Maplebear Inc. (CART)
Juste valeurFondamental
76
Prix
$43.12
Capitalisation boursière
$10.01B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
Maplebear operates Instacart, an app that lets people order groceries online from a local store and have them shopped and delivered, usually within an hour. Instacart does not own inventory or stores: it connects shoppers (independent contractors who pick and deliver orders) with retailers who list their stock, and with consumers who pay for the convenience. It also runs an advertising business that lets brands pay to appear more prominently in search results and shelves.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Transaction revenue comes from fees and commissions on each order: delivery fees, service fees and a cut of what retailers pay to be on the platform. Advertising revenue comes from brands bidding for placement in search results and featured spots, and it carries a much higher margin than moving groceries around, which is why it has become the faster-growing and more profitable half of the business.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Delivery fees, service fees and retailer commissions charged on grocery orders placed through the app.
Fees brands pay for sponsored placement and search visibility, plus enterprise platform and membership fees.
Avantage concurrentiel
Coûts de changement · ÉtroitRetailers that integrate Instacart's ordering and fulfillment technology into their own e-commerce build real switching costs, since replacing that plumbing is disruptive. But consumers face almost no cost to open a rival delivery app instead, and several of Instacart's own retail partners are simultaneously testing or building their own delivery capabilities, which caps how durable the advantage is.
Ce qui stimule la demande
Modérément cycliqueGrocery spending itself is largely non-discretionary, but paying a premium to have it delivered is a convenience consumers can cut back on when budgets tighten, by shopping in person or choosing pickup instead. Order frequency and basket size are therefore more sensitive to the economy than grocery demand as a whole.
Principaux risques
- Retailer concentration — The top three retail partners generate roughly 43% of gross transaction value; the loss of one of them would be a large, immediate hit rather than a marginal one.
- Independent-contractor shoppers — The delivery model depends on classifying shoppers as independent contractors rather than employees; a regulatory or legal change forcing reclassification would raise costs and disrupt operations.
- Intense and shifting competition — Instacart competes against DoorDash, Uber and Amazon, and against retailers building their own delivery capabilities — some of whom are simultaneously Instacart's largest customers.
- Pandemic-era growth may not repeat — Much of Instacart's early scale came from a surge in online grocery adoption during the pandemic; the company acknowledges that pace of growth may not be representative of a maturing market.
Concentration des clients
Les principaux clients représentent 43% du chiffre d'affaires
Instacart's top three retail partners, including Kroger, together account for about 43% of gross transaction value, so losing or renegotiating with even one of them would be felt across the whole business.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that Instacart's advertising business, still a minority of revenue but growing faster and far more profitable than order fulfillment, can keep re-rating overall margins upward even if grocery-delivery order growth itself slows to match a maturing market.
Les arguments contre
Sellers fear that Instacart sits between two more powerful groups — a handful of retailers that supply nearly half its transaction volume and could build their own delivery, and gig workers whose legal status is under constant regulatory pressure — leaving less room to raise prices than the advertising growth story implies.
Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
DoorDash runs the closest rival same-day marketplace, signing the same US grocery and convenience chains, courting the same weekly-shop households and selling the same retail-media ads to consumer-goods brands.
Through Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods, Amazon sells and delivers groceries directly to the same US households, bundling the service into Prime rather than charging Instacart's separate membership.
Walmart is the largest US grocer and fulfils online orders from its own stores with its own drivers and the Walmart+ subscription, taking the same baskets Instacart would otherwise deliver.
Uber Eats has extended its courier network from restaurants into grocery and retail delivery, competing for the same retailer partnerships, the same shoppers and the same delivery couriers in the US and Canada.
Target owns Shipt, a same-day delivery membership that serves both Target's own stores and third-party grocery chains — the same two-sided model Instacart sells to retailers.
GoPuff is vertically integrated — it owns the micro-warehouses and the delivery — and targets the same urban customers for convenience and top-up grocery orders, without needing a retail partner.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$3.99B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Résultat net
$480M
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
$910M
Capitaux propres totaux
$2.52B
Passif total
$974M
Ratio de liquidité général
2.28
Couverture des intérêts
-
Dette/EBITDA
0.06
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$51.67
Prix actuel
$43.12
Marge de sécurité
+16.5%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$33.58 - $69.75
Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
23.43
ROE
17.8%
Ratio P/B
4.30
P/FCF
8.49
Marge brute
72.6%
ROIC
18.0%
Radar de rentabilité
Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)
ROIC
18.0%
WACC
9.1%
ROIC − WACC
+8.9 pp
Le ROIC dépasse le coût du capital — l'entreprise crée de la valeur pour les actionnaires.
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 22.32%
- ROIC 18.0%
- Gross Margin 72.6%
- P/FCF 8.49
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 14.8%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 16.7%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 20.4%
- Analyst Consensus 60% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.57
- Share Dilution -3.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Échoué (6)
- P/B Ratio 4.30
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -16.6%
- Net Margin Trend 12.0% vs 13.8%
Indisponible (3)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Score F de Piotroski
Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Participations institutionnelles
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Chris Rogers | Chairman, CEO & President | 46 |
| Ms. Emily Maher | CFO & Treasurer | - |
| Mr. Morgan William Fong | Chief Legal & Global Affairs Officer and Secretary | 48 |
| Mr. Mike Dee | Co-founder | - |
| Mr. Tom Maguire | VP & Head of Operations | - |
| Ms. Lisa Blackwood-Kapral | Chief Accounting Officer & Principal Accounting Officer | 57 |
| Mr. Anirban Kundu | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Rebecca Yoshiyama | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Laura Rachel Jones | Chief Marketing Officer | 43 |
| Ms. Christina Hall | Chief People Officer | - |
Risque d'audit
4
Risque du conseil
7
Risque de rémunération
10
Risque droits des actionnaires
8
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Documents
- Voir le document
Rapport annuel (10-K)
Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.
Déposé le 2026-02-26
- Voir le document
Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)
Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.
Déposé le 2026-08-07
- Voir le document
Rapport d'événement important (8-K)
Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.
Déposé le 2026-09-25
via SEC EDGAR
Historique des résultats
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CART, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 3/9/2026NEGATIVEHedge Fund Incline Global Sold Its Entire Stake in Instacart Parent Maplebear Worth $15.5 Million. Is the Stock a Buy or Sell?
Hedge fund Incline Global has divested its entire stake in Maplebear Inc., the parent company of Instacart, valued at approximately $15.5 million. This significant sell-off by a major investor raises concerns about the fund's outlook on the company's future performance and growth prospects. Maplebear Inc. operates a platform connecting consumers with personal shoppers for on-demand grocery delivery. The decision by Incline Global to exit its position could signal a lack of confidence, potentially impacting investor sentiment and the stock's valuation.
- 3/7/2026POSITIVEGoodnow Investment Group Boosts Stake in Instacart as Brands Compete for Digital Shelf Space
Goodnow Investment Group has significantly increased its stake in Instacart, the prominent online grocery marketplace. This move signals strong conviction from a key investor, likely driven by the growing competition among consumer brands for prime digital shelf space within grocery applications. This competition directly fuels Instacart's advertising revenue, a critical component for its long-term profitability. Investors will be closely monitoring how effectively Instacart can leverage this advertising demand to enhance its financial performance and market position.
via Markets Gazette