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Old National Bancorp (ONB)

Fair bewertet
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

60

Kurs

$24.64

Marktkapitalisierung

$9.60B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Old National Bancorp is the holding company for Old National Bank, a regional bank operating 346 banking centers across the Midwest and Southeast United States. It earns money the way most commercial banks do: taking deposits, making commercial and consumer loans, and charging fees for wealth management, trust and capital-markets services. The bank traces its roots to 1834 and has grown mainly through acquisitions, most recently absorbing Bremer Financial Corporation in 2025.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue is mostly net interest income: the spread between interest earned on loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Lending covers commercial, commercial real estate, residential and consumer loans. A smaller share comes from noninterest income — service charges on deposit accounts, and fees from wealth management, brokerage and capital-markets activities. Profitability rises when loan demand and interest margins are healthy and falls when credit losses or funding costs increase.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Old National's earnings depend on the health of the regional economy: unemployment, business confidence and interest rates directly affect loan demand, credit losses and deposit costs. The company states that unfavorable economic conditions have in the past reduced earnings by weakening borrowers' ability to repay, and that tariff and geopolitical uncertainty can add further volatility.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Credit losses tied to economic conditions — Old National states that unfavorable or uncertain economic conditions — recession, unemployment, falling real estate values — have adversely affected, and could again affect, borrowers' ability to repay loans and the value of collateral securing them.
  • Competition from banks and fintechs — The company competes with banks nationally and locally, and increasingly with financial-technology firms that have obtained bank or industrial-loan charters, which it says makes it harder to compete effectively for clients and deposits.
  • Deposit funding and liquidity risk — Old National must maintain adequate deposits and wholesale funding to support lending. It warns that if it cannot maintain or grow deposits, it may face higher funding costs, and unrealized losses in its securities portfolio could affect liquidity.
  • Cybersecurity and third-party vendor risk — The bank relies on external vendors and technology systems it does not fully control; a security breach or vendor failure could disrupt operations, expose customer data, and harm results, the company states.
  • Capital and regulatory requirements — As a regulated bank holding company, Old National must meet capital adequacy rules set by federal regulators, who can restrict dividends or lending if requirements are not met, and standards can change over time.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Old National's growth through acquisitions like Bremer has built a scale advantage across the Midwest and Southeast, that its funding base is diversified across many depositors, and that disciplined underwriting has kept credit costs manageable through past economic cycles.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that continued reliance on acquisitions carries integration risk, that competition from larger banks and fintech lenders pressures margins, and that a downturn in the regional economy or commercial real estate values could raise credit losses faster than reserves can absorb.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 11.4Score: 80Market cap: $9.57B

Both are Midwest commercial banks of similar scale fighting for the same middle-market business borrowers and retail deposits across the Chicago metropolitan area and southern Wisconsin, where Old National built its second home base with the First Midwest merger.

P/E: 11.7Score: 68Market cap: $31.04B

Huntington competes branch-for-branch with Old National in Indiana, Michigan and Illinois for consumer accounts and small-business and commercial credit, with far greater resources behind the same products.

P/E: 17.3Score: 63Market cap: $46.67B

Fifth Third is one of the largest deposit takers in Old National's core Indiana, Kentucky, Illinois and Tennessee markets and courts the same commercial and wealth clients there.

P/E: 11.7Score: 62Market cap: $2.51B

First Merchants is the other large Indiana-headquartered bank, chasing the same community and small-business relationships in Indiana, Ohio, Michigan and Illinois that form Old National's historic franchise.

P/E: 11.1Score: 65Market cap: $3.29B

The Cincinnati-based regional bank works the same Indiana, Kentucky and Ohio territory with a comparable mix of commercial lending, treasury services and retail branches.

Associated Banc-CorpASB

The Green Bay-based bank overlaps with Old National across Wisconsin, Illinois and Minnesota with an almost identical offer of commercial lending, wealth management and branch retail banking to the same regional customers.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$2.74B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Nettogewinn

$758M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.3.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$637M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$8.49B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$63.66B

Current Ratio

-

Zinsdeckungsgrad

0.43

Schulden/EBITDA

-

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

BankFair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$23.66

Aktueller Kurs

$24.64

Sicherheitsmarge

-4.1%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$17.62 - $29.71

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$30.07
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$20.11
Graham-Wachstumsformel:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$25.86
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$12.13
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Umsatzmultiplikator:Nicht anwendbar für diesen Unternehmenstyp
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (10B / 5H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+2.19%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

12.70

ROE

7.9%

P/B-Verhältnis

1.12

P/FCF

13.07

Bruttomarge

-

ROIC

-

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

-

WACC

12.1%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 13.07
  • P/B Ratio 1.12
  • Operating Margin 34.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 10.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.75
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.03

Nicht bestanden (10)

  • EPS CAGR 3.80%
  • Price CAGR 3.15%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.2%
  • Share Dilution 16.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 27.7% vs 29.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

Nicht verfügbar (5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA

Piotroski F-Score

3/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.03

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

16.5%

Neue Aktien werden ausgegeben, Eigentum wird verwässert

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. James C. Ryan IIICEO & Chairman53
Mr. Timothy M. Burke Jr.President & COO-
Mr. John Vincent Moran IVSenior Executive VP & CFO49
Ms. Kendra L. VanzoSenior EVP & Chief Administrative Officer58
Ms. Angela L. PutnamSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer46
Mr. Matthew T. KeenChief Information Officer51
Lynell Durchholz CPASenior VP & Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. Nicholas J. ChulosExecutive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary65
Ms. Kathy A. SchoettlinChief Communications, Culture & Social Responsibility Officer54
Mr. James V. StadlerChief Marketing Officer61

Prüfungsrisiko

4

Vorstandsrisiko

4

Vergütungsrisiko

1

Aktionärsrechterisiko

7

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-19

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-29

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-12

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ONB, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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