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Kroger Co (KR)

合理估值
Consumer DefensiveGrocery StoresUnited States

基本面

39

价格

$58.62

市值

$35.25B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

The Kroger Co. operates as a food and drug retailer in the United States. The company operates combination food and drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price impact warehouses. Its combination food and drug stores offer natural food and organic sections, pharmacies, general merchandise, pet centers, fresh seafood, and organic produce; and its multi-department stores provide apparel, home fashion and furnishings, outdoor living, electronics, automotive products, and toys. The company's marketplace stores offer full-service grocery, pharmacy, health and beauty care, and perishable goods, as well as general merchandise, including apparel, home goods, and toys; and its price impact warehouse stores provide grocery, and health and beauty care items, as well as meat, dairy, baked goods, and fresh produce items. It also manufactures and processes food products for sale in its supermarkets and online; and sells fuel through its fuel centers. The company sells its products through its stores, fuel centers, and online platforms. The Kroger Co. was founded in 1883 and is based in Cincinnati, Ohio.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 72.6Score: 47Market cap: $5.65B

The closest like-for-like rival: a national chain of full-service supermarkets (Safeway, Vons, Jewel-Osco) selling the same weekly grocery basket, with private-label and loyalty programs, to the same US households Kroger serves.

P/E: 37.7Score: 58Market cap: $853.59B

The largest seller of groceries in the United States, competing store by store with Kroger on food prices, on pickup and delivery, and for the same weekly shopping trip.

P/E: 45.8Score: 69Market cap: $397.57B

A club-store chain that now takes a share of US grocery spending close to Kroger's own, drawing the same families with bulk food, fresh departments and fuel stations.

Publix Super Markets, Inc.Not tracked

An employee-owned supermarket chain that competes head-on with Kroger for the conventional grocery shopper in the Southeast, the region where Kroger's own banners are strongest.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.AD

Through its US banners (Food Lion, Stop & Shop, Giant, Hannaford) it runs the same conventional supermarket format for the same East Coast and Southeastern shoppers.

Aldi Einkauf SE & Co. oHG (Aldi Süd / Aldi Nord)Not tracked

A privately held discounter expanding fast across the US, taking price-sensitive food shoppers from Kroger with a small private-label assortment sold below supermarket prices.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$147.64B

截至2026/1/31的财政年度

净利润

$1.02B

截至2026/1/31的财政年度

自由现金流

$3.46B

股东权益合计

$5.93B

负债合计

$44.02B

流动比率

0.70

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

4.31

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$61.89

当前价格

$58.62

安全边际

+5.3%

公允价值区间

$40.23 - $83.54

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$67.91
现金流折现法(DCF):$121.06
市盈率法(P/E):$20.09
格雷厄姆成长公式:$13.84
盈利能力价值(EPV):$33.71
合理市净率(P/B):$3.86
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$18.46
P/FFO(运营资金):$117.79
周期中段收益:$109.38
市销率法(P/S):$290.95
分析师共识:买入 (19B / 14H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-0.12%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

38.76

ROE

17.1%

市净率(P/B)

5.93

P/FCF

14.52

毛利率

-

ROIC

4.7%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

4.9%

ROIC − WACC

-0.2 pp

ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。

基本面分析标准

通过(9)

  • Price CAGR 5.42%
  • P/FCF 14.52
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Analyst Consensus 58% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.18
  • Share Dilution -9.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -0.64%
  • ROIC 4.7%
  • P/B Ratio 5.93
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 1.3%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 3.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.2%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.4%

不可用(5)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

6.18

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-9.1%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Ronald L. Sargent M.B.A.Non-Executive Chairman69
Mr. David John Christopher KennerleyExecutive VP & CFO51
Ms. Mary Ellen AdcockExecutive VP and Chief Merchant & Marketing Officer49
Mr. Timothy A. MassaExecutive VP & Chief Associate Experience Officer58
Mr. Yael CossetExecutive VP & Chief Digital Officer51
Mr. Gregory S. ForanCEO & Director64
Mr. Robinson C. Quast CPAVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. George H. Vincent Esq., J.D.EVP, Secretary & General Counsel-
Mr. Keith G. DaileyGroup VP of Corporate Affairs,44
Mr. Michael MarxSenior Vice President of Retail Divisions-

审计风险

4

董事会风险

7

薪酬风险

7

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-03-31

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-09-18

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-11

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for KR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 20d agoNEGATIVE
    Kroger Cuts Sales Forecast, Oracle Gains | Stock Movers

    Kroger has lowered its annual sales forecast, citing intense competition for consumer grocery spending. This downward revision signals potential market share challenges and weaker-than-anticipated revenue generation for the supermarket giant. Investors should monitor Kroger's ability to adapt its pricing and promotional strategies to counter competitive pressures and regain sales momentum in the coming quarters.

  • 6/19/2026NEGATIVE
    Kroger's new CEO reveals the chain's biggest problems

    Kroger's new CEO has identified significant pricing disadvantages compared to rivals like Walmart, Target, and Costco. These competitors leverage broader product assortments beyond groceries to offer lower markups on household basics, directly impacting consumer price sensitivity. This competitive pressure suggests Kroger may face ongoing challenges in maintaining market share and margins if it cannot effectively address its pricing structure. Investors should monitor Kroger's strategic responses to this fundamental competitive hurdle.

  • 6/18/2026NEGATIVE
    Kroger Falls on Downbeat Forecast; Intel Surges on Apple Deal | Stock Movers

    Kroger shares experienced their largest intraday decline since October 2022 following a subdued earnings forecast. The company's CFO indicated that adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) for the second quarter is anticipated to remain flat compared to the previous year. This lack of expected growth signals potential headwinds or increased competition, prompting investors to re-evaluate their positions and contributing to the significant sell-off observed in the stock.

  • 6/15/2026NEUTRAL
    Kroger Likely To Report Higher Q1 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call

    Kroger is slated to report its first-quarter earnings on June 18, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $1.59 and revenue of $45.49 billion. While the consensus estimates provide a benchmark, the stock's performance on Friday, a slight 0.6% dip to $51.26, suggests market anticipation is mixed. Recent analyst ratings from March 2022 show a range of opinions, from 'Hold' to 'Outperform,' indicating no strong consensus direction ahead of the earnings call. Investors will be closely watching for any surprises relative to these expectations.

  • 6/12/2026POSITIVE
    How To Earn $500 A Month From Kroger Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

    Kroger's stock offers an annual dividend yield of 2.18%, translating to $1.40 per share annually. To achieve a monthly income of $500, an investor would need to accumulate $6,000 annually from dividends. This implies a significant investment in Kroger stock, as the current yield suggests a substantial capital outlay is required to generate such income. The article highlights the potential for dividend income from Kroger ahead of its Q1 earnings report, which could influence investor sentiment and stock price.

  • 3/31/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $1000 In Kroger Stock 15 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $1,000 in Kroger Co. stock 15 years ago would have grown to approximately $4,500 today, representing a significant return on investment. This performance, which outpaces many market benchmarks over the same period, highlights the company's consistent operational execution and ability to navigate the competitive grocery landscape. The growth trajectory suggests strong shareholder value creation through a combination of stock appreciation and reinvested dividends, making Kroger an attractive option for long-term income and growth-focused investors.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    Why Kroger Stock Popped Today

    Kroger stock saw a significant pop today, with investors identifying good value in the company's shares. While specific catalysts aren't detailed, the increased investor interest points to a positive outlook on Kroger's future prospects, possibly linked to attractive valuations or expectations of solid performance. This market movement indicates growing confidence in Kroger's growth potential and stability.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    Kroger extended its streak of sales misses — but that’s not hurting its profits

    Despite missing sales expectations for the quarter, Kroger Co. reported earnings per share that beat forecasts, showing increased profitability per sales dollar. The stock outperformed the market, closing higher on a day of broad selloffs. This outcome suggests that while revenue growth may be under pressure, cost management and operational efficiency are improving, benefiting margins. For investors, the ability to generate solid profits even with weaker-than-expected sales is a sign of resilience and potential value.

  • 3/4/2026POSITIVE
    How To Earn $500 A Month From Kroger Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

    Kroger Co. offers an annual dividend yield of 2.04%, amounting to $1.40 per share. The article details how investors can leverage this yield to generate $500 in monthly income. While specific strategies are not elaborated, the focus on dividend income generation points to an opportunity for income-focused investors, particularly ahead of upcoming Q4 earnings. The stability of the grocery sector and Kroger's dividend policy could attract investment seeking consistent cash flows.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    $100 Invested In Kroger 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    Markets Gazette notes that a $100 investment in Kroger Co. two decades ago would have yielded a significant return. While this retrospective analysis doesn't offer an immediate trading signal, it underscores the importance of a long-term perspective and selecting robust companies in the retail sector. Kroger, with its extensive supermarket network and established position in the U.S. market, has demonstrated a remarkable ability to create shareholder value over twenty years. Investors can draw insights from such historical performance to assess the resilience and sustainable growth potential of companies with stable business models, even in mature industries. It serves as a reminder that patience and careful selection can pay off over time.

via Markets Gazette