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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW)

適正価値
IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

61

株価

$150.26

時価総額

$17.08B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

C.H. Robinson arranges the movement of other companies' freight without owning any trucks, ships or planes itself. It matches shippers who need cargo moved with a network of independent carriers, handling booking, pricing, paperwork and tracking in between, and earns the spread between what it charges shippers and what it pays carriers. Most of its business is trucking within North America, with a smaller international ocean and air freight arm.

収益の仕組み

Revenue is the total price charged to shippers for arranging their freight, but profitability comes from the gross margin between that price and what C.H. Robinson pays the carrier — a spread that widens when trucking capacity is tight and narrows when there are more trucks chasing loads than freight to move. Because it owns no transportation assets, its costs scale with volume rather than with fixed fleet ownership, but its margins ride the freight market's boom-and-bust cycle.

セグメント別売上高

North American Surface Transportation71.7%

Truckload, less-than-truckload and intermodal freight brokerage across the United States, Canada and Mexico, the company's core business.

Global Forwarding19%

International ocean and air freight forwarding, including customs brokerage, for shippers moving goods across borders.

All Other Segments9.3%

Smaller businesses including produce sourcing and managed transportation services that fall outside the two core segments.

競争優位性(moat)

ネットワーク効果 · 狭い

A large base of both shippers and carriers gives C.H. Robinson more freight to match and more capacity to draw on than a smaller broker, which can mean better pricing and reliability for both sides. The advantage is narrow because freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is increasingly contested by digital freight-matching platforms that compete on the same basic function.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Freight volumes move closely with industrial production, retail sales and global trade, so spot rates and margins compress in an economic downturn and expand when the economy and trade are strong. The business is a fairly direct read on broader economic activity rather than a source of steady, non-discretionary demand.

主なリスク

  • Freight market cyclicality — Freight demand tends to move with industrial production, retail sales and global trade; volumes and spot rates fall in a downturn, compressing the spread the company earns between shipper and carrier pricing.
  • Dependence on third-party carriers — The company owns no trucks, ships or planes and relies on independent carriers for capacity; an inability to secure enough capacity can push customers toward competitors.
  • Technology disruption — Digital freight-matching platforms and automated routing tools can intensify competition and pressure the fees C.H. Robinson earns for the same brokerage function.
  • International and trade-policy exposure — The Global Forwarding business is exposed to shifts in trade policy, tariffs and geopolitical disruption to shipping routes, and the company recently exited its Europe Surface Transportation business, reflecting ongoing portfolio adjustments abroad.

顧客集中度

主要顧客が売上高の2%を占める

The company states its largest customer accounted for approximately 2% of 2025 consolidated total revenues, out of roughly 75,000 customers served — an unusually low concentration for the industry.

強気材料

Buyers argue that an unusually diversified customer base, with no single client above roughly 2% of revenue, and a large carrier network give C.H. Robinson resilience and pricing flexibility that smaller brokers lack, positioning it to gain share as freight volumes recover.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is being reshaped by digital freight-matching technology that erodes the value of a traditional broker's network, while the business remains exposed to the full swing of the freight cycle.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 46.6Score: 71Market cap: $5.72B

Landstar brokers North American truckload and flatbed freight through an agent and owner-operator network, selling to the same shippers that buy C.H. Robinson's non-asset truckload capacity.

P/E: 31.8Score: 72Market cap: $21.52B

J.B. Hunt's Integrated Capacity Solutions brokerage and its intermodal offering compete for the same North American truckload and intermodal volumes that C.H. Robinson moves for shippers.

P/E: 26.8Score: 72Market cap: $24.51B

Expeditors is a non-asset ocean and air freight forwarder with customs brokerage, competing directly with C.H. Robinson's Global Forwarding segment for international shipments from the same multinational customers.

RXO, Inc.RXO

RXO is a pure-play North American truckload freight broker that bids for the same shipper contracts and the same carrier capacity as C.H. Robinson's NAST segment, and names C.H. Robinson first among its competitors.

Total Quality Logistics, LLC (TQL)Not tracked

TQL is the largest privately held U.S. truckload broker and competes head-to-head with C.H. Robinson for spot and contract truckload freight from the same mid-market and enterprise shippers.

DSV A/SDSV

DSV is a global asset-light forwarder in air, ocean and road freight that bids for the same international freight and customs tenders as C.H. Robinson's Global Forwarding business, especially in Europe and Asia.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$17.00B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$633M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$895M

自己資本合計

$1.85B

負債合計

$3.21B

流動比率

1.58

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

2.20

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$162.53

現在株価

$150.26

安全マージン

+7.5%

適正価値レンジ

$105.64 - $219.42

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$197.56
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$228.65
利益倍率(P/E):$109.51
グレアムの成長公式:$88.72
収益力価値(EPV):$56.94
正当化されたP/B:$88.31
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$46.80
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$94.47
中間サイクル利益:$173.26
売上高倍率:$403.63
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (23B / 8H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+3.54%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

28.24

ROE

31.8%

P/B レシオ

10.62

P/FCF

25.85

粗利益率

-

ROIC

18.3%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

18.3%

WACC

8.7%

ROIC − WACC

+9.7 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 5.44%
  • Price CAGR 7.41%
  • ROIC 18.3%
  • P/FCF 25.85
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 36.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
  • Share Dilution 0.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 3.7% vs 3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

不合格(7)

  • P/B Ratio 10.62
  • Operating Margin 4.9%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.0%
  • PEG Ratio 5.10

データなし(3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-スコア

7/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

1.08

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

0.7%

株式数は安定している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. David P. BozemanPresident, CEO & Director57
Mr. Damon J. LeeChief Financial Officer47
Ms. Dorothy G. CapersChief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary63
Mr. Michael J. ShortPresident of Global Freight Forwarding55
Mr. Arun D. RajanChief Strategy & Innovation Officer56
Mr. Michael W. NeillChief Technology Officer53
Mr. Charles S. IvesSenior Director of Investor Relations53
Mr. Duncan BurnsChief Communications & Marketing Officer48
Ms. Angela K. FreemanChief Human Resources & ESG Officer57
Mr. Jordan T. KassPresident of Managed Services52

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

7

株主権利リスク

8

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-13

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-31

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-07-29

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CHRW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/14/2026POSITIVE
    The secrets of an unheralded AI success story

    Logistics giant C.H. Robinson has achieved a remarkable 45% productivity increase through the strategic deployment of AI agents, according to CEO Dave Bozeman. This significant operational improvement demonstrates a clear return on investment (ROI) from artificial intelligence initiatives within the company. The success highlights how AI can be effectively integrated into traditional industries like logistics to drive substantial efficiency gains, potentially setting a new benchmark for the sector and signaling strong future performance for C.H. Robinson.

  • 7/6/2026POSITIVE
    C.H. Robinson’s CEO is running his AI transformation on Lean principles: ‘It’s been a game-changer for this company’

    C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is implementing Lean principles to drive its AI transformation, a strategy described as a 'game-changer' by its CEO. This approach focuses on efficiency and continuous improvement, aiming to optimize processes and resource allocation within the company's artificial intelligence initiatives. By integrating Lean methodologies, C.H. Robinson seeks to enhance the effectiveness and speed of its AI development and deployment, potentially leading to significant operational advantages and competitive differentiation in the logistics sector. Investors may view this strategic focus on operational excellence within AI as a positive indicator for future growth and profitability.

via Markets Gazette