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Crane Co (CR)

合理估值
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryUnited States

基本面

52

价格

$205.72

市值

$11.96B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Crane Company is a US industrial manufacturer of highly engineered components and systems for aerospace, defense, space and process industries. It was separated from the former Crane Holdings in 2023, when the payment and merchandising business became Crane NXT, and it has kept narrowing its focus since: the Engineered Materials segment was sold effective 1 January 2025, leaving two reportable segments, Aerospace & Advanced Technologies and Process Flow Technologies. Its products are rarely visible to the end user — sensors, braking systems, power conversion units, valves and pumps — but they sit inside aircraft, defence systems, chemical and pharmaceutical plants and water networks, where failure is expensive. Full-year 2025 net sales were $2,305.0 million, up 8.2% from $2,131.2 million in 2024.

盈利方式

Crane sells physical equipment: it designs and manufactures components, then earns revenue on the original equipment sold to manufacturers and on the spare parts, repairs and replacements bought later by the operators of that equipment. In aerospace the two streams are explicit — in 2025 original equipment manufacturers accounted for 66% of Aerospace & Advanced Technologies sales and aftermarket customers for 34%, while by end market commercial was 61% and military 39%. Aftermarket demand follows the installed base and flying hours rather than new build rates, so it tends to be steadier and carries higher margins. On the process side, revenue comes from valves, pumps and fluid-handling systems sold into plant projects, maintenance budgets and distribution channels. The 10-K states that the company competes by offering high quality, technologically differentiated products at competitive prices with superior service and timely delivery.

分部营收

Process Flow Technologies54.5%

Engineered fluid handling equipment for mission critical applications that require high reliability, organised in three lines: process valves and related products (pharmaceutical, cryogenic, chemical and nuclear plants), pumps and systems (water and wastewater), and commercial valves (construction, gas utilities, municipalities). Sales were $1,256.1 million in 2025, up 4.8% from $1,198.5 million.

Aerospace & Advanced Technologies45.5%

Critical components and systems — pressure sensors, aircraft braking systems, power conversion solutions, lubrication systems — sold as original equipment and as aftermarket parts to commercial aerospace, military aerospace, defence and space customers. Sales were $1,048.9 million in 2025, up 12.4% from $932.7 million.

护城河

转换成本 · 狭窄

The filing does not use the language of competitive advantage, but the nature of the products points to one. Aerospace components are specified and qualified into a particular aircraft, engine or defence programme and then stay there for the life of the platform, which can be decades; the same qualification that makes a part hard to win makes it hard to displace, and it gives Crane the aftermarket stream that follows — 34% of segment sales in 2025. Process valves for pharmaceutical, cryogenic and nuclear service face a similar barrier of certification and proven reliability, since the cost of a failure dwarfs the price of the valve. The advantage is real but narrow: the company itself describes competing on quality, technology, price, service and delivery, which is the description of a demanding market rather than a protected one, and Process Flow's commercial valve and pump lines sell into more contested, price-sensitive channels.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Demand comes from three clocks that rarely tick together. Aircraft build rates drive the 66% of aerospace sales that go to OEMs and swing with the airframers' production; flying hours drive the 34% aftermarket, which follows the installed fleet and recovers with traffic rather than with new orders; defence budgets drive the 39% military share and move on political rather than economic time. Process Flow follows industrial capital spending and maintenance budgets in chemicals, pharmaceuticals, cryogenics and water — plant projects can be deferred in a downturn, but maintenance and replacement spending on running plants is harder to postpone. The blend is neither defensive nor deeply cyclical: revenue bends in a recession but is cushioned by aftermarket, defence and maintenance work. The company's own risk factors say plainly that demand is variable and subject to factors beyond its control.

主要风险

  • Demand is variable and largely outside the company's control — The company lists as a risk that demand for its products is variable and subject to factors it does not control, alongside changes in economic and financial market conditions in the end markets it serves and the financial condition of its customers and suppliers.
  • Supply chain disruption and raw material prices — Item 1A flags disruption of the supply chain and access to key raw materials, together with fluctuations in raw material prices, inflationary pressures and tariffs, as risks to results.
  • Acquisitions may not be found, or not integrated — The company discloses the risk that it may not identify suitable acquisition targets or may fail to integrate the businesses it buys. This matters in practice: Crane completed several acquisitions around 2025, including cryogenic businesses in Process Flow and, effective 1 January 2026, a group of sensing and inspection businesses.
  • Non-US operations and regulation — Risks are disclosed for operations outside the United States and for compliance with governmental regulation, which for a supplier to defence and nuclear customers includes export controls and programme-specific rules.
  • Cybersecurity and data breach — The filing lists cybersecurity incidents and data breaches among its risk factors, affecting both the company's own systems and the information it holds.
  • Product liability, warranty and environmental exposure — Item 1A discloses product liability and warranty claims and environmental liabilities as risks — the ordinary consequence of selling components whose failure can be serious and of operating manufacturing sites.
  • Competition, product development and people — The company flags competitive pressure, the risk of failing to develop new products, and difficulty in recruiting and retaining employees; it also discloses possible impairment of intangible assets and risks to protecting its intellectual property.

看多理由

Buyers argue that the separation left a cleaner company than the one that existed before: two segments instead of four businesses, with the Engineered Materials segment sold at the start of 2025 and the proceeds and balance sheet turned toward aerospace and process acquisitions. They point to 2025 growth of 8.2% on sales of $2,305.0 million with operating profit up 19.2% to $424.2 million and operating margin at 18.4%, and to the Aerospace segment growing 12.4% to $1,048.9 million at a 25.0% margin — evidence, in their reading, that the aerospace aftermarket and defence demand are compounding faster than the group average. They also argue that the aftermarket stream, 34% of aerospace sales, arrives regardless of new aircraft build rates, and that a growing order backlog gives visibility into future quarters.

看空理由

Sellers fear that the growth story leans on acquisitions rather than on the existing business: Process Flow, still the larger half at $1,256.1 million, grew 4.8% in 2025 and part of that came from recently acquired cryogenic businesses, while a further group of sensing and inspection businesses was added effective 1 January 2026. The company itself discloses that it may not find suitable targets or may fail to integrate the ones it buys, and each deal adds intangible assets that Item 1A says can be impaired. They also point to the risk factors the company lists as the ordinary weather of an industrial supplier: variable demand outside its control, supply chain disruption, raw material prices, inflation and tariffs. And they note the concentration by end market rather than by customer — a large part of aerospace revenue depends on commercial aircraft production rates and on defence budgets, two demand sources that a single airframer's rate cut or a budget cycle can move at once.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 37.4Score: 69Market cap: $19.66B

The closest structural match to Crane: a diversified US industrial selling highly engineered aerospace and defense components alongside severe-service industrial valves for naval and nuclear power customers, so the two bid against each other in both of Crane's segments.

P/E: 33.5Score: 74Market cap: $122.21B

Its Aerospace Systems unit sells the same fuel, hydraulic and thermal management components to Boeing, Airbus and defense primes, while its industrial flow-control lines overlap with Crane's process valves and instrumentation.

P/E: 32.8Score: 71Market cap: $61.31B

Fights for the same proprietary aircraft component slots — pumps, valves, sensors and cabin equipment — and above all for the high-margin commercial aftermarket spares revenue that drives Crane's Aerospace & Electronics profits.

P/E: 32.8Score: 75Market cap: $17.04B

Sells niche, application-specific fluid handling products — pumps, valves and flow instrumentation for pharmaceutical, chemical and water end markets — into the same specified-by-engineer purchases as Crane's process brands.

Moog Inc.MOG.A

Competes directly with Crane Aerospace & Electronics on precision motion and fluid control content for commercial aircraft, military platforms and space, including actuation, pumps and landing-system subsystems sold to the same airframers.

Flowserve CorporationFLS

A direct rival of Crane's Process Flow Technologies in engineered valves, pumps and sealing systems for chemical, petrochemical, power and water customers worldwide.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$2.59B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$336M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

-

股东权益合计

$2.06B

负债合计

$1.79B

流动比率

2.80

利息覆盖率

12.94

债务/EBITDA

2.35

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$178.22

当前价格

$205.72

安全边际

-15.4%

公允价值区间

$127.37 - $229.08

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$237.20
现金流折现法(DCF):$156.32
市盈率法(P/E):$153.63
格雷厄姆成长公式:$197.92
盈利能力价值(EPV):$62.13
合理市净率(P/B):$71.92
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$15.79
P/FFO(运营资金):$115.38
周期中段收益:$130.94
市销率法(P/S):$125.54
分析师共识:强力买入 (18B / 1H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+4.26%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

35.61

ROE

17.8%

市净率(P/B)

5.42

P/FCF

-

毛利率

41.7%

ROIC

10.5%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

10.5%

WACC

9.3%

ROIC − WACC

+1.2 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • Price CAGR 19.54%
  • ROIC 10.5%
  • Gross Margin 41.7%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.9%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 16.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 95% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.28
  • Share Dilution 0.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -3.97%
  • P/B Ratio 5.42
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -4.7%
  • PEG Ratio 2.31
  • Net Margin Trend 13.0% vs 15.8%

不可用(4)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.28

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

0.4%

股份数量稳定

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Max H. MitchellExecutive Chairman61
Mr. Alejandro A. AlcalaPresident, CEO & Director50
Mr. Richard A. Maue CPAExecutive VP & CFO54
Mr. Anthony M. D'Iorio J.D.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary61
Ms. Tamara S. PolmanteerExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer59
Ms. Marijane PapanikolaouVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer54
Mr. Bob BrownChief Information Officer-
Mr. Jason D. FeldmanSenior VP of Investor Relations, Treasury & Tax50
Mr. Gustavo CruzSenior Vice President of Crane-
Mr. Chris MitchellPresident of Crane Valve Services-

审计风险

1

董事会风险

3

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

2

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-26

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-31

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-29

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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