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Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)

被低估
Communication ServicesTelecom ServicesUnited States

基本面

81

价格

$21.68

市值

$78.53B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Comcast is a media and telecommunications conglomerate. Its Xfinity brand sells broadband internet, cable TV and mobile phone service to U.S. households and businesses, while its NBCUniversal arm owns NBC and other television networks, the Peacock streaming service, Universal film and TV studios, and Universal theme parks. Broadband and pay-TV to homes is the core of the business; media, movies and theme parks are separate businesses bolted on around it.

盈利方式

Most revenue is a recurring monthly bill: broadband, video and wireless customers pay Comcast directly, which is why cable connectivity produces the steadiest cash flow. The rest is a mix of advertising and subscription fees earned by NBCUniversal's networks and Peacock, box-office and licensing revenue from Universal's films and shows, and ticket and merchandise spending at its theme parks — businesses with very different economics bundled under one parent.

分部营收

Residential Connectivity & Platforms57.2%

Broadband internet, video and mobile service sold to households under the Xfinity brand — Comcast's largest and steadiest source of revenue.

Media21.9%

NBC and cable television networks, the Peacock streaming service, and advertising sold across them.

Studios9.1%

Universal Pictures films and television production, earning box-office, licensing and streaming revenue from the content it makes.

Business Services Connectivity8.3%

Internet, networking and phone service sold to businesses, from small shops to large enterprise customers.

Theme Parks8%

Universal theme parks and resorts in Orlando, Hollywood, Japan and Beijing, including the newly opened Epic Universe.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

Comcast's cable and fiber lines pass tens of millions of homes that a new entrant would need years and billions of dollars to replicate, giving it a durable edge in broadband. That edge is eroding, though: fiber overbuilders and fixed-wireless home internet from Verizon and T-Mobile increasingly offer a cheaper or faster alternative in the same neighborhoods, and Comcast has been losing broadband subscribers as a result.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Broadband and pay-TV bills are close to essential household spending and hold up reasonably well in a downturn, which anchors more than half of Comcast's revenue. Advertising, box-office receipts and theme-park attendance are far more sensitive to the economy and to how much people feel like spending on entertainment, so the media and experiences side of the company swings more with the cycle.

主要风险

  • Broadband subscriber losses to fiber and fixed wireless — Fiber overbuilders and 5G home internet from Verizon and T-Mobile are taking broadband customers in Comcast's own territory, pressuring the segment that generates the bulk of its profit.
  • Cord-cutting erodes traditional pay-TV — Cable video subscribers keep leaving for streaming alternatives, shrinking a business that once anchored Comcast's residential revenue and forcing NBCUniversal to compete for the same audience through Peacock instead.
  • Streaming and content spending pressure margins — Building and marketing Peacock against much larger, established streaming rivals requires heavy ongoing content spending, and there is no guarantee the service reaches profitability on the timeline management expects.
  • Hit-driven, unpredictable studio results — Universal's film and television revenue depends on the commercial success of individual releases, which is inherently unpredictable and can swing results from one year to the next regardless of broader trends.
  • Complexity of an ongoing corporate restructuring — Comcast spun off a group of cable networks into a separate company, Versant, in 2025, and reorganized its segment reporting for 2026; investors should expect the historical comparisons underlying this profile to shift.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Comcast's broadband network remains hard to replicate even as competition intensifies, that Peacock and the newly opened Epic Universe theme park give it fresh growth engines, and that the Versant spin-off lets management focus capital on the higher-return parts of the business.

看空理由

Sellers worry that fiber and fixed-wireless competitors are structurally eroding Comcast's broadband subscriber base, that cord-cutting keeps shrinking traditional pay-TV faster than streaming can replace it, and that funding Peacock's growth will keep pressuring margins for years before it pays off.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 2.9Score: 69Market cap: $31.85B

The other large US cable operator, selling the same residential broadband, video and cable-based mobile bundle (Spectrum versus Xfinity) to the same American households and small businesses.

P/E: 8.1Score: 69Market cap: $170.62B

Named by Comcast itself as a broadband and wireless competitor: its fiber build and its fiber-plus-unlimited-mobile bundles chase the same residential and business connectivity customers.

P/E: 11.9Score: 66Market cap: $193.94B

Competes for the same home-internet and mobile subscribers through Fios fiber and fixed wireless access, and is named as a competitor in Comcast's 10-K.

P/E: 17.1Score: 65Market cap: $177.37B

Named as a wireless competitor and the most aggressive seller of 5G fixed wireless home internet, which takes broadband customers directly out of Comcast's footprint.

P/E: 21.9Score: 66Market cap: $298.64B

Named in the 10-K as a direct-to-consumer streaming competitor: it fights Peacock for the same subscription dollars and the same viewing hours.

P/E: 21.7Score: 64Market cap: $182.32B

Competes with Comcast's Content & Experiences arm on three fronts at once — Disney+ and Hulu against Peacock, its studios against Universal, and its parks against Universal Destinations & Experiences.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$124.90B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$11.20B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$21.89B

股东权益合计

$96.90B

负债合计

$175.48B

流动比率

0.80

利息覆盖率

4.16

债务/EBITDA

2.45

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$116.44

当前价格

$21.68

安全边际

+81.4%

公允价值区间

$75.69 - $157.20

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$29.65
现金流折现法(DCF):$450.61
市盈率法(P/E):$19.56
格雷厄姆成长公式:$126.57
盈利能力价值(EPV):$47.65
合理市净率(P/B):$48.01
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$30.58
P/FFO(运营资金):$280.81
周期中段收益:$204.28
市销率法(P/S):$71.90
分析师共识:持有 (16B / 21H / 3S)
最近财报超预期:+4.46%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

7.00

ROE

20.6%

市净率(P/B)

0.50

P/FCF

2.20

毛利率

-

ROIC

6.5%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

6.0%

ROIC − WACC

+0.4 pp

ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。

基本面分析标准

通过(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.95%
  • ROIC 6.4%
  • P/FCF 2.20
  • P/B Ratio 0.50
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 14.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 12.0%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.2%
  • PEG Ratio 0.37
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.90
  • Share Dilution -5.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(6)

  • Price CAGR -3.55%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 40% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 9.0% vs 18.4%

不可用(2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.90

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-5.1%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Brian L. RobertsChairman & Co-CEO65
Mr. Michael J. Cavanagh J.D.Co-CEO & Director59
Mr. Jason S. Armstrong C.F.A.Chief Financial Officer48
Mr. Thomas J. ReidChief Legal Officer & Secretary61
Ms. Jennifer Khoury NewcombChief Communications Officer51
Mr. David N. WatsonVice Chairman67
Mr. Daniel C. MurdockExecutive VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller51
Ms. Marci RyvickerExecutive Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Robert L. EatroffExecutive Vice President of Global Corporate Development & Strategy59
Mr. Samuel H. SchwartzChief Business Development Officer -Connectivity & Platforms-

审计风险

10

董事会风险

10

薪酬风险

9

股东权利风险

10

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-03

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-23

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-07-23

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CMCSA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 22d agoNEGATIVE
    Comcast Slides After CFO Says Broadband User Losses to Persist

    Comcast Corporation's stock experienced a notable decline on Wednesday following a candid statement from its Chief Financial Officer, Jason Armstrong. Armstrong indicated that the company anticipates continued losses in its broadband subscriber base through the third quarter. This persistent churn is attributed to aggressive pricing and promotional offers from competitors, which are successfully attracting Comcast's existing customers. The outlook suggests ongoing challenges in retaining market share within the competitive broadband sector, potentially impacting future revenue streams and profitability for investors.

  • 22d agoNEGATIVE
    Comcast Shares Slide as CFO Sees Internet Prices ‘Irrational’

    Comcast Corporation shares experienced a notable decline on Wednesday following comments from its Chief Financial Officer. The CFO indicated that the company's third-quarter broadband subscriber losses might exceed previous expectations, suggesting an 'irrational' pricing environment in the internet market. This sentiment implies increased competitive pressure and potential erosion of ARPU (Average Revenue Per User). Investors are likely reassessing Comcast's growth trajectory and its ability to maintain market share in a challenging telecom landscape, potentially leading to a downward revision of future earnings estimates.

  • 7/6/2026NEUTRAL
    Just a week after spin-off plan, Comcast says it will buy British broadcaster

    Comcast Corporation has announced its intention to acquire a British broadcaster, a move that comes just one week after the company revealed plans to spin off NBCUniversal. This strategic acquisition signals a potential shift in Comcast's global media strategy, aiming to expand its international footprint. While the terms of the deal and the specific target broadcaster have not yet been disclosed, the news introduces an element of strategic uncertainty for investors. The market will be closely watching for details on financing and the potential impact on Comcast's existing business segments and its previously announced NBCUniversal spin-off.

  • 7/2/2026NEUTRAL
    Trump stopped talking about these media stocks, but his portfolio didn’t stop trading them

    Despite Donald Trump's public silence on certain media stocks, his portfolio has reportedly maintained trading activity in Comcast and Warner Bros. Discovery. This news emerges amidst ongoing speculation about potential mergers and acquisitions within the media sector. While the specific trading volumes and timing are not detailed, the continued involvement suggests a strategic interest, possibly anticipating sector consolidation or valuing these companies independently of Trump's public commentary. Investors should monitor M&A developments and the broader media landscape for potential impacts on these holdings.

  • 7/1/2026NEUTRAL
    Headline: Telecom Shakeup: Comcast, Verizon Make Deals

    Comcast announced a significant strategic shift, planning to spin off its NBCUniversal and Sky media units into a separate, publicly traded entity. This move allows Comcast to concentrate on its core cable TV, broadband, and wireless operations. Concurrently, Verizon is forming a joint venture with BT Group for their international businesses, aiming to divest low-margin units and refocus domestically. While these are major corporate restructurings, their immediate impact on the parent companies' stock prices is uncertain, as the market assesses the long-term value of these strategic realignments and the future performance of the spun-off entities.

  • 6/30/2026NEUTRAL
    Will the Comcast-NBCU spinoff pay off for investors? Here’s what history has to say.

    Comcast plans to spin off its NBCUniversal division, aiming to unlock value for shareholders by separating its cable and broadband operations from its media and entertainment assets. While Comcast anticipates this strategic move will benefit both entities, historical precedents for similar media spinoffs present a mixed track record. Investors will be closely watching the execution of this plan and its impact on the distinct business segments, as past instances have yielded varied results, making the long-term outcome uncertain.

via Markets Gazette