outlook for investors in AI-forward SaaS companies.
- 8/26/2026POSITIVESalesforce’s stock gets an Anthropic boost — and more highlights from earnings
Salesforce Inc. surpassed Wall Street's second-quarter earnings estimates, signaling robust performance. The company also announced an expanded partnership with AI research lab Anthropic, a move that could significantly enhance its cloud and AI offerings. This dual development of strong financial results and strategic AI integration suggests Salesforce is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-driven business solutions. Investors will likely view this positively, anticipating accelerated growth and market share gains in the competitive enterprise software landscape.
via Markets Gazette