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Walt Disney Co (DIS)

合理估值
Communication ServicesEntertainmentUnited States

基本面

63

价格

$102.36

市值

$182.32B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and produces original content under the Disney Branded Television, FX Productions, Lucasfilm, Marvel, National Geographic Studios, Pixar, Searchlight Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, 20th Television, and Walt Disney Pictures banners. It also provides direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, and Hulu; sports-related video streaming content through ESPN, ESPN on ABC, ESPN+ DTC, and Star; sale/licensing of film and episodic content to television and video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; DVD and Blu-ray discs, electronic home video licenses, and VOD rental services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort, Disneyland Resort, Disneyland Paris, Hong Kong Disneyland Resort, Shanghai Disney Resort, Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney, as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii. Further, it licenses its intellectual property (IP) to a third party that owns and operates Tokyo Disney Resort; licenses trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games; operates a direct-to-home satellite distribution platform; sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 7.0Score: 75Market cap: $45.66B

Comcast is the only rival that meets Disney on all three of its fronts at once: film and television studios, the Peacock streaming service, and the Universal theme parks that compete directly for the same Orlando and international resort visitors.

P/E: 21.9Score: 66Market cap: $298.64B

Netflix competes for the same streaming subscriptions and viewing hours as Disney+ and Hulu, and bids against Disney for the same film and series projects, creative talent and, increasingly, live sports rights.

P/E: 106.3Score: 49Market cap: $77.43B

Warner Bros. Discovery runs the closest mirror image of Disney's entertainment business — a major film studio, a franchise library, cable networks and the HBO Max subscription service — chasing the same cinema audiences, subscribers and advertisers.

P/E: —Score: 47Market cap: $10,330

Paramount competes with Disney for theatrical box office, for broadcast and cable advertising through CBS, and for streaming subscribers with Paramount+, including in bidding for the same sports packages.

P/E: 20.0Score: 69Market cap: $2.69T

Prime Video competes for the same household viewing time, advertising budgets and premium sports rights that Disney's streaming and ESPN businesses depend on.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$98.86B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/27)

净利润

$8.60B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/27)

自由现金流

$10.08B

股东权益合计

$109.87B

负债合计

$82.90B

流动比率

0.71

利息覆盖率

9.97

债务/EBITDA

2.01

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$89.35

当前价格

$102.36

安全边际

-14.6%

公允价值区间

$61.79 - $116.91

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$126.61
现金流折现法(DCF):$78.63
市盈率法(P/E):$67.45
格雷厄姆成长公式:$78.96
盈利能力价值(EPV):$48.52
合理市净率(P/B):$27.11
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$11.85
P/FFO(运营资金):$164.29
周期中段收益:$169.48
市销率法(P/S):$116.55
分析师共识:强力买入 (34B / 3H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+9.79%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

21.67

ROE

11.3%

市净率(P/B)

1.65

P/FCF

21.84

毛利率

-

ROIC

8.5%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

8.5%

WACC

10.7%

ROIC − WACC

-2.2 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 8.5%
  • P/FCF 21.84
  • P/B Ratio 1.65
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 18.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 7.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.98
  • Share Dilution -0.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(8)

  • EPS CAGR 2.35%
  • Price CAGR 0.22%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 8.7% vs 12.2%

不可用(3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.98

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.9%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Hugh F. JohnstonSenior Executive VP & CFO63
Mr. Horacio E. Gutierrez J.D.Senior EVP and Chief Legal & Global Affairs Officer59
Ms. Sonia L. ColemanSenior EVP & Chief People Officer52
Mr. Robert Alan IgerSenior Advisor & Director74
Mr. Josh D'AmaroCEO & Director53
Ms. Dana WaldenPresident & Chief Creative Officer59
Mr. Paul RoederSenior Executive VP & Chief Communications Officer-
Mr. Asad AyazChief Marketing & Brand Officer-
Mr. Ronald L. IdenSenior VP & Chief Security Officer78
Mr. Joe SchottPresident of Walt Disney World Resort-

审计风险

5

董事会风险

1

薪酬风险

7

股东权利风险

4

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2025-11-13

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for DIS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8d agoPOSITIVE
    Disney+ Price to Jump 13% as Soon as Wednesday

    Walt Disney Co. is set to implement a significant price increase of 13% on its Disney+ streaming service, with notifications beginning as early as Wednesday. This move, as analyzed by Bloomberg Intelligence, signals a strategic shift towards prioritizing profitability and ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) within its streaming division. While potentially impacting subscriber growth in the short term, the price hike is expected to bolster revenue and margins, reflecting a maturing streaming market where subscriber acquisition costs are high and focus is shifting to monetization. Investors will be watching closely for subscriber retention rates and the impact on overall company earnings.

  • 8d agoNEGATIVE
    Walt Disney, i servizi di streaming costeranno di più

    Walt Disney Co. is set to increase prices for its streaming services, narrowing the gap with its main competitor. This move comes amid a broader industry trend of price adjustments in the competitive streaming landscape. While potentially boosting revenue for Disney's direct-to-consumer segment, the price hike could impact subscriber growth and retention. Investors will be watching subscriber numbers closely in the upcoming quarters to gauge the net effect of this strategy on overall profitability and market share.

  • 8/5/2026POSITIVE
    MNTN CEO on Disney’s Ad Business, Streaming Wars Outlook

    Disney's streaming business reported a significant 64% profit growth and 14% revenue increase, signaling strong momentum in its digital content delivery. While overall advertising sales saw a more modest 3% growth, the robust performance in streaming indicates successful monetization strategies and growing subscriber engagement. This positive trend in its core digital operations, as highlighted by MNTN CEO Mark Douglas, suggests a healthy recovery and future growth potential for Disney's media empire, potentially boosting investor confidence.

  • 7/16/2026POSITIVE
    Exclusive: Disney’s cruise ship fleet generated $3 billion in the last fiscal year—and the company plans to add 5 more in a $60 billion expansion

    Disney's cruise ship division has achieved a significant financial milestone, generating $3 billion in revenue during the last fiscal year. This strong performance is a key driver behind the company's ambitious plan to expand its fleet by five additional ships, part of a massive $60 billion investment. While Disney has historically kept these financials under wraps, the revealed figures underscore the substantial profitability and growth potential of its cruise operations. Investors should view this as a positive indicator of a high-performing, albeit previously opaque, segment contributing significantly to the company's overall value and future expansion strategy.

via Markets Gazette